Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$150.99 -8.65% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $148.35

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $31.07B
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRDO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (NASDAQ: CRDO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $150.99 (-8.65% 1D, market cap $31.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CRDO ranks #214 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRDO compare to ON and CBRS in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), CRDO carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 65.8x, gross margin of 68.0%, and ROIC of 14.1%. By comparison, ON (ON Semiconductor Corporation) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $29.29B) and CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $27.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBRS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRDO?
β–Ό

Per CRDO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0001807794), Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd generated $1.34B in revenue (+205.7% YoY), $472.3M in net income, and $407.0M in free cash flow against $2.04B in total assets and $84.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (68% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $148.35 (-1.75%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) β€’ 30.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk B
Cash (15)Whales (8)SEC (18)Macro (11)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$324 Bull$153 Base$119 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CRDO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRDO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CRDO SCORES 61/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 30.5% FCF Margin ($407.0M FCF) & 68% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$198.31-13.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$171.51-2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$167.43-9.8% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$150.99+0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (69) β†’ C- (61)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRDO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, CRDO faces multiple-compression risk if 65.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 66x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($185.94) or 200D SMA ($181.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($153.03) toward Bear Floor ($119.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRDOβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCRDO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How CRDO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$407.0M (30.5% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.34BGross Profit $908.3M (68%)Cost of Sales $426.8MOp Profit $445.0M (33.3%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $463.3MNet Profit$472.3M (35.4%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $193.0M
FY24
Rev $436.8M
FY25
Rev $1.34B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.34B68%33.3%$472.3M$407.0M49.3%
FY 2024$436.8M64.8%8.5%$52.2M$29.0M8%
FY 2023$193.0M68%-19.2%-$28.4M$24.1M-0.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CRDO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CRDO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CRDO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.14%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $173.7H $173.7L $151.0C $151.0VOL 7.10M
RES: $254.6SUP: $142.5SMA50: $185.9SMA200: $181.2
$321.3$269.1$216.9$164.7$112.6RES $254.6SUP $142.5$151.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRDO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
44.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRDO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRDO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRDO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRDO)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CRDO vs. ON, CBRS, Q, GFS)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) ranks #214 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #85 by equity capitalization ($31.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CBRS leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while CBRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CBRS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with CRDO at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CRDO ACTIVE
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
C- 61/100 65.8x 68.0% 14.1% -8.65% $31.07B Benchmark Subject
ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation
D+ 54/100 β€” 33.1% 0.8% -4.74% $29.29B /on-vs-crdo β†’
CBRS
Cerebras Systems Inc.
C+ 66/100 21.7x β€” 58.3% -5.19% $27.36B /cbrs-vs-crdo β†’
Q
Qnity Electronics Inc.
D+ 55/100 35.2x 46.2% 7.8% -4.88% $25.66B /q-vs-crdo β†’
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc.
C- 60/100 21.7x β€” 14.9% -8.61% $25.56B /gfs-vs-crdo β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-05-02 β€’ CIK 0001807794

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02), Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.34B (+205.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $436.8M , and +591.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $472.3M, operating cash flow of $464.3M, and free cash flow of $407.0M (+1302.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRDO closed FY2025 with $2.04B in total assets against $84.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-02 $1.34B $472.3M $464.3M $407.0M $2.04B $84.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-03 $436.8M $52.2M $65.1M $29.0M $719.9M $45.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-27 $193.0M -$28.4M $32.7M $24.1M $17.09B $4.00B

3. CRDO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRDO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (NASDAQ: CRDO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $150.99 (-8.65% 1D, market cap $31.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CRDO ranks #214 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRDO compare to ON and CBRS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), CRDO carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 65.8x, gross margin of 68.0%, and ROIC of 14.1%. By comparison, ON (ON Semiconductor Corporation) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $29.29B) and CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $27.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBRS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRDO?

Per CRDO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0001807794), Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd generated $1.34B in revenue (+205.7% YoY), $472.3M in net income, and $407.0M in free cash flow against $2.04B in total assets and $84.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (68% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRDO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRDO last traded at $150.99 (-8.65% on volume of 12,557,425 shares), positioning the stock -18.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($185.94) and -16.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($181.22). Across its 52-week range of $86.49 to $308.67, CRDO sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($132.12 to $169.86).

