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Why CBRS Stock dropped -11.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$96.36 -11.74% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $94.14

Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $25.94B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cerebras Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $96.36 (-11.74% 1D, market cap $25.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CBRS ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBRS compare to Q and ON in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), CBRS carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, Q (Qnity Electronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $24.41B) and ON (ON Semiconductor Corporation) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $27.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBRS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRS?
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Per CBRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002021728), Cerebras Systems Inc. generated $976.9M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $94.14 (-2.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Cash (15)Whales (6)SEC (18)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$406 Bull$99 Base$78 Bear
📬 FREE CBRS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBRS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CBRS SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 22.36 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$141.48-16.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$117.98-4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$112.56-14.4% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$96.36+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBRS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, CBRS faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($164.30) or 200D SMA ($196.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($99.40) toward Bear Floor ($77.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBRS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CBRS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CBRS Stock dropped -11.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) dropped -11.74% to $96.36, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($104.18 – $386.34). Solid steady margins (58% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($104.18 – $386.34) with RSI-14 at 32 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $96.36 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CBRS Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
CoreWeave And 2 Other Top Growth Stocks With Insider Buying

When central banks signal that interest rates may need to rise further, as recent comments from Federal Reserve officials suggest, investors often reassess where real growth is coming from. Companies that are already exp

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CBRS Tape Review)

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CBRS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -69.02%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $115.2H $115.2L $96.36C $96.36VOL 9.20M
RES: $173.3SUP: $67.81SMA50: $164.3SMA200: $196.6
$406.6$322.5$238.5$154.4$70.26RES $173.3SUP $67.81$96.362026-05-142026-06-292026-08-112026-09-232026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBRS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBRS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBRS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBRS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBRS)

Technology Rank #139 of 715 ⚔️ Q vs CBRS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CBRS vs. Q, ON, CRDO, GFS)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) ranks #139 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #96 by equity capitalization ($25.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CBRS leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while CBRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CBRS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBRS ACTIVE
Cerebras Systems Inc.
C 65/100 21.7x — 58.3% -11.74% $25.94B Benchmark Subject
Q
Qnity Electronics Inc.
D+ 54/100 35.2x 46.2% 7.8% -1.11% $24.41B /q-vs-cbrs →
ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation
D+ 52/100 — 33.1% 0.8% -2.18% $27.90B /on-vs-cbrs →
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
C- 59/100 65.8x 68.0% 14.1% -7.26% $28.38B /crdo-vs-cbrs →
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc.
D+ 57/100 21.7x — 14.9% -0.19% $23.36B /gfs-vs-cbrs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002021728 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) reported GAAP revenue of $976.9M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, CBRS closed FY2025 with $2.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 22.36, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $976.9M $0 $0 $0 $2.33B $0

3. CBRS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cerebras Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $96.36 (-11.74% 1D, market cap $25.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CBRS ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBRS compare to Q and ON in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), CBRS carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, Q (Qnity Electronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $24.41B) and ON (ON Semiconductor Corporation) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $27.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBRS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRS?

Per CBRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002021728), Cerebras Systems Inc. generated $976.9M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBRS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBRS last traded at $96.36 (-11.74% on volume of 13,282,723 shares), positioning the stock -41.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($164.30) and -50.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($196.60). Across its 52-week range of $104.18 to $386.34, CBRS sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($84.32 to $108.40).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CBRS — Cerebras Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $96.36 (-11.74% 1D, market capitalization $25.94B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 58.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.34x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 22.36, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Technology. Industry: Semiconductors. Exchange: NASDAQ. Cerebras Systems Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer operating in Semiconductors with a market capitalization of $27.4B. — for product lines, customer base, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) reported $976.9M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $2.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $104.18 – $386.34 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 21.7x trailing P/E and 14.0x EV/EBITDA against 21.1% operating margins and a 1.34x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is "NONE" and butterfly_links is empty. A prospective investor should treat any ripple analysis as unresolved until the graph is populated.

  • Key Question #1: Can CBRS sustain or expand its 21.1% operating margin and 58.3% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $976.9M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CBRS's 18.2x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.34x)?

CBRS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CBRS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBRS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $96.36?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBRS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CBRS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $134.29 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (17/20) and a forensic balance sheet (18/20, Altman Z 22.36) indicate strong insider backing and financial health de

The street is overcomplicating Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS). Insider conviction (17/20) and a forensic balance sheet (18/20, Altman Z 22.36) indicate strong insider backing and financial health despite a 54% slump.. With an RQD score of 65/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $117.91.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 21.7x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $85.16 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $109.18

Weak institutional flow (6/20) and a beta of 1.34 leave the stock exposed to macro swings, with a reported FCF yield of only 3.99%.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short CBRS above $109.18. Weak institutional flow (6/20) and a beta of 1.34 leave the stock exposed to macro swings, with a reported FCF yield of only 3.99%.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (3.99%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $386.34.

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