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Stock Ratings / Industrials / CAE / forecast
SPXC (55) AGCO (60) RAL (49) ZWS (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

CAE Inc. (CAE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$25.80 -1.79% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.67

CAE Inc. (CAE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.29B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CAE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CAE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, CAE Inc. (NASDAQ: CAE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $25.80 (-1.79% 1D, market cap $8.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CAE ranks #220 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CAE compare to SPXC and AGCO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CAE carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SPXC (SPX Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $8.01B) and AGCO (AGCO Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $7.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while ZWS leads on capital efficiency (12.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAE?
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For CAE Inc. (CAE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #220 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.67 (-0.51%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$36 Bull$25 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE CAE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CAE SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 5.8% FCF Margin ($232.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.8) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$23.72+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$24.50+6.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$26.09-1.1% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$25.80-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CAE currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($24.38) and Max Pain ($27.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CAE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CAE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $25.80: 387.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $19.40
$7,519
$-2,481 (-24.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $24.87
$9,640
$-360 (-3.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $35.95
$13,934
+$3,934 (+39.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CAE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CAE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.12%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $26.27H $26.27L $25.80C $25.80VOL 476.1K
RES: $30.21SUP: $22.78SMA50: $24.38SMA200: $26.50
$29.32$27.54$25.76$23.99$22.21RES $30.21SUP $22.78$25.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CAE Butterfly Map → + Track CAE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAE)

Industrials Rank #220 of 485 ⚔️ SPXC vs CAE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CAE vs. SPXC, AGCO, RAL, ZWS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CAE Inc. (CAE) ranks #220 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #108 by equity capitalization ($8.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGCO leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while ZWS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.3% ROIC and 45.1% gross margin. ZWS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with CAE at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CAE ACTIVE
CAE Inc.
D 50/100 — — — -1.79% $8.29B Benchmark Subject
SPXC
SPX Technologies Inc.
D+ 55/100 34.3x 40.5% 10.6% -4.37% $8.01B /spxc-vs-cae →
AGCO
AGCO Corporation
C- 60/100 10.4x 25.5% 8.2% +2.85% $7.65B /agco-vs-cae →
RAL
Ralliant Corporation
D 49/100 — 50.3% -35.0% -4.71% $7.44B /ral-vs-cae →
ZWS
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
C- 61/100 37.3x 45.1% 12.3% +0.16% $7.40B /zws-vs-cae →

2. CAE Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

CAE Inc. (CAE) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $8.29B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. CAE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, CAE Inc. (NASDAQ: CAE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $25.80 (-1.79% 1D, market cap $8.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CAE ranks #220 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CAE compare to SPXC and AGCO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CAE carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SPXC (SPX Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $8.01B) and AGCO (AGCO Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $7.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while ZWS leads on capital efficiency (12.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAE?

For CAE Inc. (CAE), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #220 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CAE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAE last traded at $25.80 (-1.79% on volume of 476,142 shares), positioning the stock +5.82% above its 50-day simple moving average ($24.38) and -2.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.50). Across its 52-week range of $22.76 to $34.24, CAE sits at the 26.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($24.38 to $27.22).

CAE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CAE's 12-month stock price target?

CAE Inc. (CAE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $24.87 (-3.6% from $25.80), with a bull-case target of $35.95 and a bear-case floor of $19.4.

Is CAE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CAE D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 50/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CAE RQD Cockpit CAE 12M Forecast CAE Earnings & Move CAE Dividends & DRIP CAE Insiders & 13F CAE Whale Options CAE Profit Sankey CAE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CAE — CAE Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CAE scores 57 out of 100 (letter grade D+), labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 10 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction. The cash-engine score reflects a reported 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, which means the rating does not credit the company with current cash return on capital. The insider pillar is the lowest of the five at 9 of 20. The balance sheet and macro-fit pillars are mid-range and do not offset the weak cash and insider signals. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash generation or stronger insider and institutional conviction, neither of which the rating currently shows. The valuation tradeoff is that the share price sits within a wide 52-week band, so the stock's position relative to that range is a context point rather than a fundamental signal.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Analyst action (CATALYST): Per the news wire, RBC Capital maintained an Outperform rating on CAE with a $47 price target.
  • Analyst action (WATCH): Per the news wire, National Bank trimmed its price target on CAE.
  • Price target context (MARKET WIRE): Per the news wire, a MarketBeat report cites an average target price of C$47.23.
  • Positive momentum (CATALYST): Per the news wire, a GuruFocus report headlines a 4.4% share surge and cites a GF Score of 79.
  • Thematic coverage (MARKET WIRE): Multiple reports position CAE among Canadian defense-related names and cite "strong buy" and "significant catalyst potential" language from a Seeking Alpha item.
  • Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data is listed as NONE in the source. Per the news wire, RBC Capital maintains Outperform with a $47 price target and National Bank has trimmed its price target, while a MarketBeat report cites an average target price of C$47.23. A consensus rating count is not available in source data. Holder data is listed as NONE, so 13F whale positions, SEC Form 4 insider trades, and Congressional trades are not available in source data. The RQD pillars nevertheless reference institutional accumulation and insider cluster flow, which the holder section itself does not substantiate.

Open Questions

  • What are the underlying revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • Why does the RQD rating report 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and are these figures accurate or placeholders?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and the full distribution of price targets, given only a few individual targets appear?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the whale and insider pillar scores, since the holders section is empty?
  • What are the company's products, customers, and supply-chain dependencies, since the Butterfly graph shows none?

CAE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CAE Inc. (CAE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CAE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Stocks in play: CAE Inc.

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering CAE Inc. (CAE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CAE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $25.80?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CAE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $27.86 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CAE (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $25.80?

Welcome to the CAE (CAE Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.35 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $25.80

Pump the brakes on CAE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CAE, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless CAE Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $31.73 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $25.80

CAE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CAE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $25.80 (52-wk range $22.76 - $34.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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