ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Financials / CBNA / forecast
MVBF (45) BCML (61) COSO (73) JMSB (66) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$50.59 -1.58% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.35

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $332.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CBNA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: CBNA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $50.59 (-1.58% 1D, market cap $332.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CBNA ranks #468 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBNA compare to MVBF and BCML in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBNA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, MVBF (MVB Financial Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $330.3M) and BCML (BayCom Corp) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $336.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, COSO leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while CBNA leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBNA?
▼

Per CBNA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001392272), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) generated $735.2M in revenue (+24.9% YoY), $20.2M in net income, and $11.5M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.35 (-0.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$60 Bull$51 Base$39 Bear
📬 FREE CBNA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBNA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CBNA SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$49.32+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$49.34+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$51.36-1.5% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$50.59+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBNA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, CBNA faces multiple-compression risk if 16.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.14) or 200D SMA ($40.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($50.59) toward Bear Floor ($39.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBNA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CBNA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CBNA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $50.59: 197.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $39.46
$7,800
$-2,200 (-22.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $50.59
$10,000
+$0 (+0.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $59.70
$11,801
+$1,801 (+18.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$5374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$5669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$4558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CBNA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CBNA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CBNA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +38.45%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $51.40H $51.40L $50.59C $50.59VOL 10.0K
RES: $55.79SUP: $47.87SMA50: $48.14SMA200: $40.72
$55.61$49.39$43.18$36.96$30.74RES $55.79SUP $47.87$50.592026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBNA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CBNA Butterfly Map → + Track CBNA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
9.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBNA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBNA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBNA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBNA)

Financials Rank #468 of 1097 ⚔️ MVBF vs CBNA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CBNA vs. MVBF, BCML, COSO, JMSB)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) ranks #468 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #788 by equity capitalization ($332.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COSO leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while CBNA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and — gross margin. COSO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with CBNA at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBNA ACTIVE
Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 16.7x — 12.0% -1.58% $332.0M Benchmark Subject
MVBF
MVB Financial Corp.
D 45/100 — — 0.0% -14.36% $330.3M /mvbf-vs-cbna →
BCML
BayCom Corp
C- 61/100 14.1x — 7.1% -0.16% $336.0M /bcml-vs-cbna →
COSO
CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc.
B 73/100 13.2x — 9.6% -0.36% $327.1M /coso-vs-cbna →
JMSB
John Marshall Bancorp Inc.
C+ 66/100 15.4x — 8.0% -0.95% $323.7M /jmsb-vs-cbna →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001392272 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) reported GAAP revenue of $735.2M (+24.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $588.5M , and +1130.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.2M, operating cash flow of $15.6M, and free cash flow of $11.5M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBNA closed FY2025 with $1.75B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $735.2M $20.2M $15.6M $11.5M $1.75B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $588.5M $20.9M $21.8M $21.6M $1.40B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $59.8M $8.8M $12.8M $12.8M — —

3. CBNA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: CBNA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $50.59 (-1.58% 1D, market cap $332.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CBNA ranks #468 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBNA compare to MVBF and BCML in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBNA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, MVBF (MVB Financial Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $330.3M) and BCML (BayCom Corp) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $336.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, COSO leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while CBNA leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBNA?

Per CBNA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001392272), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) generated $735.2M in revenue (+24.9% YoY), $20.2M in net income, and $11.5M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBNA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBNA last traded at $50.59 (-1.58% on volume of 9,976 shares), positioning the stock +5.09% above its 50-day simple moving average ($48.14) and +24.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.72). Across its 52-week range of $28.14 to $54.11, CBNA sits at the 86.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($46.64 to $54.54).

Direct Sub-Reports: CBNA RQD Cockpit CBNA 12M Forecast CBNA Earnings & Move CBNA Dividends & DRIP CBNA Insiders & 13F CBNA Whale Options CBNA Profit Sankey CBNA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CBNA — Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $50.59 (-1.58% 1D, market capitalization $332.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 3.40%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) is listed on the NYSE under the ticker CBNA..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) reported $735.2M in annual revenue (up from $588.5M in FY2024, +24.9% YoY) and $20.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($59.8M revenue, $8.8M net income) through FY2025, CBNA scaled operating cash flow to $15.6M and free cash flow to $11.5M, backed by $1.75B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.40% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $28.14 – $54.11 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 16.7x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Major Banks (Financials), CBNA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CBNA sustain or expand its — operating margin and 12.0% ROIC against Major Banks peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $735.2M and free cash flow of $11.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CBNA's 15.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CBNA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CBNA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBNA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $50.59?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBNA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CBNA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $63.24 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale flow (14/20) and insider conviction (13/20) score in the mid-range alongside a 12% ROIC and a Raymond James upgrade

Don't sleep on CBNA's setup in Financials. Institutional whale flow (14/20) and insider conviction (13/20) score in the mid-range alongside a 12% ROIC and a Raymond James upgrade on rate outlook.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (58/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — CBNA's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $43.00 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $50.59

The RQD rating is a D+ Sell, with the cash engine scoring 8/20 on a 3.4% FCF yield and a Q3 earnings miss, weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9)

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short CBNA above $50.59. The RQD rating is a D+ Sell, with the cash engine scoring 8/20 on a 3.4% FCF yield and a Q3 earnings miss, weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9), and free cash flow declining from $21.6M to $11.5M.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (3.4%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $54.11.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%