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Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$14.27 +0.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.25

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $8.13B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE: CLF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $14.27 (+0.14% 1D, market cap $8.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CLF ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CLF compare to MP and HBM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), CLF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -4.6%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, MP (MP Materials Corp.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $7.05B) and HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.64B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HBM leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while HBM leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLF?
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Per CLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000764065), Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. generated $18.61B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), -$1.48B in net income, and -$1.02B in free cash flow against $20.01B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.25 (-0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (18)SEC (5)Macro (7)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$16 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE CLF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLF SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (46% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (18% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 86% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$12.58+11.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$14.03-0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$13.94+2.4% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$14.27-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CLF currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.56) and Max Pain ($14.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CLF Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.27: 700.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.18
$7,134
$-2,866 (-28.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.05
$9,145
$-855 (-8.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $16.12
$11,296
+$1,296 (+13.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CLF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.22%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $14.26H $14.27L $14.25C $14.27VOL 14.70M
RES: $15.27SUP: $11.17SMA50: $12.56SMA200: $11.37
$15.50$13.69$11.89$10.08$8.28RES $15.27SUP $11.17$14.272026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CLF Butterfly Map → + Track CLF →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLF)

Materials Rank #196 of 270 ⚔️ MP vs CLF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CLF vs. MP, HBM, BVN, AUGO)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) ranks #196 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #51 by equity capitalization ($8.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HBM leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while HBM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. HBM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with CLF at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CLF ACTIVE
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
D- 39/100 — -4.6% -9.4% +0.14% $8.13B Benchmark Subject
MP
MP Materials Corp.
E 29/100 — — -6.8% -3.08% $7.05B /mp-vs-clf →
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada)
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% 0.00% $9.64B /hbm-vs-clf →
BVN
Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.
D 45/100 — — — +1.63% $6.71B /bvn-vs-clf →
AUGO
Aura Minerals Inc.
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.03% $5.55B /augo-vs-clf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000764065 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) reported GAAP revenue of $18.61B (-3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.18B , and -15.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.48B, operating cash flow of -$462.0M, and free cash flow of -$1.02B (-73.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLF closed FY2025 with $20.01B in total assets against $7.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.18, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $18.61B -$1.48B -$462.0M -$1.02B $20.01B $7.25B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $19.18B -$760.0M $105.0M -$590.0M $20.95B $7.07B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.00B $385.0M $2.27B $1.28B $26.40B $6.18B

3. CLF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE: CLF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $14.27 (+0.14% 1D, market cap $8.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CLF ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLF compare to MP and HBM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), CLF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -4.6%, and ROIC of -9.4%. By comparison, MP (MP Materials Corp.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $7.05B) and HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.64B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HBM leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while HBM leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLF?

Per CLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000764065), Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. generated $18.61B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), -$1.48B in net income, and -$1.02B in free cash flow against $20.01B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLF last traded at $14.27 (+0.14% on volume of 21,606,240 shares), positioning the stock +13.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.56) and +25.51% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.37). Across its 52-week range of $7.73 to $15.35, CLF sits at the 85.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($12.57 to $15.97).

Direct Sub-Reports: CLF RQD Cockpit CLF 12M Forecast CLF Earnings & Move CLF Dividends & DRIP CLF Insiders & 13F CLF Whale Options CLF Profit Sankey CLF News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CLF — Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.27 (+0.14% 1D, market capitalization $8.13B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -9.4%, gross margin of -4.6%, operating margin of -8.5%, and free cash flow yield of -12.57%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 0.97x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.18, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.19x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, Metal Mining industry. — for detailed revenue mix, customer segments, or specific revenue-generation mechanics. The source data establishes sector and industry classification only.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) reported $18.61B in annual revenue (up from $19.18B in FY2024, -3.0% YoY) and -$1.48B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($22.00B revenue, $385.0M net income) through FY2025, CLF scaled operating cash flow to -$462.0M and free cash flow to -$1.02B, backed by $20.01B in total assets against $7.25B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 39/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -12.57% and institutional whale pillar of 18/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.73 – $15.35 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -8.5% operating margins and a 0.97x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Metal Mining (Materials), CLF carries a macro regime beta of 0.97 and gross margin of -4.6%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CLF sustain or expand its -8.5% operating margin and -9.4% ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $18.61B and free cash flow of -$1.02B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.25B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CLF's 23.0x forward P/E multiple to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.97x)?

CLF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CLF Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CLF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.27?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CLF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CLF:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.10 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional 13F accumulation and options positioning score 18/20 in the Roarable RQD rating, the strongest pillar in the data.

Institutional 13F accumulation and options positioning score 18/20 in the Roarable RQD rating, the strongest pillar in the data.. When you look under the hood at CLF, Fundamental Cash Engine is 5/20 with -4.6% gross margins and -9.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (18/20) has been quietly accumulating below $15.35. My 12M target is $18.10.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 23.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Metal Mining. If gross margin (-4.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.25 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $14.25

Negative ROIC (-9.4%), negative FCF yield (-12.57%), Altman Z 1.18, and Piotroski F 2/9 signal a weak cash engine and fragile balance s

Negative ROIC (-9.4%), negative FCF yield (-12.57%), Altman Z 1.18, and Piotroski F 2/9 signal a weak cash engine and fragile balance sheet.. Look at the math on CLF: paying 23.0x forward P/E for -9.4% ROIC and -8.5% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Metal Mining demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $12.54 before getting long.

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