CRDO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CRDO converted $1.3B of revenue into a 68% gross margin, 33.3% operating margin, and $407.0M in free cash flow (30.5% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 61/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CRDO β€” Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:18Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CRDO scores 61 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict of "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 15 of 20 (ROIC 14.1%; FCF yield 1.31%), institutional whale/13F flow scores 8 of 20, insider conviction (Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow) scores 9 of 20, macro regime fit scores 11 of 20 (Beta 1.34; sector sensitivity), and forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20 (Altman Z 26; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.04).

The pattern is uneven. The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which indicates low leverage and strong reported scores on the two distress-and-quality screens. The weakest signals are institutional flow and insider conviction, which together suggest that sophisticated and insider capital is not providing strong confirmation at current levels. The cash-engine score is moderate: the ROIC figure is respectable, but the 1.31% FCF yield means the stock's price already reflects substantial expected growth. The macro pillar shows elevated sensitivity to market swings given the 1.34 beta.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on continued earnings expansion and the balance-sheet strength cushioning downside. The valuation tradeoff is significant: a 65.8 trailing P/E and 60.6 EV/EBITDA leave little margin for execution slips. The rating's "Hold" verdict reflects this balance of a strong balance sheet against a rich valuation and weak confirmation from institutional and insider flows. This is an analytical summary of the source data, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
165.29$31.07B65.855.360.62.510%1.34$86.49 - $308.6714.1%

Business

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in Semiconductors. Per the profile, its market capitalization is $31.1B. Not available in source data: specific product lines, customer base, and revenue-generation model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2026-05-02)$1335.1M$445.0M$472.3MN/A$407.0M$1220.5M$84.8M
FY 2024 (filed 2025-05-03)$436.8M$37.1M$52.2MN/A$29.0M$299.2M$45.8M
FY 2023 (filed 2024-04-27)$193.0M$-37.1M$-28.4MN/A$24.1MN/A$3998.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $193.0M in FY 2023 to $1335.1M in FY 2025, and net income moved from a $-28.4M loss to $472.3M. Per the market data, gross margin is 68%, operating margin 33.3%, and net margin 35.4%, with ROIC of 14.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.04. The FY 2023 debt figure of $3998.3M is reported in the source but is not reconciled against later periods in the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged for CRDO. Two carry a CATALYST label (an Investor Relations market wire is tagged YELLOW; a Seeking Alpha piece titled with a rating upgrade is tagged GREEN as CATALYST), one a Yahoo Finance comparison tagged GREEN as CATALYST-adjacent in tone, and one a Trefis piece tagged RED under RISK WATCH on the stock's drop. Other items include a Moomoo report on the stock being down and a Motley Fool long-horizon piece. Per the feed, the stock's price change was -4.84%. The supply-chain graph reports no sector link and no proprietary signals. The news headlines themselves do not provide quantified catalyst details.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is "NONE" with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations. Investors should treat any second-order ripple analysis as unresolved by the current data; the sector classification (Technology / Semiconductors) and the beta of 1.34 are the only available indicators of sensitivity to sector movements.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between FY 2024 and FY 2025 revenue and net income, and is that growth recurring?
  • How is FY 2023 debt of $3998.3M reconciled with the much lower debt figures in later periods?
  • What are the EPS figures for each fiscal year, given that the reported EPS fields are N/A?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, given that no analyst data is provided?
  • What are the upstream suppliers and downstream customers that would transmit demand or supply shocks to CRDO?

CRDO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CRDO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRDO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $150.99?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRDO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CRDO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $178.51 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CRDO (C- β€’ RQD 61/100) a Buy at $165.29?

Welcome to the CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.1% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (65.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $133.88 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $165.29

Pump the brakes on CRDO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CRDO, but look at what you are paying: 65.8x trailing P/E with 68.0% gross margins. Unless Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $193.39 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $165.29

CRDO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CRDO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $165.29 (52-wk range $86.49 - $308.67), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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