ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Energy / CVE / insiders
OKE (64) FANG (69) OXY (67) DVN (81) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$30.68 -6.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.28

Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $61.37B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CVE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CVE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Cenovus Energy Inc (NYSE: CVE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $30.68 (-6.26% 1D, market cap $61.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CVE ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CVE compare to OKE and FANG in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CVE carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, OKE (ONEOK Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $61.20B) and FANG (Diamondback Energy Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.4x, ROIC 2.0%, cap $59.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVE?
▼

For Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.28 (-1.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (15)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target
$38 Bull$32 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE CVE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CVE SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
77
Grade B+$32.62+1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$33.13-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$32.29-5% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$30.68+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CVE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, CVE faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.23) or 200D SMA ($27.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.20) toward Bear Floor ($25.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CVE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CVE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CVE Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CVE)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CVE. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CVE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CVE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.33%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $32.13H $32.73L $30.68C $30.68VOL 4.25M
RES: $35.22SUP: $30.82SMA50: $32.23SMA200: $27.72
$35.20$30.88$26.56$22.24$17.92RES $35.22SUP $30.82$30.682026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CVE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CVE Butterfly Map → + Track CVE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVE)

Energy Rank #43 of 211 ⚔️ OKE vs CVE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CVE vs. OKE, FANG, OXY, DVN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) ranks #43 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #28 by equity capitalization ($61.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OKE leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while DVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with CVE at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CVE ACTIVE
Cenovus Energy Inc
C+ 69/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.26% $61.37B Benchmark Subject
OKE
ONEOK Inc.
C 64/100 17.8x 30.5% 8.5% -4.69% $61.20B /oke-vs-cve →
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc.
C+ 69/100 37.4x — 2.0% -5.82% $59.39B /fang-vs-cve →
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
C+ 67/100 26.9x — 4.3% -5.12% $63.98B /oxy-vs-cve →
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation
A- 81/100 21.3x — 11.8% -6.75% $57.37B /dvn-vs-cve →

2. CVE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $61.37B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. CVE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CVE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cenovus Energy Inc (NYSE: CVE) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $30.68 (-6.26% 1D, market cap $61.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CVE ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CVE compare to OKE and FANG in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CVE carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, OKE (ONEOK Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $61.20B) and FANG (Diamondback Energy Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.4x, ROIC 2.0%, cap $59.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVE?

For Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CVE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CVE last traded at $30.68 (-6.26% on volume of 8,628,814 shares), positioning the stock -4.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.23) and +10.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.72). Across its 52-week range of $15.63 to $34.16, CVE sits at the 81.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($28.99 to $32.37).

Direct Sub-Reports: CVE RQD Cockpit CVE 12M Forecast CVE Earnings & Move CVE Dividends & DRIP CVE Insiders & 13F CVE Whale Options CVE Profit Sankey CVE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CVE — Cenovus Energy Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $30.68 (-6.26% 1D, market capitalization $61.37B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.94x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cenovus Energy Inc is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within the Oil & Gas Production industry..2B. —: product mix, customer segments, and revenue model detail beyond the sector and industry classification.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $15.63 – $34.16 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.94x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is therefore — Sector correlation data is likewise — beyond the beta of 0.94 cited in the RQD macro pillar.

  • Key Question #1: Can CVE sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $34.16 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CVE's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.94x)?

CVE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CVE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CVE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CVE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CVE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $42.55 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 3.74 and Piotroski F of 8/9, while the Athabasca acquisition is framed as a growth c

Here is why I am bullish on CVE here at $32.73: The balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 3.74 and Piotroski F of 8/9, while the Athabasca acquisition is framed as a growth catalyst.. Compare CVE's 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against the rest of Oil & Gas Production. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $31.09 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — CVE's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $25.20 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $32.73

A 2.21% FCF yield and a 32.8 trailing P/E leave the stock richly priced against the cash generation the RQD cites.

Careful chasing CVE at $32.73. A 2.21% FCF yield and a 32.8 trailing P/E leave the stock richly priced against the cash generation the RQD cites.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 13.9%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $25.20 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%