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Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$29.96 +2.89% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.06

Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $7.37B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CELH Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CELH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Celsius Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CELH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $29.96 (+2.89% 1D, market cap $7.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CELH ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CELH compare to TAP and PRMB in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), CELH carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 66.0x, gross margin of 50.4%, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, TAP (Molson Coors Beverage Company) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.0%, cap $7.48B) and PRMB (Primo Brands Corporation) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 117.4x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $7.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COKE leads on earnings multiple (24.4x) while COKE leads on capital efficiency (45.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CELH?
β–Ό

Per CELH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001341766), Celsius Holdings Inc. generated $2.52B in revenue (+85.5% YoY), $108.0M in net income, and $323.4M in free cash flow against $5.12B in total assets and $669.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.06 (+0.33%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 12.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (11)Macro (9)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$65 Bull$30 Base$23 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CELH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CELH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CELH SCORES 55/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.9% FCF Margin ($323.4M FCF) & 50.4% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.76 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.9) create a -11 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$27.17+4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$28.31-1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$27.98+7.1% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$29.96-0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (47) β†’ D+ (55)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CELH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, CELH faces multiple-compression risk if 66.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 66x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.76) or 200D SMA ($34.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.56) toward Bear Floor ($23.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CELHβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCELH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CELH Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CELH)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CELH. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CELH)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CELH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CELH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.75%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $28.16H $29.96L $28.16C $29.96VOL 6.82M
RES: $38.29SUP: $27.47SMA50: $28.76SMA200: $34.13
$50.27$43.03$35.79$28.55$21.31RES $38.29SUP $27.47$29.962026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CELH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ CELH Butterfly Map β†’ + Track CELH β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
44.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +85.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CELH today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CELH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CELH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CELH)

Consumer Staples Rank #59 of 147 βš”οΈ TAP vs CELH Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (CELH vs. TAP, PRMB, COKE, COCO)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) ranks #59 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #36 by equity capitalization ($7.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COKE leads on earnings valuation at 24.4x trailing P/E, while COKE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.1% ROIC and 39.7% gross margin. COKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with CELH at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CELH ACTIVE
Celsius Holdings Inc.
D+ 55/100 66.0x 50.4% 7.7% +2.89% $7.37B Benchmark Subject
TAP
Molson Coors Beverage Company
D 49/100 β€” 32.8% -14.0% +7.75% $7.48B /tap-vs-celh β†’
PRMB
Primo Brands Corporation
D- 36/100 117.4x 30.3% 4.4% +5.22% $7.15B /prmb-vs-celh β†’
COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.
A- 81/100 24.4x 39.7% 45.1% -0.39% $14.00B /coke-vs-celh β†’
COCO
The Vita Coco Company Inc.
D+ 55/100 44.2x 36.5% 40.6% -0.46% $3.34B /coco-vs-celh β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001341766 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) reported GAAP revenue of $2.52B (+85.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +90.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $108.0M, operating cash flow of $359.4M, and free cash flow of $323.4M (+35.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CELH closed FY2025 with $5.12B in total assets against $669.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.76, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.52B $108.0M $359.4M $323.4M $5.12B $669.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.36B $145.1M $262.9M $239.5M $1.77B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.32B $226.8M $141.2M $81.9M $3.92B $917.0M

3. CELH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CELH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Celsius Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CELH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $29.96 (+2.89% 1D, market cap $7.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, CELH ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CELH compare to TAP and PRMB in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), CELH carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 66.0x, gross margin of 50.4%, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, TAP (Molson Coors Beverage Company) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.0%, cap $7.48B) and PRMB (Primo Brands Corporation) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 117.4x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $7.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COKE leads on earnings multiple (24.4x) while COKE leads on capital efficiency (45.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CELH?

Per CELH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001341766), Celsius Holdings Inc. generated $2.52B in revenue (+85.5% YoY), $108.0M in net income, and $323.4M in free cash flow against $5.12B in total assets and $669.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CELH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CELH last traded at $29.96 (+2.89% on volume of 6,855,545 shares), positioning the stock +4.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.76) and -12.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.13). Across its 52-week range of $23.56 to $61.49, CELH sits at the 16.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.7% ($27.65 to $32.27).

Direct Sub-Reports: CELH RQD Cockpit CELH 12M Forecast CELH Earnings & Move CELH Dividends & DRIP CELH Insiders & 13F CELH Whale Options CELH Profit Sankey CELH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 55/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CELH β€” Celsius Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $29.96 (+2.89% 1D, market capitalization $7.37B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.7%, gross margin of 50.4%, operating margin of 5.6%, and free cash flow yield of 4.54%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.10x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.76, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.57x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector and the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry. β€”: the specific products sold, the customer base, and the revenue model details. The profile identifies the market capitalization as $7.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) reported $2.52B in annual revenue (up from $1.36B in FY2024, +85.5% YoY) and $108.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.32B revenue, $226.8M net income) through FY2025, CELH scaled operating cash flow to $359.4M and free cash flow to $323.4M, backed by $5.12B in total assets against $669.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 55/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 4.54% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $23.56 – $61.49 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 66.0x trailing P/E and 43.1x EV/EBITDA against 5.6% operating margins and a 1.10x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are therefore β€” A prospective investor should note that the only sector-level information available is the Consumer Staples / Beverages classification and the beta of 1.1.

  • Key Question #1: Can CELH sustain or expand its 5.6% operating margin and 7.7% ROIC against Beverages (Production/Distribution) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.52B and free cash flow of $323.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $669.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CELH's 55.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.10x)?

CELH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Celsius Holdings Inc. (CELH) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CELH Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CELH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $29.96?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CELH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CELH:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $35.24 (+21.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Positive free cash flow of $323.4M in FY 2025 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate a financially sound operating base.

Positive free cash flow of $323.4M in FY 2025 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate a financially sound operating base.. When you look under the hood at CELH, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 50.4% gross margins and 7.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (10/20) has been quietly accumulating below $61.49. My 12M target is $35.24.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 66.0x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Beverages (Production/Distribution). If gross margin (50.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.88 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $29.12

A P/E (TTM) of 66 and an EV/EBITDA of 43.1 sit against an ROIC of 7.7% and net income that fell from $226.8M to $108.0M over two years.

A P/E (TTM) of 66 and an EV/EBITDA of 43.1 sit against an ROIC of 7.7% and net income that fell from $226.8M to $108.0M over two years.. Look at the math on CELH: paying 66.0x trailing P/E for 7.7% ROIC and 5.6% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Beverages (Production/Distribution) demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $25.63 before getting long.

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