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Why CLBK Stock advanced +1.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$11.15 +1.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.15

Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.98B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CLBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Columbia Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: CLBK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $11.15 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $2.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CLBK ranks #545 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CLBK compare to PFS and BKU in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CLBK carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PFS (Provident Financial Services Inc) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $2.99B) and BKU (BankUnited Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $3.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFS leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while PFS leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLBK?
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Per CLBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002115119), Columbia Financial Inc. generated $4.63B in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $11.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.15 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$13 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE CLBK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLBK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLBK SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$10.87-2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$10.65+1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$10.85+2.8% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$11.15-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLBK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CLBK currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.18) and Max Pain ($11.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLBK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLBK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CLBK Stock advanced +1.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) advanced +1.00% to $11.15, trading at 84% of its 52-week range ($6.56 – $12). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 84% of its 52-week range ($6.56 – $12) with RSI-14 at 53 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5% around $11.15 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $83.3M annual free cash flow.
Live CLBK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Columbia Financial: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

Yahoo Finance report covering Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLBK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CLBK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CLBK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.02%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $10.73H $11.15L $10.73C $11.15VOL 5.89M
RES: $11.16SUP: $10.53SMA50: $11.18SMA200: $9.57
$12.32$10.98$9.63$8.29$6.94RES $11.16SUP $10.53$11.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLBK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLBK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLBK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLBK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLBK)

Financials Rank #545 of 1097 ⚔️ PFS vs CLBK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CLBK vs. PFS, BKU, TFSL, EBC)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) ranks #545 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #369 by equity capitalization ($2.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PFS leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while PFS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EBC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with CLBK at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CLBK ACTIVE
Columbia Financial Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — — +1.00% $2.98B Benchmark Subject
PFS
Provident Financial Services Inc
C 65/100 10.4x — 10.3% +2.66% $2.99B /pfs-vs-clbk →
BKU
BankUnited Inc.
D+ 54/100 11.5x — 8.8% +2.42% $3.06B /bku-vs-clbk →
TFSL
TFS Financial Corporation
D 50/100 51.7x — 4.8% +0.55% $4.61B /tfsl-vs-clbk →
EBC
Eastern Bankshares Inc.
C+ 68/100 58.6x — 0.7% +2.41% $5.12B /ebc-vs-clbk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002115119 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) reported GAAP revenue of $4.63B , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, CLBK closed FY2025 with $11.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.63B $0 — — $11.02B —

3. CLBK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Columbia Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: CLBK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $11.15 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $2.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CLBK ranks #545 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLBK compare to PFS and BKU in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CLBK carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PFS (Provident Financial Services Inc) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $2.99B) and BKU (BankUnited Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $3.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFS leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while PFS leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLBK?

Per CLBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002115119), Columbia Financial Inc. generated $4.63B in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $11.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLBK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLBK last traded at $11.15 (+1.00% on volume of 5,544,882 shares), positioning the stock -0.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.18) and +16.51% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.57). Across its 52-week range of $6.56 to $12.00, CLBK sits at the 84.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($10.59 to $11.71).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CLBK — Columbia Financial Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $11.15 (+1.00% 1D, market capitalization $2.98B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Columbia Financial Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Savings Institutions industry. The profile identifies its market capitalization as $2.9B. — for specific products, customers, or revenue model descriptions beyond the sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) reported $4.63B in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $11.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 54/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.56 – $12.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals listed. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks are — The only sector classification provided is Financials / Savings Institutions.

  • Key Question #1: Can CLBK sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Savings Institutions peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.63B and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CLBK's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CLBK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CLBK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CLBK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CLBK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CLBK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.03 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) are the strongest pillar in the RQD rating at 13 of 20.

Here is why I am bullish on CLBK here at $11.04: Forensic balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) are the strongest pillar in the RQD rating at 13 of 20.. Compare CLBK's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Savings Institutions. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $10.49 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — CLBK's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.50 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $11.04

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and the FY 2025 revenue, operating income, and net income are all reported as $0.0M, leaving no measurab

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% and the FY 2025 revenue, operating income, and net income are all reported as $0.0M, leaving no measurable cash-generation support for the price.. Look at the math on CLBK: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Savings Institutions demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $9.72 before getting long.

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