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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CCOI / dividends
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Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$6.05 -10.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.93

Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $345.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CCOI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CCOI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CCOI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $6.05 (-10.24% 1D, market cap $345.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCOI ranks #846 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CCOI compare to SPIR and GOGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CCOI carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SPIR (Spire Global Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (15/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $360.3M) and GOGO (Gogo Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 26.5x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $319.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCOI?
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Per CCOI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001158324), Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. generated $283.0M in revenue (-48.9% YoY), -$182.2M in net income, and -$198.1M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.93 (-2.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$43 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE CCOI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CCOI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CCOI SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$8.57-9.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$7.72-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$7.47-19% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$6.05-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CCOI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CCOI currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.57) and Max Pain ($6.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $43.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CCOI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CCOI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CCOI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CCOI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CCOI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.04%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $7.76H $7.76L $6.05C $6.05VOL 2.00M
RES: $8.88SUP: $5.92SMA50: $8.57SMA200: $15.60
$30.64$23.97$17.31$10.65$3.98RES $8.88SUP $5.92$6.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CCOI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CCOI Butterfly Map → + Track CCOI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -48.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CCOI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CCOI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CCOI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CCOI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #846 of 1009 ⚔️ SPIR vs CCOI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CCOI vs. SPIR, GOGO, NSTR, SAIQ)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) ranks #846 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #630 by equity capitalization ($345.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPIR leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while GOGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. NSTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with CCOI at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CCOI ACTIVE
Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -10.24% $345.2M Benchmark Subject
SPIR
Spire Global Inc. (Class A)
E 15/100 7.7x — -35.0% -3.72% $360.3M /spir-vs-ccoi →
GOGO
Gogo Inc.
D 48/100 26.5x — 11.1% -2.12% $319.8M /gogo-vs-ccoi →
NSTR
NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — — +12.95% $213.0M /nstr-vs-ccoi →
SAIQ
WISeSat.Space Holdings Corp.
D 49/100 — — — -11.03% $163.5M /saiq-vs-ccoi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001158324 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) reported GAAP revenue of $283.0M (-48.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $553.3M , and -21.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$182.2M, operating cash flow of -$10.6M, and free cash flow of -$198.1M (+2.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CCOI closed FY2025 with $3.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $283.0M -$182.2M -$10.6M -$198.1M $3.10B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $553.3M -$204.1M -$8.6M -$203.6M $3.17B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $362.1M $1.27B $17.3M $17.3M — —

3. CCOI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CCOI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CCOI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $6.05 (-10.24% 1D, market cap $345.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCOI ranks #846 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CCOI compare to SPIR and GOGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CCOI carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SPIR (Spire Global Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (15/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $360.3M) and GOGO (Gogo Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 26.5x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $319.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCOI?

Per CCOI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001158324), Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. generated $283.0M in revenue (-48.9% YoY), -$182.2M in net income, and -$198.1M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CCOI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CCOI last traded at $6.05 (-10.24% on volume of 2,188,529 shares), positioning the stock -29.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.57) and -61.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.60). Across its 52-week range of $6.61 to $41.05, CCOI sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.29 to $6.81).

Direct Sub-Reports: CCOI RQD Cockpit CCOI 12M Forecast CCOI Earnings & Move CCOI Dividends & DRIP CCOI Insiders & 13F CCOI Whale Options CCOI Profit Sankey CCOI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CCOI — Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $6.05 (-10.24% 1D, market capitalization $345.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Telecommunications Equipment industry. The profile carries a market capitalization of $0.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) reported $283.0M in annual revenue (up from $553.3M in FY2024, -48.9% YoY) and -$182.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($362.1M revenue, $1.27B net income) through FY2025, CCOI scaled operating cash flow to -$10.6M and free cash flow to -$198.1M, backed by $3.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.61 – $41.05 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Telecommunications Equipment (Consumer Discretionary), CCOI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CCOI sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $283.0M and free cash flow of -$198.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CCOI's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CCOI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CCOI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CCOI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.05?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CCOI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CCOI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.49 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A reported 100% upside to a $17.18 12-month price target from a TradingView item suggests some analysts see room for recovery from $7.7

Long CCOI at $6.74 targeting $8.49. A reported 100% upside to a $17.18 12-month price target from a TradingView item suggests some analysts see room for recovery from $7.76.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $6.61 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 32/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $6.74 and keeping dry powder in case we test $6.27.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.32 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $6.74

Negative ROIC of -35%, zero FCF yield, and a Piotroski F of 3/9 show weak cash generation alongside credit downgrade and refinancing co

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CCOI: Negative ROIC of -35%, zero FCF yield, and a Piotroski F of 3/9 show weak cash generation alongside credit downgrade and refinancing concerns.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Telecommunications Equipment triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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