Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$10.57 -1.12% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.53

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $905.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BLMN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BLMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $10.57 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $905.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BLMN ranks #332 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BLMN compare to BH and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BLMN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 111.1x, gross margin of 70.2%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, BH (Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $916.0M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $786.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLMN?
β–Ό

Per BLMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001546417), Bloomin' Brands Inc. generated $3.96B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $8.2M in net income, and $96.8M in free cash flow against $3.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 111x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.53 (-0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 2.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.5% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (16)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$13 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BLMN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BLMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BLMN SCORES 60/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.4% FCF Margin ($96.8M FCF) & 70.2% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$9.21+12.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$10.34-12.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$9.08+16.4% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$10.57+0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (52) β†’ C- (60)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BLMN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, BLMN faces multiple-compression risk if 111.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 111x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.23) or 200D SMA ($7.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.67) toward Bear Floor ($8.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BLMNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBLMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
5.98% Total Yield
4.18% Cash ($0.44/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
25.7% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $24,782

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,482/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$12.0K
Yr 2
$13.1K
Yr 3
$14.4K
Yr 4
$15.7K
Yr 5
$17.2K
Yr 6
$18.9K
Yr 7
$20.7K
Yr 8
$22.6K
Yr 9
$24.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in BLMN & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on BLMN and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BLMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +87.74%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $10.69H $10.69L $10.57C $10.57VOL 2.21M
RES: $10.93SUP: $7.85SMA50: $9.23SMA200: $7.91
$13.13$11.07$9.01$6.95$4.89RES $10.93SUP $7.85$10.572026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BLMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BLMN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BLMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BLMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BLMN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #332 of 1011 βš”οΈ BH vs BLMN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BLMN vs. BH, FWRG, CNNE, HDL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) ranks #332 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #521 by equity capitalization ($905.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FWRG leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while BLMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 70.2% gross margin. BH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with BLMN at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BLMN ACTIVE
Bloomin' Brands Inc.
C- 60/100 111.1x 70.2% 10.7% -1.12% $905.0M Benchmark Subject
BH
Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)
C- 61/100 β€” 59.2% -7.2% +0.87% $916.0M /bh-vs-blmn β†’
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.
D- 38/100 39.7x β€” 3.6% +1.84% $786.2M /fwrg-vs-blmn β†’
CNNE
Cannae Holdings Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 15.5% -10.6% -0.06% $743.4M /cnne-vs-blmn β†’
HDL
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
D 46/100 β€” β€” β€” 0.00% $643.8M /hdl-vs-blmn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-28 β€’ CIK 0001546417

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.96B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.95B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.2M, operating cash flow of $276.7M, and free cash flow of $96.8M (+1208.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BLMN closed FY2025 with $3.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.84, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $3.96B $8.2M $276.7M $96.8M $3.17B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $3.95B -$128.0M $228.1M $7.4M $3.38B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.17B $247.4M $532.4M $532.4M β€” β€”

3. BLMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BLMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $10.57 (-1.12% 1D, market cap $905.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BLMN ranks #332 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BLMN compare to BH and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BLMN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 111.1x, gross margin of 70.2%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, BH (Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $916.0M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $786.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLMN?

Per BLMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001546417), Bloomin' Brands Inc. generated $3.96B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $8.2M in net income, and $96.8M in free cash flow against $3.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 111x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BLMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BLMN last traded at $10.57 (-1.12% on volume of 2,207,393 shares), positioning the stock +14.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.23) and +33.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.91). Across its 52-week range of $5.19 to $12.63, BLMN sits at the 72.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($9.25 to $11.89).

BLMN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does BLMN pay a dividend and is it safe?

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) offers a 4.18% cash dividend yield ($0.44 annualized) and 5.98% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 60/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BLMN β€” Bloomin' Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BLMN scores 60 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 12 of 20, supported by ROIC of 10.7% and an FCF yield of 10.57%, which is the strongest cash-generation signal in the rating. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 16 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning, making it the highest-scoring pillar. The insider conviction pillar scores 11 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 11 of 20, reflecting a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 of 20, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.84, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the cash-flow yield and institutional interest, while the valuation tradeoff is significant: the trailing P/E of 111.1 and forward P/E of 103.3 sit against thin reported margins, and the weak Altman Z-Score signals elevated financial-distress risk that the cash engine must offset. The rating therefore reads as a cautious neutral rather than a clear buy or sell.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$10.69$915.3M111.1103.34.50.14.18%1.0$5.19 - $12.6310.7%

Business

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Restaurants industry. Per the company profile, the issuer has a market capitalization of $0.9B. The source data does not specify the brands, menu offerings, customer segments, or the detailed revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Gross margin is reported at 70.2%, operating margin at 0.9%, and net margin at 0.2%.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six news items are listed for BLMN, all tagged with a YELLOW signal and "MARKET WIRE" impact label. Headlines reference a Yahoo! Finance Canada report, a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Bloomin' Brands' Turnaround Is An Encouraging Work In Progress," a Moomoo options chain page, a TradingView estimates page, a Yahoo Finance relative-performance article, and a Benzinga transcript of the Q2 2026 earnings conference call. The turnaround framing in the Seeking Alpha headline and the earnings-call transcript are the most directly fundamental catalysts in the feed; the remaining items are primarily market-data and aggregator pages. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the proprietary signals list is empty.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream supplier dependencies, downstream customer relationships, or sector correlation coefficients. A prospective investor should note that the Consumer Discretionary and Restaurants classification alone does not establish any second-order linkages in this dataset.

Open Questions

  • What drove the gap between the FY 2024 net loss of $-128.0M and the FY 2025 net income of $8.2M, and how much of that improvement is durable?
  • Does the 10.57% FCF yield reflect sustainable free cash flow, given FCF fell from $532.4M in FY 2023 to $96.8M in FY 2025?
  • What is the company's debt level in dollar terms, since the source reports Debt as N/A despite a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • What specific operating changes underpin the "turnaround" narrative referenced in the Seeking Alpha headline?
  • How will the 0.84 Altman Z-Score and the 111.1 trailing P/E reconcile with the 4.18% dividend yield?

BLMN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BLMN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BLMN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $10.57?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BLMN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BLMN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $11.55 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BLMN (C- β€’ RQD 60/100) a Buy at $10.69?

Welcome to the BLMN (Bloomin' Brands Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (111.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.23 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $10.69

Pump the brakes on BLMN β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BLMN, but look at what you are paying: 111.1x trailing P/E with 70.2% gross margins. Unless Bloomin' Brands Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.47 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $10.69

BLMN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BLMN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.69 (52-wk range $5.19 - $12.63), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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