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Century Communities Inc. (CCS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$54.56 +3.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.82

Century Communities Inc. (CCS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.49B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Century Communities Inc. (NYSE: CCS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $54.56 (+3.75% 1D, market cap $1.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCS ranks #505 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CCS compare to LGIH and DFH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), CCS carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, LGIH (LGI Homes Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 14.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $1.03B) and DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $886.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCS?
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Per CCS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001576940), Century Communities Inc. generated $4.12B in revenue (-6.4% YoY), $147.6M in net income, and $124.3M in free cash flow against $4.46B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.82 (+0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (14)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (5)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$80 Bull$53 Base$41 Bear
📬 FREE CCS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CCS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CCS SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3% FCF Margin ($124.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$55.53-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$55.47+4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$57.69-5.4% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$54.56-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CCS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CCS currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($59.77) and Max Pain ($57.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $79.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CCS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CCS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CCS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CCS.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CCS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CCS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CCS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.61%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $53.56H $54.56L $52.59C $54.56VOL 474.6K
RES: $74.59SUP: $49.92SMA50: $59.77SMA200: $61.94
$75.42$67.79$60.17$52.54$44.91RES $74.59SUP $49.92$54.562026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CCS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-0.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CCS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CCS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CCS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CCS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #505 of 1009 ⚔️ LGIH vs CCS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CCS vs. LGIH, DFH, GRBK, KBH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Century Communities Inc. (CCS) ranks #505 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #455 by equity capitalization ($1.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while GRBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. GRBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with CCS at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CCS ACTIVE
Century Communities Inc.
D+ 52/100 10.3x — 5.7% +3.75% $1.49B Benchmark Subject
LGIH
LGI Homes Inc.
E 28/100 14.0x 20.7% 3.0% +6.87% $1.03B /lgih-vs-ccs →
DFH
Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 4.2x — 15.3% +11.85% $886.3M /dfh-vs-ccs →
GRBK
Green Brick Partners Inc.
D+ 56/100 7.7x 31.4% 18.5% +4.72% $2.58B /grbk-vs-ccs →
KBH
KB Home
D+ 53/100 6.8x — 11.0% +5.67% $2.91B /kbh-vs-ccs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001576940 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Century Communities Inc. (CCS) reported GAAP revenue of $4.12B (-6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.40B , and +11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.6M, operating cash flow of $153.1M, and free cash flow of $124.3M (+43.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CCS closed FY2025 with $4.46B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.12B $147.6M $153.1M $124.3M $4.46B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.40B $333.8M $125.7M $86.7M $4.53B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.69B $259.2M $41.6M $41.6M — —

3. CCS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Century Communities Inc. (NYSE: CCS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $54.56 (+3.75% 1D, market cap $1.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCS ranks #505 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CCS compare to LGIH and DFH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), CCS carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, LGIH (LGI Homes Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 14.0x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $1.03B) and DFH (Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $886.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCS?

Per CCS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001576940), Century Communities Inc. generated $4.12B in revenue (-6.4% YoY), $147.6M in net income, and $124.3M in free cash flow against $4.46B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CCS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CCS last traded at $54.56 (+3.75% on volume of 531,323 shares), positioning the stock -8.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($59.77) and -11.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($61.94). Across its 52-week range of $47.28 to $76.00, CCS sits at the 25.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($49.65 to $59.47).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CCS — Century Communities Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Century Communities Inc. (CCS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $54.56 (+3.75% 1D, market capitalization $1.49B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 8.16%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (CCS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Homebuilding industry. Its market capitalization is $1.5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Century Communities Inc. (CCS) reported $4.12B in annual revenue (up from $4.40B in FY2024, -6.4% YoY) and $147.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.69B revenue, $259.2M net income) through FY2025, CCS scaled operating cash flow to $153.1M and free cash flow to $124.3M, backed by $4.46B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.16% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $47.28 – $76.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 10.3x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottlenecks for CCS. Investors should treat sector-level ripple effects as unmapped in this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can CCS sustain or expand its — operating margin and 5.7% ROIC against Homebuilding peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.12B and free cash flow of $124.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CCS's 9.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CCS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Century Communities Inc. (CCS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CCS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CCS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $54.56?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CCS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CCS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $66.26 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low P/E of 10.3 TTM and an 8.16% FCF yield, with insider conviction scoring 16/20, offer a valuation and insider-activity argument.

Long CCS at $52.59 targeting $66.26. Low P/E of 10.3 TTM and an 8.16% FCF yield, with insider conviction scoring 16/20, offer a valuation and insider-activity argument.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $47.28 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $52.59 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $44.18 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $52.59

Weak institutional flow (4/20), a macro regime fit of 5/20, and an earnings miss headline with a -5.52% daily decline point to fundamen

I respect the product at Century Communities Inc., but the stock at $52.59 is a different story. Weak institutional flow (4/20), a macro regime fit of 5/20, and an earnings miss headline with a -5.52% daily decline point to fundamental and sentiment pressure.. FCF yield is 8.16% and RQD sits at 52/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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