Yahoo Finance UK report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CG Stock slipped -0.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $40.18 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $14.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CG ranks #1001 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CG compare to OWL and IVZ in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), CG carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, OWL (Blue Owl Capital Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 53.1x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $16.23B) and IVZ (Invesco Ltd) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.2%, cap $12.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CG leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while OWL leads on capital efficiency (6.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CG?
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Per CG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001527166), The Carlyle Group Inc. generated $4.78B in revenue (-11.9% YoY), $808.7M in net income, and -$3.37B in free cash flow against $29.12B in total assets and $9.93B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.2) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CG Turnaround Squeeze
While CG currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($41.12) and Max Pain ($42.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $70.67.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why CG Stock slipped -0.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) slipped -0.96% to $40.18, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($35.41 – $67.3). Stretched risk/reward at 18x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($35.41 – $67.3) with RSI-14 at 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $40.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Major M&A deals this week include: Blue Matter buys Cognite, RadNet acquires ONRAD, Oak Hill Capital buys Wyyerd.
Oak Hill Capital ("Oak Hill"), a thematic, middle-market private equity firm, today announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire a majority stake in Wyyerd Group Holdings, LLC ("Wyyerd" or the "Co
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CG)
- ✓Walkthrough of CG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
CG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -11.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CG)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CG vs. OWL, IVZ, BEN, TPG)
Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) ranks #1001 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #143 by equity capitalization ($14.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CG leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while OWL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.3% ROIC and — gross margin. OWL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with CG at 33/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CG
ACTIVE
The Carlyle Group Inc. | E | 33/100 | 17.9x | — | 5.4% | -0.96% | $14.46B | Benchmark Subject |
| OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. | C | 65/100 | 53.1x | — | 6.3% | -0.77% | $16.23B | /owl-vs-cg → |
| IVZ Invesco Ltd | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | -3.2% | -4.34% | $12.81B | /ivz-vs-cg → |
| BEN Franklin Templeton Inc. | C | 65/100 | 31.3x | — | 3.0% | -2.16% | $16.43B | /ben-vs-cg → |
| TPG TPG Inc. | C | 64/100 | 98.2x | — | 2.5% | -2.63% | $18.12B | /tpg-vs-cg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001527166In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) reported GAAP revenue of $4.78B (-11.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.43B , and +61.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $808.7M, operating cash flow of -$3.28B, and free cash flow of -$3.37B (-303.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CG closed FY2025 with $29.12B in total assets against $9.93B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.78B | $808.7M | -$3.28B | -$3.37B | $29.12B | $9.93B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $5.43B | $1.02B | -$759.5M | -$837.2M | $23.10B | $7.54B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.96B | -$608.4M | $204.9M | $71.5M | $7.95B | $1.86B |
3. CG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $40.18 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $14.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CG ranks #1001 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CG compare to OWL and IVZ in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), CG carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, OWL (Blue Owl Capital Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 53.1x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $16.23B) and IVZ (Invesco Ltd) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.2%, cap $12.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CG leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while OWL leads on capital efficiency (6.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CG?
Per CG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001527166), The Carlyle Group Inc. generated $4.78B in revenue (-11.9% YoY), $808.7M in net income, and -$3.37B in free cash flow against $29.12B in total assets and $9.93B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CG last traded at $40.18 (-0.96% on volume of 2,635,297 shares), positioning the stock -2.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.12) and -14.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.94). Across its 52-week range of $35.41 to $67.30, CG sits at the 15.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($37.41 to $42.95).
CG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CG stock moving today?
Why CG Stock slipped -0.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 18x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
CG — The Carlyle Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CG scores 33 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5 of 20 (ROIC 5.4%; FCF yield -18%), Whale 13F Flow at 9 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 6 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 3 of 20 (Beta 0.88; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and macro fit. The 5.4% ROIC and -18% FCF yield indicate that reported profitability is not converting into free cash flow in the period covered. The strongest relative pillar, the balance sheet at 10 of 20, still reflects a Piotroski F-Score of 3 of 9, which signals limited financial-health strength. Insider and institutional flow register only moderate scores. The rating therefore frames CG as an elevated-risk name on forensic grounds rather than a fundamentally strong one. Valuation metrics (P/E TTM 17.9, Forward P/E 16.6) appear modest in isolation, but per the Roarable RQD rating and SEC financials, they should be weighed against negative FCF and the low ROIC.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $4779.8M | $954.3M | $808.7M | N/A | $-3374.9M | $1970.2M | $9926.5M |
| FY 2024 | $5425.8M | $1204.1M | $1020.4M | N/A | $-837.2M | $1266.0M | $7540.2M |
| FY 2023 | $2963.9M | $-717.9M | $-608.4M | N/A | $71.5M | N/A | $1860.5M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $5425.8M in FY 2024 to $4779.8M in FY 2025, while debt rose from $7540.2M to $9926.5M. Per the market data, operating margin is 20.6%, net margin is 16.9%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 5.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The reported FCF in FY 2025 of $-3374.9M is consistent with the -18% FCF yield in the market data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Price target cut (RED / RISK WATCH): A headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $56.37, implying 42% upside, per TradingView.
- Lukoil asset deal (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): Per Seeking Alpha and Bloomberg, Carlyle stated a deal to buy Lukoil assets expired.
- Share price move (GREEN / CATALYST): Per GuruFocus, shares surged 3.9%, with a GF Score of 75 cited.
- Gulf-backed AI push (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): Per Simply Wall St, investor reaction to a Gulf-backed AI initiative is covered.
- Analyst rating change (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): Per MarketBeat, Wall Street Zen upgraded the stock to Hold.
- General market wire (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance UK feed covers market action without specific detail.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What is the composition of the -$3374.9M FY 2025 free cash flow, and how much reflects timing versus structural cash outflow?
- What were the terms and scale of the Lukoil asset transaction, and what was its financial exposure?
- What drove the rise in debt from $7540.2M to $9926.5M, and what is the maturity profile?
- What do the 13F and Form 4 filings show for institutional and insider positioning, given that holders data is absent?
- What explains the basis for the GF Score of 75 relative to the Roarable RQD score of 33?
CG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance UK report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $40.18?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CG (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $40.57?
Welcome to the CG (The Carlyle Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on CG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CG, but look at what you are paying: 17.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless The Carlyle Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
CG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $40.57 (52-wk range $35.41 - $67.30), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.