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Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (CNK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$38.75 -1.12% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.76

Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (CNK) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $4.54B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CNK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $38.75 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $4.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, CNK ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNK compare to LION and AMC in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), CNK carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, LION (Lionsgate Studios Corp) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 25.1%, cap $3.70B) and AMC (AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $2.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNK leads on earnings multiple (33.6x) while LION leads on capital efficiency (25.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNK?
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Per CNK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001385280), Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. generated $3.12B in revenue (+2.1% YoY), $138.2M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $3.74B in total assets and $874.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.77 (+0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Cash (13)Whales (17)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$49 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE CNK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CNK SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.47 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$38.20+4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$39.92-2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$39.02-0.7% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$38.75+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CNK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, CNK faces multiple-compression risk if 33.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($37.07) or 200D SMA ($31.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.19) toward Bear Floor ($31.77).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CNK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CNK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CNK.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CNK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CNK
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CNK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +42.15%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $40.06H $40.06L $38.75C $38.75VOL 1.38M
RES: $40.77SUP: $37.53SMA50: $37.07SMA200: $31.54
$41.56$37.29$33.01$28.73$24.45RES $40.77SUP $37.53$38.752026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNK Butterfly Map → + Track CNK →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNK)

Communication Services Rank #8 of 132 ⚔️ LION vs CNK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (CNK vs. LION, AMC, FUBO, MCS)

Industry: Movies/Entertainment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (CNK) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #40 by equity capitalization ($4.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CNK leads on earnings valuation at 33.6x trailing P/E, while LION leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CNK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNK ACTIVE
Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc.
B 72/100 33.6x — 9.2% -1.12% $4.54B Benchmark Subject
LION
Lionsgate Studios Corp
D+ 58/100 — — 25.1% -2.49% $3.70B /lion-vs-cnk →
AMC
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.
D 45/100 — — -0.8% +4.25% $2.73B /amc-vs-cnk →
FUBO
FuboTV Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -0.13% $832.1M /fubo-vs-cnk →
MCS
Marcus Corporation
D- 43/100 68.2x — 2.3% +0.49% $825.5M /mcs-vs-cnk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001385280

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (CNK) reported GAAP revenue of $3.12B (+2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.05B , and +1.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $138.2M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, CNK closed FY2025 with $3.74B in total assets against $874.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.47, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.12B $138.2M — — $3.74B $874.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.05B $309.7M — — $3.66B $856.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.07B $188.2M — — $3.68B $861.1M

3. CNK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CNK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $38.75 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $4.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, CNK ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNK compare to LION and AMC in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), CNK carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, LION (Lionsgate Studios Corp) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 25.1%, cap $3.70B) and AMC (AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $2.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNK leads on earnings multiple (33.6x) while LION leads on capital efficiency (25.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNK?

Per CNK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001385280), Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. generated $3.12B in revenue (+2.1% YoY), $138.2M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $3.74B in total assets and $874.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNK last traded at $38.75 (-1.12% on volume of 2,947,312 shares), positioning the stock +4.53% above its 50-day simple moving average ($37.07) and +22.86% above its 200-day simple moving average ($31.54). Across its 52-week range of $21.60 to $40.53, CNK sits at the 90.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($36.39 to $41.11).

Direct Sub-Reports: CNK RQD Cockpit CNK 12M Forecast CNK Earnings & Move CNK Dividends & DRIP CNK Insiders & 13F CNK Whale Options CNK Profit Sankey CNK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CNK — Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (CNK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $38.75 (-1.12% 1D, market capitalization $4.54B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 5.4%, and free cash flow yield of 0.37%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.02x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.47, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (CNK) is a NYSE-listed issuer...6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (CNK) reported $3.12B in annual revenue (up from $3.05B in FY2024, +2.1% YoY) and $138.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.07B revenue, $188.2M net income) through FY2025, CNK scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $3.74B in total assets against $874.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.60 – $40.53 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 33.6x trailing P/E and 16.8x EV/EBITDA against 5.4% operating margins and a 1.02x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Movies/Entertainment (Communication Services), CNK carries a macro regime beta of 1.02 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CNK sustain or expand its 5.4% operating margin and 9.2% ROIC against Movies/Entertainment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.12B and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $874.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CNK's 31.2x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.02x)?

CNK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc. (CNK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $38.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.73 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation (17/20 whale flow) and a strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 4.47, Piotroski F 7/9) support the B-grade

Long CNK at $39.19 targeting $51.73. Institutional accumulation (17/20 whale flow) and a strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 4.47, Piotroski F 7/9) support the B-grade rating.. Institutional whale score is 17/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $21.60 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 33.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Movies/Entertainment. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.18 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $39.19

Valuation & margin reality check on CNK at $39.19 before chasing here

I respect the product at Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Holdings Inc., but the stock at $39.19 is a different story. Valuation & margin reality check on CNK at $39.19 before chasing here. FCF yield is 0.37% and RQD sits at 72/100 (B) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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