Citigroup Inc. (C) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$122.64 -2.48% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $121.86

Citigroup Inc. (C) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $210.95B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is C stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $122.64 (-2.48% 1D, market cap $210.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, C ranks #940 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does C compare to WFC and UBS in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), C carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.7x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 1.5%. By comparison, WFC (Wells Fargo & Company) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 11.9x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $254.59B) and UBS (UBS Group AG Registered) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $149.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAC leads on earnings multiple (11.7x) while UBS leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for C?
β–Ό

Per C's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000831001), Citigroup Inc. generated $85.22B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), $14.31B in net income, and -$74.15B in free cash flow against $2.66T in total assets and $1.10T in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $121.86 (-0.64%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510039
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (3)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$155 Bull$112 Base$87 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE C RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for C)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY C SCORES 39/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$124.53-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$122.51+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$122.69+0% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$122.64-7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (47) β†’ D- (39)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a C Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While C currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($129.77) and Max Pain ($128.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $155.36.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $Cβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.15% Total Yield
2.55% Cash ($3.13/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 β€’ ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $19,127

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $602/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.1K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.8K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.7K
Yr 7
$16.8K
Yr 8
$17.9K
Yr 9
$19.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring C)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of C's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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C // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.38%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $124.1H $125.8L $122.6C $122.6VOL 9.16M
RES: $137.0SUP: $120.0SMA50: $129.8SMA200: $126.7
$150.8$139.1$127.4$115.6$103.9RES $137.0SUP $120.0$122.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

C Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on C today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for C. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for C today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (C)

Financials Rank #940 of 1096 βš”οΈ WFC vs C Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (C vs. WFC, UBS, COF, BAC)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Citigroup Inc. (C) ranks #940 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #12 by equity capitalization ($210.95B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BAC leads on earnings valuation at 11.7x trailing P/E, while UBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. COF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with C at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
C ACTIVE
Citigroup Inc.
D- 39/100 14.7x β€” 1.5% -2.48% $210.95B Benchmark Subject
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company
D 50/100 11.9x β€” 2.7% -1.66% $254.59B /wfc-vs-c β†’
UBS
UBS Group AG Registered
D+ 58/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -0.91% $149.37B /ubs-vs-c β†’
COF
Capital One Financial Corporation
C+ 68/100 52.2x β€” 0.9% -1.86% $128.06B /cof-vs-c β†’
BAC
Bank of America Corporation
D+ 53/100 11.7x β€” 2.5% -2.21% $357.61B /bac-vs-c β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000831001

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Citigroup Inc. (C) reported GAAP revenue of $85.22B (+5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $80.72B , and +9.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $14.31B, operating cash flow of -$67.63B, and free cash flow of -$74.15B (-183.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, C closed FY2025 with $2.66T in total assets against $1.10T in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $85.22B $14.31B -$67.63B -$74.15B $2.66T $1.10T
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $80.72B $12.68B -$19.67B -$26.17B $2.35T $964.61B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $78.07B $9.23B -$73.42B -$76.93B $116.02B $27.15B

3. C Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is C stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $122.64 (-2.48% 1D, market cap $210.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, C ranks #940 in composite RQD confidence.

How does C compare to WFC and UBS in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), C carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.7x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 1.5%. By comparison, WFC (Wells Fargo & Company) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 11.9x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $254.59B) and UBS (UBS Group AG Registered) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $149.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAC leads on earnings multiple (11.7x) while UBS leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for C?

Per C's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000831001), Citigroup Inc. generated $85.22B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), $14.31B in net income, and -$74.15B in free cash flow against $2.66T in total assets and $1.10T in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is C trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

C last traded at $122.64 (-2.48% on volume of 13,630,426 shares), positioning the stock -5.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($129.77) and -3.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($126.65). Across its 52-week range of $95.83 to $147.96, C sits at the 51.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.0% ($116.51 to $128.77).

C Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does C pay a dividend and is it safe?

Citigroup Inc. (C) offers a 2.55% cash dividend yield ($3.13 annualized) and 3.15% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 39/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

C β€” Citigroup Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Citigroup Inc. scores 39 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4 of 20 (ROIC 1.5%; FCF yield -18%); Whale 13F Flow at 12 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 7 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 3 of 20 (Beta 0.93; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are Cash Engine and Macro Regime Fit, which together account for most of the shortfall. The sub-20% ROIC and deeply negative FCF yield signal that the rating treats cash generation as the central concern. Forensic balance sheet metrics are comparatively stronger, which suggests solvency is not the primary risk flagged; the concern is return efficiency and cash conversion. Institutional flow is moderately supportive, offering a partial offset. The valuation multiples in the Snapshot (P/E in the mid-teens) may look reasonable on earnings, but the rating's emphasis on FCF means earnings-based valuation may not capture the cash-flow picture. Investors weighing upside drivers should note the recent headlines' bullish framing against the quantitative grade's cautionary read.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$125.76$210.95B14.713.739.98.532.55%0.93$95.83 - $147.961.5%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines are listed from Yahoo Finance, CNN, Barron's, Beinsure, and TradingView. Two are tagged GREEN/CATALYST and four are tagged YELLOW/MARKET WIRE. Headlines reference a share price decline on one day, an earnings beat with a subsequent 4% slip, a Barron's piece on a potential 30% upside, and a Beinsure forecast citing a $152 price target. Article body text is not provided; the headlines are the only available content. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are listed.

Open Questions

  • What drives the negative FCF in all three reported periods, and how does it reconcile with positive net income?
  • What explains the gross margin of 0% and the rise in reported debt from FY 2023 to FY 2025?
  • What is the composition of the Roarable whale and insider pillar scores, given that no holders data is provided?
  • What is the EPS for each reported fiscal year, and what cash balances underlie the Debt/Equity ratio?
  • Do the cited price targets and upside claims in the news headlines rest on any documented methodology?

C Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Citigroup Inc. (C) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to C Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

C Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $122.64?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON C 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on C:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $110.67 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is C (D- β€’ RQD 39/100) a Buy at $125.76?

Welcome to the C (Citigroup Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $103.12 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $125.76

Pump the brakes on C β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on C, but look at what you are paying: 14.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Citigroup Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $152.17 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $125.76

C cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on C, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $125.76 (52-wk range $95.83 - $147.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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