Does BURL pay a dividend and is it safe?

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BURL / dividends

BJ (82) FIVE (75) DLTR (80) DG (75) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$237.09 -2.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $235.71

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $14.89B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BURL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BURL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Burlington Stores Inc. (NYSE: BURL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $237.09 (-2.17% 1D, market cap $14.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BURL ranks #382 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BURL compare to BJ and FIVE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), BURL carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.0x, gross margin of 43.8%, and ROIC of 22.8%. By comparison, BJ (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 25.3%, cap $13.56B) and FIVE (Five Below Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 37.7x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $13.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DG leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BURL?

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Per BURL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001579298), Burlington Stores Inc. generated $11.55B in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $610.2M in net income, and $171.6M in free cash flow against $9.92B in total assets and $2.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (43.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $235.71 (-0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BURL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BURL SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.69 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.5% FCF Margin ($171.6M FCF) & 43.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (36.9) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$263.26-5.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$248.13-5.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$234.02+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$237.09-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BURL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, BURL faces multiple-compression risk if 25.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($256.59) or 200D SMA ($306.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($236.02) toward Bear Floor ($184.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BURL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BURL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BURL)

✓Walkthrough of BURL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BURL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $242.4H $242.4L $237.1C $237.1VOL 1.10M

RES: $424.3SUP: $170.4SMA50: $256.6SMA200: $306.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BURL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BURL Butterfly Map → + Track BURL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

18.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BURL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BURL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BURL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BURL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #382 of 1009 ⚔️ BJ vs BURL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BURL vs. BJ, FIVE, DLTR, DG)

Industry: Department/Specialty Retail Stores (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) ranks #382 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #126 by equity capitalization ($14.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DG leads on earnings valuation at 19.0x trailing P/E, while BJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.3% ROIC and 18.6% gross margin. BJ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with BURL at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BURL ACTIVE Burlington Stores Inc.	D+	57/100	25.0x	43.8%	22.8%	-2.17%	$14.89B	Benchmark Subject
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.	A-	82/100	23.0x	18.6%	25.3%	+1.81%	$13.56B	/bj-vs-burl →
FIVE Five Below Inc.	B	75/100	37.7x	36.0%	13.8%	-1.85%	$13.27B	/five-vs-burl →
DLTR Dollar Tree Inc.	B+	80/100	19.3x	36.4%	23.9%	+1.39%	$25.12B	/dltr-vs-burl →
DG Dollar General Corporation	B	75/100	19.0x	30.7%	10.4%	+1.70%	$29.19B	/dg-vs-burl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001579298 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) reported GAAP revenue of $11.55B (+8.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.62B , and +19.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $610.2M, operating cash flow of $1.23B, and free cash flow of $171.6M (+1108.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BURL closed FY2025 with $9.92B in total assets against $2.32B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.69, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$11.55B	$610.2M	$1.23B	$171.6M	$9.92B	$2.32B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$10.62B	$503.6M	$863.4M	-$17.0M	$8.77B	$2.05B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$9.71B	$339.6M	$868.7M	$431.8M	$11.65B	$2.73B

3. BURL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BURL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BURL compare to BJ and FIVE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BURL?

Where is BURL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BURL last traded at $237.09 (-2.17% on volume of 1,095,825 shares), positioning the stock -7.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($256.59) and -22.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($306.55). Across its 52-week range of $226.85 to $378.33, BURL sits at the 6.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($218.60 to $255.58).

Direct Sub-Reports: BURL RQD Cockpit BURL 12M Forecast BURL Earnings & Move BURL Dividends & DRIP BURL Insiders & 13F BURL Whale Options BURL Profit Sankey BURL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BURL — Burlington Stores Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $237.09 (-2.17% 1D, market capitalization $14.89B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 22.8%, gross margin of 43.8%, operating margin of 6.4%, and free cash flow yield of 1.13%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.97x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.69, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.11x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Department/Specialty Retail Stores industry..2B. FY 2025 revenue was $11.55B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) reported $11.55B in annual revenue (up from $10.62B in FY2024, +8.8% YoY) and $610.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.71B revenue, $339.6M net income) through FY2025, BURL scaled operating cash flow to $1.23B and free cash flow to $171.6M, backed by $9.92B in total assets against $2.32B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Strong cash generator (43.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $226.85 – $378.33 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 25.0x trailing P/E and 9.7x EV/EBITDA against 6.4% operating margins and a 0.97x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks are recorded (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty).

Key Question #1: Can BURL sustain or expand its 6.4% operating margin and 22.8% ROIC against Department/Specialty Retail Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $11.55B and free cash flow of $171.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.32B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is BURL's 23.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.97x)?

BURL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BURL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

Bear of the Day: Burlington Stores (BURL)

TradingView report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO Adds Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) -- Shares Look 10% Undervalued on GF Value

GuruFocus report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Moomoo • 1d ago

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Burlington Stores (NYSE:BURL) Passed With Ease

Moomoo report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Did Earnings Beat Just Shift Burlington Stores (BURL) Investment Narrative?

Simply Wall St report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Burlington Stores (NYSE:BURL) Stock: Insider Jennifer Vecchio Sells 1,678 Shares

MarketBeat report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) Stock Down 4.2% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 83/100

GuruFocus report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 22h ago

Will Burlington Stores (BURL) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Burlington Stores (BURL) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BURL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $237.09?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BURL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $303.48 (+28.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong 22.8% ROIC and a 3.69 Altman Z-Score with 8/9 Piotroski F-Score point to a financially sound, cash-generative business.

Picked up a starter position in BURL in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $237.09. Strong 22.8% ROIC and a 3.69 Altman Z-Score with 8/9 Piotroski F-Score point to a financially sound, cash-generative business.. Trading inside a $226.85–$378.33 52-week range with 1.13% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Department/Specialty Retail Stores multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BURL's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $182.56 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $237.09

A 1.13% FCF yield, weak 6/20 whale flow score, and 7/20 macro-regime fit leave the stock with thin cash-return support and limited inst

Fading this rally in BURL at $237.09. A 1.13% FCF yield, weak 6/20 whale flow score, and 7/20 macro-regime fit leave the stock with thin cash-return support and limited institutional tailwind.. With a beta of 0.97 and the stock sitting at $237.09 (52-wk range $226.85–$378.33), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.