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Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.9% Move

$69.75 -0.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.86

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (69.0% gross margin, 5% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.57B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (NASDAQ: CBRL) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $69.75 (-0.43% 1D, market cap $1.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CBRL ranks #157 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBRL compare to ARCO and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CBRL carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.9x, gross margin of 69.0%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 6.9x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $1.42B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRL?
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Per CBRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01, CIK 0001067294), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc generated $3.48B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), $46.4M in net income, and $59.8M in free cash flow against $2.10B in total assets and $381.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.86 (+0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (17)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$87 Bull$74 Base$57 Bear
📬 FREE CBRL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBRL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CBRL SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.7) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$61.25+8.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$66.69+2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$68.19+2.3% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$69.75+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBRL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, CBRL faces multiple-compression risk if 34.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 66.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.38) or 200D SMA ($43.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($73.52) toward Bear Floor ($57.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBRL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CBRL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 29, 2027 (~86 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.9% Swing Band

±$6.21 Expected Swing
$63.54 (-8.9%)Spot $69.75$75.96 (+8.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CBRL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $2.08 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0.4%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-08-01$3.48B$46.4M$59.8M69%
FY 20242024-08-02$3.47B$40.9M$40.7M68.7%
FY 20232023-07-28$3.44B$99.1M$250.5M69%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CBRL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CBRL
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CBRL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +139.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $72.45H $72.45L $69.75C $69.75VOL 747.4K
RES: $74.11SUP: $40.10SMA50: $57.38SMA200: $43.08
$76.85$63.67$50.50$37.32$24.14RES $74.11SUP $40.10$69.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBRL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
26.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBRL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBRL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBRL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBRL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #157 of 1009 ⚔️ ARCO vs CBRL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CBRL vs. ARCO, WEN, BJRI, SG)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) ranks #157 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #446 by equity capitalization ($1.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. CBRL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBRL ACTIVE
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc
B- 70/100 34.9x 69.0% 5.4% -0.43% $1.57B Benchmark Subject
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 6.9x 96.0% 18.9% +0.59% $1.42B /arco-vs-cbrl →
WEN
Wendy's Company
D 49/100 8.3x 63.6% 10.7% +0.69% $1.37B /wen-vs-cbrl →
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants Inc.
C- 61/100 27.6x 74.7% 10.7% +0.98% $1.33B /bjri-vs-cbrl →
SG
Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -35.0% +3.61% $1.32B /sg-vs-cbrl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-01 • CIK 0001067294 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) reported GAAP revenue of $3.48B (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.47B , and +1.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.4M, operating cash flow of $218.9M, and free cash flow of $59.8M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBRL closed FY2025 with $2.10B in total assets against $381.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-01 $3.48B $46.4M $218.9M $59.8M $2.10B $381.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-02 $3.47B $40.9M $169.0M $40.7M $2.15B $471.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-28 $3.44B $99.1M $250.5M $250.5M — —

3. CBRL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (NASDAQ: CBRL) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $69.75 (-0.43% 1D, market cap $1.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CBRL ranks #157 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBRL compare to ARCO and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CBRL carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.9x, gross margin of 69.0%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 6.9x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $1.42B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRL?

Per CBRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01, CIK 0001067294), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc generated $3.48B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), $46.4M in net income, and $59.8M in free cash flow against $2.10B in total assets and $381.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBRL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBRL last traded at $69.75 (-0.43% on volume of 718,948 shares), positioning the stock +21.56% above its 50-day simple moving average ($57.38) and +61.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.08). Across its 52-week range of $24.85 to $73.67, CBRL sits at the 92.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($63.54 to $75.96).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CBRL — Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-08-01

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 70/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $69.75 (-0.43% 1D, market capitalization $1.57B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.4%, gross margin of 69.0%, operating margin of 1.6%, and free cash flow yield of 3.69%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.90x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants industry,. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 69%, an operating margin of 1.6%, and a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue of $3.48B for FY 2025 is reported .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-01), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) reported $3.48B in annual revenue (up from $3.47B in FY2024, +0.4% YoY) and $46.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.44B revenue, $99.1M net income) through FY2025, CBRL scaled operating cash flow to $218.9M and free cash flow to $59.8M, backed by $2.10B in total assets against $381.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 70/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.85 – $73.67 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 34.9x trailing P/E and 10.5x EV/EBITDA against 1.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary), CBRL carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 69.0%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CBRL sustain or expand its 1.6% operating margin and 5.4% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.48B and free cash flow of $59.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $381.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CBRL's 32.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CBRL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CBRL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBRL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $69.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBRL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CBRL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $86.16 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 17/20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning that supports upside momentum.

The street is overcomplicating Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL). The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 17/20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning that supports upside momentum.. With an RQD score of 70/100 (B-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $75.65.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 17/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $70.05 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $58.84 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $70.05

A P/E (TTM) of 34.9 combined with a 1.6% operating margin and a declining operating income trend from $120.6M to $55.0M leaves valuatio

I respect the product at Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc, but the stock at $70.05 is a different story. A P/E (TTM) of 34.9 combined with a 1.6% operating margin and a declining operating income trend from $120.6M to $55.0M leaves valuation dependent on earnings recovery.. FCF yield is 3.69% and RQD sits at 70/100 (B-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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