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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / COCO / forecast
FIZZ (71) SAM (75) CCU (45) PRMB (36) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$58.48 +3.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.78

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.34B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on COCO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $58.48 (+3.93% 1D, market cap $3.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, COCO ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), COCO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.2x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 65.6%, cap $3.30B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?
▼

Per COCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001482981), The Vita Coco Company Inc. generated $609.8M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $72.7M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $461.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.78 (+0.52%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 6.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$90 Bull$58 Base$45 Bear
📬 FREE COCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY COCO SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 18.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.4% FCF Margin ($39.0M FCF) & 36.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$57.61+7.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$61.77-11.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$54.76+6.8% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$58.48-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the COCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, COCO faces multiple-compression risk if 44.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.20) or 200D SMA ($61.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.69) toward Bear Floor ($45.00).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “COCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your COCO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $58.48: 171.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $45.00
$7,695
$-2,305 (-23.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $57.69
$9,865
$-135 (-1.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $90.12
$15,410
+$5,410 (+54.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$6074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$8569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$5158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COCO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of COCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
COCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $56.27H $58.48L $56.27C $58.48VOL 1.27M
RES: $64.42SUP: $38.65SMA50: $57.20SMA200: $61.79
$88.53$77.34$66.15$54.97$43.78RES $64.42SUP $38.65$58.482026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COCO Butterfly Map → + Track COCO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COCO)

Consumer Staples Rank #59 of 146 ⚔️ FIZZ vs COCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (COCO vs. FIZZ, SAM, CCU, PRMB)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) ranks #59 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #46 by equity capitalization ($3.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. SAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with COCO at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
COCO ACTIVE
The Vita Coco Company Inc.
D+ 55/100 44.2x 36.5% 40.6% +3.93% $3.34B Benchmark Subject
FIZZ
National Beverage Corp.
B- 71/100 17.9x 37.0% 65.6% +0.80% $3.30B /fizz-vs-coco →
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc.
B 75/100 18.4x 48.5% 18.4% +1.43% $2.04B /sam-vs-coco →
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
D 45/100 — — — -0.96% $1.91B /ccu-vs-coco →
PRMB
Primo Brands Corporation
D- 36/100 117.4x 30.3% 4.4% +1.39% $7.15B /prmb-vs-coco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001482981

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) reported GAAP revenue of $609.8M (+18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $516.0M ) , GAAP net income of $72.7M, operating cash flow of $47.2M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-6.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, COCO closed FY2025 with $461.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 18.24, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $609.8M $72.7M $47.2M $39.0M $461.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $516.0M $56.0M $42.9M $41.9M $362.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $46.6M $107.2M $107.2M — —

3. COCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, The Vita Coco Company Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $58.48 (+3.93% 1D, market cap $3.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, COCO ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COCO compare to FIZZ and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), COCO carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 44.2x, gross margin of 36.5%, and ROIC of 40.6%. By comparison, FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 65.6%, cap $3.30B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COCO?

Per COCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001482981), The Vita Coco Company Inc. generated $609.8M in revenue (+18.2% YoY), $72.7M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $461.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COCO last traded at $58.48 (+3.93% on volume of 1,273,834 shares), positioning the stock +2.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($57.20) and -5.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($61.79). Across its 52-week range of $39.69 to $85.83, COCO sits at the 40.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($51.75 to $65.21).

COCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is COCO's 12-month stock price target?

The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $57.69 (-1.4% from $58.48), with a bull-case target of $90.12 and a bear-case floor of $45.

Is COCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates COCO D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 55/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: COCO RQD Cockpit COCO 12M Forecast COCO Earnings & Move COCO Dividends & DRIP COCO Insiders & 13F COCO Whale Options COCO Profit Sankey COCO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

COCO — The Vita Coco Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:01Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, COCO scores 54 out of 100 (letter grade D+, verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim"). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 40.6%; FCF yield 1.22%), Whale 13F Flow at 8/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 18.24; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which the rating reads as low financial-distress risk. The weakest signals are institutional flow and insider conviction, both of which the rating scores as modest. The cash-engine pillar is held back primarily by the 1.22% FCF yield, which indicates a limited amount of free cash flow relative to the $3.21B market capitalization. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the high ROIC and the strong balance-sheet metrics, while the valuation tradeoff is that the P/E (TTM) of 44.2 and EV/EBITDA of 33.7 leave little margin for error if growth or sentiment weakens. The rating's verdict implies that, on this scoring framework, the fundamentals do not currently justify accumulation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
56.27$3.21B44.241.133.71.270%1.0$39.69 - $85.8340.6%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Per the news feed, a Seeking Alpha report notes the stock climbed 11% after a five-day slide (RISK WATCH level: YELLOW).
  • Per the news feed, a Trefis report asks whether the stock is cheaper after its multiple has fallen (flagged RED under RISK WATCH).
  • Per the news feed, a MarketScreener item announces the company will report third quarter 2026 financial results on October 22, 2026.
  • Per the news feed, an Investing.com item reports that Evercore ISI reiterated its rating on demand strength.
  • Per the news feed, StockInvest.us and Yahoo Finance Singapore items cover general market action and positioning without specific new fundamental facts.
  • Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, no butterfly links are present, and no proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are the EPS figures for each reported period, since the financials list EPS as N/A throughout?
  • What is the company's total debt, given that debt is N/A for every reported period while Debt/Equity is 0.5?
  • Why does FY 2023 show $0.0M revenue alongside positive operating and net income, and is that figure reliable?
  • What drove the decline in free cash flow from $41.9M in FY 2024 to $39.0M in FY 2025 despite revenue growth?
  • What institutional, insider, and options-flow activity sits behind the 8/20 and 9/20 pillar scores?

COCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Vita Coco Company Inc. (COCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to COCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

COCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $58.48?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON COCO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on COCO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $60.77 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is COCO (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $56.27?

Welcome to the COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Beverages (Production/Distribution). Bulls point to capital efficiency (40.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (44.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $43.89 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $56.27

Pump the brakes on COCO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on COCO, but look at what you are paying: 44.2x trailing P/E with 36.5% gross margins. Unless The Vita Coco Company Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $67.52 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $56.27

COCO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on COCO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Beverages (Production/Distribution) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $56.27 (52-wk range $39.69 - $85.83), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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