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Chevron Corporation (CVX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$227.77 -3.29% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $226.97

Chevron Corporation (CVX) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 83/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (41.3% gross margin, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- β€’ BUY Cap $465.33B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CVX Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CVX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 83/100 at a spot price of $227.77 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $465.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 20/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CVX ranks #3 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CVX compare to COP and BP in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), CVX carries a Roarable A- (83/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.2x, gross margin of 41.3%, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, COP (ConocoPhillips) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 22.6x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $185.04B) and BP (BP p.l.c.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $131.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COP leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVX?
β–Ό

Per CVX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000093410), Chevron Corporation generated $184.43B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $12.30B in net income, and $25.64B in free cash flow against $324.01B in total assets and $59.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $226.97 (-0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 13.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 83/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 7% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 72.2% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ A-
025507510083
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- Β· Rk A-
Cash (14)Whales (20)SEC (16)Macro (18)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+11.2% Base Target
$299 Bull$253 Base$187 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CVX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (83/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CVX SCORES 83/100 (A-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+20/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±3.8% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 90% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 68.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.9% operating margin leave 6 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$222.04+2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
78
Grade A-$226.78+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
80
Grade A-$229.20-0.6% Next Q
Current
83
Grade A-$227.77+8.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B+ (75) β†’ A- (83)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CVX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 83/100 (A-) score, CVX faces multiple-compression risk if 37.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 38.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($214.95) or 200D SMA ($194.34) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($253.39) toward Bear Floor ($186.77).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CVXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCVX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CVX Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CVX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CVX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CVX Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CVX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.46%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $231.5H $235.5L $227.8C $227.8VOL 11.02M
RES: $238.1SUP: $210.8SMA50: $215.0SMA200: $194.3
$241.5$220.7$199.9$179.1$158.3RES $238.1SUP $210.8$227.82026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CVX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
28.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video πŸ›οΈ PROPOSAL: Bipartisan Grid Permitting Reform, NRC SMR Brownfield Siting & Multi-Year Munitions Bill Draft (U.S. Senate Energy & Natural Resources / Armed Services Committees (119th Congress))
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVX)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CVX vs. COP, BP, MPC, EQNR)

Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chevron Corporation (CVX) ranks #3 by composite RQD confidence (83/100, grade A-) and #2 by equity capitalization ($465.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COP leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while MPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 10.0% gross margin. CVX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 83/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CVX ACTIVE
Chevron Corporation
A- 83/100 37.2x 41.3% 5.8% -3.29% $465.33B Benchmark Subject
COP
ConocoPhillips
A- 82/100 22.6x 56.9% 9.4% -4.67% $185.04B /cop-vs-cvx β†’
BP
BP p.l.c.
B 73/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -4.98% $131.92B /bp-vs-cvx β†’
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
B- 70/100 30.0x 10.0% 16.9% -3.22% $124.89B /mpc-vs-cvx β†’
EQNR
Equinor ASA
B 73/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -6.87% $121.89B /eqnr-vs-cvx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000093410 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chevron Corporation (CVX) reported GAAP revenue of $184.43B (-4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $193.41B , and -6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.30B, operating cash flow of $33.94B, and free cash flow of $25.64B (+12.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVX closed FY2025 with $324.01B in total assets against $59.33B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.71, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $184.43B $12.30B $33.94B $25.64B $324.01B $59.33B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $193.41B $17.70B $31.49B $22.79B $256.94B $46.70B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $196.91B $21.40B $35.61B $26.75B $251.52B $58.86B

3. CVX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CVX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 83/100 at a spot price of $227.77 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $465.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 20/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CVX ranks #3 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CVX compare to COP and BP in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), CVX carries a Roarable A- (83/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.2x, gross margin of 41.3%, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, COP (ConocoPhillips) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 22.6x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $185.04B) and BP (BP p.l.c.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $131.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COP leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVX?

Per CVX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000093410), Chevron Corporation generated $184.43B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $12.30B in net income, and $25.64B in free cash flow against $324.01B in total assets and $59.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CVX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CVX last traded at $227.77 (-3.29% on volume of 9,171,186 shares), positioning the stock +5.96% above its 50-day simple moving average ($214.95) and +17.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($194.34). Across its 52-week range of $146.49 to $236.48, CVX sits at the 90.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.8% ($219.11 to $236.43).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 83/100 (A-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CVX β€” Chevron Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Chevron Corporation (CVX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 83/100, corresponding to a A- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $227.77 (-3.29% 1D, market capitalization $465.33B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.8%, gross margin of 41.3%, operating margin of 8.1%, and free cash flow yield of 5.61%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (20/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (18/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.07x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.71, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.30x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Chevron Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Integrated oil Companies industry. Gross margin is 41.3%, operating margin 8.1%, and net margin 6.7% per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Chevron Corporation (CVX) reported $184.43B in annual revenue (up from $193.41B in FY2024, -4.6% YoY) and $12.30B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($196.91B revenue, $21.40B net income) through FY2025, CVX scaled operating cash flow to $33.94B and free cash flow to $25.64B, backed by $324.01B in total assets against $59.33B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (A- β€’ RQD 83/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 20/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $146.49 – $236.48 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 37.2x trailing P/E and 21.5x EV/EBITDA against 8.1% operating margins and a 1.07x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level context available is the Energy / Integrated oil Companies classification and the headline reference to oil price movement.

  • Key Question #1: Can CVX sustain or expand its 8.1% operating margin and 5.8% ROIC against Integrated oil Companies peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $184.43B and free cash flow of $25.64B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $59.33B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CVX's 34.6x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.07x)?

CVX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chevron Corporation (CVX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CVX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CVX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $227.77?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CVX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CVX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $310.89 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Whale 13F flow (19/20) and forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.71, Piotroski F 7/9) point to strong institutional and financial

Long CVX at $235.52 targeting $310.89. Whale 13F flow (19/20) and forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.71, Piotroski F 7/9) point to strong institutional and financial-health support.. Institutional whale score is 20/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $146.49 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 20/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $235.52 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $179.00 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $235.52

Trailing P/E of 37.2 and EV/EBITDA of 21.5 sit high against ROIC of 5.8% and revenue and net income declining across FY 2023 to FY 2025

Fading this rally in CVX at $235.52. Trailing P/E of 37.2 and EV/EBITDA of 21.5 sit high against ROIC of 5.8% and revenue and net income declining across FY 2023 to FY 2025.. With a beta of 1.07 and the stock sitting at $235.52 (52-wk range $146.49–$236.48), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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