What is BMBL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BMBL.

Stock Ratings / Technology / BMBL / options

SMWB (44) EVER (81) CEVA (26) YALA (62) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$5.99 +0.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.98

Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $790.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BMBL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Bumble Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BMBL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $5.99 (+0.17% 1D, market cap $790.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, BMBL ranks #375 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BMBL compare to SMWB and EVER in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), BMBL carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 70.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SMWB (Similarweb Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $783.4M) and EVER (EverQuote Inc. (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 69.1%, cap $828.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YALA leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while EVER leads on capital efficiency (69.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BMBL?

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Per BMBL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001830043), Bumble Inc. (Class A) generated $965.7M in revenue (-9.9% YoY), -$693.1M in net income, and $250.4M in free cash flow against $1.43B in total assets and $582.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.98 (-0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 25.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BMBL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BMBL SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 88 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$5.95+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$5.95+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$5.98+0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$5.99-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BMBL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BMBL currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.80) and Max Pain ($6.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.71.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BMBL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BMBL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BMBL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BMBL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BMBL)

✓Walkthrough of BMBL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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BMBL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +40.28%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $5.98H $5.99L $5.98C $5.99VOL 3.01M

RES: $6.46SUP: $2.41SMA50: $3.80SMA200: $3.38

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BMBL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BMBL Butterfly Map → + Track BMBL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BMBL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BMBL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BMBL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BMBL)

Technology Rank #375 of 715 ⚔️ SMWB vs BMBL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BMBL vs. SMWB, EVER, CEVA, YALA)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) ranks #375 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #371 by equity capitalization ($790.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YALA leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while EVER leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.1% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. EVER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with BMBL at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BMBL ACTIVE Bumble Inc. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	70.8%	-35.0%	+0.17%	$790.5M	Benchmark Subject
SMWB Similarweb Ltd.	D	44/100	—	79.5%	-35.0%	-2.67%	$783.4M	/smwb-vs-bmbl →
EVER EverQuote Inc. (Class A)	A-	81/100	8.1x	96.0%	69.1%	+3.11%	$828.5M	/ever-vs-bmbl →
CEVA CEVA Inc.	E	26/100	—	87.1%	-3.0%	-8.18%	$831.1M	/ceva-vs-bmbl →
YALA Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share	C	62/100	5.8x	67.3%	34.1%	-2.31%	$833.5M	/yala-vs-bmbl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001830043 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) reported GAAP revenue of $965.7M (-9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.07B , and -8.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$693.1M, operating cash flow of $250.4M, and free cash flow of $250.4M (+102.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BMBL closed FY2025 with $1.43B in total assets against $582.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$965.7M	-$693.1M	$250.4M	$250.4M	$1.43B	$582.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.07B	-$557.0M	$123.4M	$123.4M	$2.52B	$611.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.05B	-$4.2M	$182.1M	$182.1M	—	—

3. BMBL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BMBL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BMBL compare to SMWB and EVER in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BMBL?

Where is BMBL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BMBL last traded at $5.99 (+0.17% on volume of 3,012,083 shares), positioning the stock +57.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.80) and +77.22% above its 200-day simple moving average ($3.38). Across its 52-week range of $2.44 to $6.00, BMBL sits at the 99.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 88.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($5.49 to $6.49).

Direct Sub-Reports: BMBL RQD Cockpit BMBL 12M Forecast BMBL Earnings & Move BMBL Dividends & DRIP BMBL Insiders & 13F BMBL Whale Options BMBL Profit Sankey BMBL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BMBL — Bumble Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.99 (+0.17% 1D, market capitalization $790.5M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 70.8%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.02x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry,. The source data identifies the company's products, customers, and revenue model only at the level of its reported revenue figures; no further description of its offerings or monetization channels is provided in the source data..8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) reported $965.7M in annual revenue (up from $1.07B in FY2024, -9.9% YoY) and -$693.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.05B revenue, -$4.2M net income) through FY2025, BMBL scaled operating cash flow to $250.4M and free cash flow to $250.4M, backed by $1.43B in total assets against $582.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 16/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.44 – $6.00 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— Sector correlations, upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and second-order bottlenecks are not identified in the source data. The only sector-level context available is the Technology sector and Computer Software industry classification from the profile.

Key Question #1: Can BMBL sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Computer Software: Programming Data Processing peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $965.7M and free cash flow of $250.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $582.7M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is BMBL's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BMBL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BMBL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Why Is Bumble (BMBL) Stock Soaring Today

Yahoo Finance report covering Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Fast Company • 1d ago

Bumble stock soars as the embattled dating app strikes deal to go private

Fast Company report covering Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago

Bumble stock surges on report of $1B buyout talks

Investing.com report covering Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 1d ago

Why Bumble Stock Skyrocketed Today

The Motley Fool report covering Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST 24/7 Wall St. • 1d ago

Bumble Soars 56% as Ithaca Holdings Agrees to Take It Private at $6.05 a Share; Match Group Advances 2%

24/7 Wall St. report covering Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Bumble Stock: The Cigar Butt Delivered (NASDAQ:BMBL)

Seeking Alpha report covering Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Bumble (BMBL) Stock Fair Value Rises After Ithaca Buyout Anchors Analyst Views

Yahoo Finance report covering Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 1d ago

Bumble Stock Jumps as Dating App Nears $1 Billion Take-Private Deal

Benzinga report covering Bumble Inc. (Class A) (BMBL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BMBL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BMBL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.55 (+26.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation (16/20 whale pillar) and a reported $6.05 take-private offer above the $5.98 price offer a near-term catalys

Long BMBL at $5.99 targeting $7.55. Institutional accumulation (16/20 whale pillar) and a reported $6.05 take-private offer above the $5.98 price offer a near-term catalyst.. Institutional whale score is 16/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.44 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BMBL's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.85 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $5.99

Negative ROIC of -35%, a -60% operating margin, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 signal financial distress with weak cash economics.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on BMBL: Negative ROIC of -35%, a -60% operating margin, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 signal financial distress with weak cash economics.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing triggers a 12-15% air pocket.