Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Centerra Gold Inc. (NYSE: CGAU) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $20.20 (-1.13% 1D, market cap $3.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CGAU ranks #61 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CGAU carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SKE (Skeena Resources Limited) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.36B) and AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSRM leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while SSRM leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
For Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #61 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.7% FCF Margin ($109.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
While CGAU currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.12) and Max Pain ($21.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.75.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) slipped -1.13% to $20.20, trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($11.13 – $24.52). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
VRT's booming AI data center infrastructure business drives strong earnings upgrades, while CGAU faces falling estimates despite a sharp stock rally.
ABR, AIQUY and CGAU have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on November 2, 2026.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CGAU today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CGAU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) ranks #61 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #83 by equity capitalization ($3.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SSRM leads on earnings valuation at 14.6x trailing P/E, while SSRM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SSRM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with CGAU at 54/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGAU
ACTIVE
Centerra Gold Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | -1.13% | $3.91B | Benchmark Subject |
| SKE Skeena Resources Limited | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -5.30% | $3.36B | /ske-vs-cgau → |
| AYA Aya Gold & Silver Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | -5.85% | $3.32B | /aya-vs-cgau → |
| SSRM SSR Mining Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 14.6x | — | 12.0% | -6.33% | $5.40B | /ssrm-vs-cgau → |
| FSM Fortuna Mining Corp. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -5.23% | $2.70B | /fsm-vs-cgau → |
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $3.91B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
As of 2026-11-03, Centerra Gold Inc. (NYSE: CGAU) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $20.20 (-1.13% 1D, market cap $3.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CGAU ranks #61 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), CGAU carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SKE (Skeena Resources Limited) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.36B) and AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSRM leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while SSRM leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
For Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #61 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CGAU last traded at $20.20 (-1.13% on volume of 2,064,172 shares), positioning the stock -8.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.12) and +6.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.98). Across its 52-week range of $11.13 to $24.52, CGAU sits at the 67.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($18.60 to $21.80).
Why CGAU Stock slipped -1.13% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CGAU scores 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 6 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 10 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and the institutional/insider flow signals, which the rating places at the low end of their ranges. The forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar relative to its maximum, with the Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score sitting in ranges the source labels as reasonable on those metrics alone. The rating's overall message is one of underperformance and distribution risk, meaning the score frames the stock as one where evaluating downside is the priority. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash generation or stronger flow signals, neither of which the source data currently shows. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed precisely because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data.
Per the news wire, the most recent item is a Yahoo Finance headline referencing "Record Buybacks, Lower Mount" in a Q3 2026 earnings call summary, tagged as a green catalyst. A ChartMill item tagged as a green catalyst describes the stock as clearing a Minervini trend template with high growth momentum. A TradingView "Bear of the Day" item is tagged as a red risk-watch item. A GuruFocus item tagged as risk watch reports Q3 revenue surpassing estimates. A Simply Wall St forecast item is tagged yellow as market wire, and a Globe and Mail item reports that Bank of America Securities maintains a Sell rating, also tagged yellow. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CGAU, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Centerra Gold Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CGAU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $20.20 (52-wk range $11.13 - $24.52), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Virtual Cash Arena account (100% free — no credit card required).