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WATT (23) AIRG (19) VUZI (29) CRNT (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.24 -2.36% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $38.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (NASDAQ: CMTL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $1.24 (-2.36% 1D, market cap $38.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CMTL ranks #706 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMTL compare to WATT and AIRG in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), CMTL carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.6%, and ROIC of -16.8%. By comparison, WATT (Energous Corporation) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $50.6M) and AIRG (Airgain Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.0%, cap $54.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMTL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CRNT leads on capital efficiency (4.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTL?
β–Ό

Per CMTL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000023197), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. generated $300.9M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), -$155.3M in net income, and -$16.5M in free cash flow against $703.8M in total assets and $107.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23 (-0.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510017
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (3)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.5% Base Target
$7 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CMTL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMTL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CMTL SCORES 17/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 31.6% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$1.30+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
22
Grade E$1.32+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
20
Grade E$1.35-8.1% Next Q
Current
17
Grade E$1.24-12.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (25) β†’ E (17)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMTL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CMTL currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.42) and Max Pain ($1.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.52.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMTLβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCMTL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CMTL)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CMTL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMTL)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CMTL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CMTL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.03%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.32H $1.32L $1.24C $1.24VOL 58.7K
RES: $1.40SUP: $1.09SMA50: $1.42SMA200: $3.14
$6.55$5.09$3.62$2.15$0.68RES $1.40SUP $1.09$1.242026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMTL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ CMTL Butterfly Map β†’ + Track CMTL β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -44.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMTL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMTL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMTL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMTL)

Technology Rank #706 of 714 βš”οΈ WATT vs CMTL Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CMTL vs. WATT, AIRG, VUZI, CRNT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) ranks #706 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #574 by equity capitalization ($38.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMTL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CRNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.3% ROIC and 33.8% gross margin. CRNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with CMTL at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CMTL ACTIVE
Comtech Telecommunications Corp.
E 17/100 β€” 31.6% -16.8% -2.36% $38.3M Benchmark Subject
WATT
Energous Corporation
E 23/100 β€” 36.0% -35.0% -6.00% $50.6M /watt-vs-cmtl β†’
AIRG
Airgain Inc.
E 19/100 β€” 43.5% -32.0% -1.55% $54.8M /airg-vs-cmtl β†’
VUZI
Vuzix Corporation
E 29/100 β€” -16.9% -35.0% -14.86% $179.0M /vuzi-vs-cmtl β†’
CRNT
Ceragon Networks Ltd.
D 47/100 β€” 33.8% 4.3% -2.43% $188.0M /crnt-vs-cmtl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-07-31 β€’ CIK 0000023197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) reported GAAP revenue of $300.9M (-44.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $540.4M , and -45.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$155.3M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$16.5M (+75.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMTL closed FY2025 with $703.8M in total assets against $107.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-07-31 $300.9M -$155.3M -$8.3M -$16.5M $703.8M $107.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-07-31 $540.4M -$100.0M -$54.5M -$67.6M $770.6M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-31 $550.0M -$26.9M -$4.4M -$4.4M β€” β€”

3. CMTL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (NASDAQ: CMTL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $1.24 (-2.36% 1D, market cap $38.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CMTL ranks #706 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMTL compare to WATT and AIRG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), CMTL carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.6%, and ROIC of -16.8%. By comparison, WATT (Energous Corporation) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $50.6M) and AIRG (Airgain Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.0%, cap $54.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMTL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CRNT leads on capital efficiency (4.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTL?

Per CMTL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000023197), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. generated $300.9M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), -$155.3M in net income, and -$16.5M in free cash flow against $703.8M in total assets and $107.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMTL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMTL last traded at $1.24 (-2.36% on volume of 100,272 shares), positioning the stock -12.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.42) and -60.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.14). Across its 52-week range of $1.14 to $6.21, CMTL sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.09 to $1.39).

Direct Sub-Reports: CMTL RQD Cockpit CMTL 12M Forecast CMTL Earnings & Move CMTL Dividends & DRIP CMTL Insiders & 13F CMTL Whale Options CMTL Profit Sankey CMTL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 17/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CMTL β€” Comtech Telecommunications Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-07-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 17/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.24 (-2.36% 1D, market capitalization $38.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -16.8%, gross margin of 31.6%, operating margin of -9.9%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.44, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.64x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment industry. Gross margin is 31.6% per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-07-31), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) reported $300.9M in annual revenue (up from $540.4M in FY2024, -44.3% YoY) and -$155.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($550.0M revenue, -$26.9M net income) through FY2025, CMTL scaled operating cash flow to -$8.3M and free cash flow to -$16.5M, backed by $703.8M in total assets against $107.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 17/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.14 – $6.21 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -9.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The one sector-level input available is the Technology sector classification and the beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can CMTL sustain or expand its -9.9% operating margin and -16.8% ROIC against Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $300.9M and free cash flow of -$16.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $107.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CMTL's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CMTL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CMTL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CMTL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.24?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CMTL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CMTL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.68 (+32.3%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The shares trade at $1.32 with a $39.8M market cap after falling from a $6.21 52-week high, so a successful restructuring could leave a

Long CMTL at $1.27 targeting $1.68. The shares trade at $1.32 with a $39.8M market cap after falling from a $6.21 52-week high, so a successful restructuring could leave a low entry price with meaningful recovery room.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.14 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” CMTL's 2/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.04 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $1.27

With an Altman Z of 0.44, a Piotroski F of 3/9, Debt/Equity of 1.64, and FY 2025 net loss of -$155.3M against $300.9M revenue, the bala

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CMTL: With an Altman Z of 0.44, a Piotroski F of 3/9, Debt/Equity of 1.64, and FY 2025 net loss of -$155.3M against $300.9M revenue, the balance sheet shows distress signals that the rating scores at 2/20.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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