Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (NASDAQ: CGBD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $10.98 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $741.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CGBD ranks #936 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CGBD carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, BUR (Burford Capital Limited) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $744.0M) and CD (Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $739.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGBD leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while WRLD leads on capital efficiency (9.8% ROIC).
Per CGBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001544206), Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. generated $1.17B in revenue (+44.9% YoY), $70.0M in net income, and -$204.6M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
While CGBD currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.98) and Max Pain ($11.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.94.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) advanced +1.86% to $10.98, trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($9.94 – $13.28). Stretched risk/reward at 11x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Upbound Group (UPBD) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +13.48% and +1.00%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +44.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CGBD today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CGBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) ranks #936 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #610 by equity capitalization ($741.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CGBD leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while WRLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.8% ROIC and — gross margin. WRLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with CGBD at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGBD
ACTIVE
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. | D- | 38/100 | 10.6x | — | 6.0% | +1.86% | $741.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| BUR Burford Capital Limited | E | 33/100 | 12.2x | — | 9.7% | +10.29% | $744.0M | /bur-vs-cgbd → |
| CD Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -7.2% | -14.14% | $739.2M | /cd-vs-cgbd → |
| WRLD World Acceptance Corporation | D+ | 55/100 | 23.7x | — | 9.8% | +0.58% | $767.0M | /wrld-vs-cgbd → |
| LU Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) ) | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | +0.97% | $715.9M | /lu-vs-cgbd → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.17B (+44.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $808.9M , and +33.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $70.0M, operating cash flow of -$204.6M, and free cash flow of -$204.6M (-296.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CGBD closed FY2025 with $2.79B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.17B | $70.0M | -$204.6M | -$204.6M | $2.79B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $808.9M | $89.0M | $104.3M | $104.3M | $1.93B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $876.3M | $92.3M | $230.6M | $230.6M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (NASDAQ: CGBD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $10.98 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $741.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CGBD ranks #936 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CGBD carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, BUR (Burford Capital Limited) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $744.0M) and CD (Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $739.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGBD leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while WRLD leads on capital efficiency (9.8% ROIC).
Per CGBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001544206), Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. generated $1.17B in revenue (+44.9% YoY), $70.0M in net income, and -$204.6M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CGBD last traded at $10.98 (+1.86% on volume of 501,618 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.98) and -1.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.13). Across its 52-week range of $9.94 to $13.28, CGBD sits at the 31.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($10.44 to $11.52).
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.98 (+1.86% 1D, market capitalization $741.7M).
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, within the Finance: Consumer Services industry,. The profile identifies it as having a market capitalization of $0.7B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) reported $1.17B in annual revenue (up from $808.9M in FY2024, +44.9% YoY) and $70.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($876.3M revenue, $92.3M net income) through FY2025, CGBD scaled operating cash flow to -$204.6M and free cash flow to -$204.6M, backed by $2.79B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
Operating in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials), CGBD carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Long CGBD at $10.78 targeting $12.94. Low forward P/E of 9.9 and a Zacks Strong-Buy upgrade offer a cheap-valuation case with positive analyst momentum.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $9.94 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
Both sides have a point here — CGBD's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
I respect the product at Carlyle Secured Lending Inc., but the stock at $10.78 is a different story. A Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9 and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$204.6M point to weak cash generation and fundamental quality.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 38/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?
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