Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$393.70 +0.87% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $393.57

Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $916.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (NYSE: BH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $393.70 (+0.87% 1D, market cap $916.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BH ranks #310 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BH compare to BLMN and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BH carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.2%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, BLMN (Bloomin' Brands Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 111.1x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $905.0M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $786.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BH?
β–Ό

Per BH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001726173), Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) generated $395.3M in revenue (+9.2% YoY), -$37.5M in net income, and $76.6M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $213.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $393.58 (-0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 19.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$508 Bull$399 Base$311 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BH SCORES 61/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 64% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$388.05+14% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$442.21-12.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$386.06+2% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$393.70+0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (53) β†’ C- (61)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, BH faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 56.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($376.73) or 200D SMA ($356.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($399.01) toward Bear Floor ($311.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BHβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How BH Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$76.6M (19.4% FCF Margin)
Revenue$395.3MGross Profit $233.9M (59.2%)Cost of Sales $161.3MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $233.9MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $365.3M
FY24
Rev $362.1M
FY25
Rev $395.3M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$395.3M59.2%0%-$37.5M$76.6M-7.2%
FY 2024$362.1M60.4%0%-$3.8M$19.1M-7.2%
FY 2023$365.3M59.2%0%$54.9M$73.0M-7.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BH)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +38.14%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $390.3H $393.7L $390.3C $393.7VOL 76.7K
RES: $471.2SUP: $323.3SMA50: $376.7SMA200: $356.7
$476.5$411.0$345.6$280.1$214.6RES $471.2SUP $323.3$393.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BH today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #310 of 1011 βš”οΈ BLMN vs BH Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BH vs. BLMN, FWRG, CNNE, HDL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) ranks #310 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #517 by equity capitalization ($916.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FWRG leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while BLMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 70.2% gross margin. BH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BH ACTIVE
Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)
C- 61/100 β€” 59.2% -7.2% +0.87% $916.0M Benchmark Subject
BLMN
Bloomin' Brands Inc.
C- 60/100 111.1x 70.2% 10.7% -1.12% $905.0M /blmn-vs-bh β†’
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.
D- 38/100 39.7x β€” 3.6% +1.84% $786.2M /fwrg-vs-bh β†’
CNNE
Cannae Holdings Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 15.5% -10.6% -0.06% $743.4M /cnne-vs-bh β†’
HDL
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
D 46/100 β€” β€” β€” 0.00% $643.8M /hdl-vs-bh β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001726173

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) reported GAAP revenue of $395.3M (+9.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $362.1M , and +8.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$37.5M, operating cash flow of $107.0M, and free cash flow of $76.6M (+301.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BH closed FY2025 with $1.03B in total assets against $213.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $395.3M -$37.5M $107.0M $76.6M $1.03B $213.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $362.1M -$3.8M $49.7M $19.1M $866.1M $10.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $365.3M $54.9M $73.0M $73.0M β€” β€”

3. BH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (NYSE: BH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $393.70 (+0.87% 1D, market cap $916.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BH ranks #310 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BH compare to BLMN and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BH carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.2%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, BLMN (Bloomin' Brands Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 111.1x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $905.0M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $786.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BH?

Per BH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001726173), Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) generated $395.3M in revenue (+9.2% YoY), -$37.5M in net income, and $76.6M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $213.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BH last traded at $393.70 (+0.87% on volume of 76,701 shares), positioning the stock +4.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($376.73) and +10.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($356.68). Across its 52-week range of $234.92 to $483.60, BH sits at the 63.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.0% ($362.20 to $425.20).

BH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), BH converted $395.3M of revenue into a 59.2% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $76.6M in free cash flow (19.4% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 61/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BH β€” Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BH scores 61 out of 100, earning a C- and the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -7.2% and an FCF yield of 8.44%. Positive free-cash-flow yield is offset by negative returns on invested capital, which means the business is generating cash relative to its market value while not earning a return on the capital deployed in it.
  • Whale 13F Flow (12/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning are rated mid-range, indicating neither strong conviction nor clear distribution in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (11/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores lowest of the five pillars, signaling limited insider-driven confirmation of the thesis.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity place BH at market-level systematic risk, without a defensive or high-beta tilt.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.41 indicate a balance sheet that is reasonably sound on these measures.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars, while the valuation and return-on-capital tradeoffs are the main drags. Negative ROIC means that growth in capital employed has not yet translated into value creation. The insider and institutional pillars do not provide strong external confirmation in either direction. This is an analytical framing of the source data, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$395.3M$0.0M$-37.5MN/A$76.6M$268.8M$213.9M
FY 2024$362.1M$0.0M$-3.8MN/A$19.1M$30.7M$10.0M
FY 2023$365.3M$0.0M$54.9MN/A$73.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $362.1M in FY 2024 to $395.3M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $-3.8M to $-37.5M. Per the market data, the net margin is -9.5%, the operating margin is 0%, and the gross margin is 59.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.41. Per the SEC financials, cash rose to $268.8M in FY 2025 against debt of $213.9M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the items are:

  • Market wire (YELLOW): Yahoo Finance report on BH market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): GuruFocus headline noting the stock rose 3.6% while GF Value suggested overvaluation.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): Stock Titan report that San Antonio's Majestic Theatre is set to host the 2027 shareholder meeting.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): Simply Wall St report that BH.A could be 35% above fair value after a sharp pullback.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): TradingView listing for CAVA (NYSE:CAVA), a separate ticker, tagged as related to BH.
  • Risk watch (RED): Stock Traders Daily report titled "Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in BH Response."

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drove the FY 2025 net loss of $-37.5M given flat-to-rising revenue, and is it recurring?
  • Why is operating income reported as $0.0M in every period, and what is the correct operating profit figure?
  • What are the P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS figures that would let the 8.44% FCF yield be compared with valuation peers?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and has the 13F and Form 4 activity moved in either direction?
  • What is the cash and debt position for FY 2023, which is currently unreported?

BH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) (BH) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BH Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $393.70?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BH:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $421.55 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BH (C- β€’ RQD 61/100) a Buy at $390.32?

Welcome to the BH (Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $323.97 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $390.32

Pump the brakes on BH β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BH, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 59.2% gross margins. Unless Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $487.90 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $390.32

BH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $390.32 (52-wk range $234.92 - $483.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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