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Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.09 -3.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08

Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $29.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BCHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Birchtech Corp. (NYSE: BCHT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.09 (-3.98% 1D, market cap $29.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, BCHT ranks #439 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCHT compare to SYPR and PPSI in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), BCHT carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SYPR (Sypris Solutions Inc.) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.3%, cap $30.4M) and PPSI (Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.8%, cap $28.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCHT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AETR leads on capital efficiency (-16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCHT?
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Per BCHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000728385), Birchtech Corp. generated $17.6M in revenue (+1.3% YoY), -$3.0M in net income, and -$729.4K in free cash flow against $9.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08 (-0.91%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.7% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE BCHT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCHT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BCHT SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 42% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$1.41-16.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$1.18+6.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$1.26-13.5% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$1.09-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCHT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BCHT currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.36) and Max Pain ($1.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.04.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCHT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BCHT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.14 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $1.09$1.23 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BCHT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 26/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.3%

Model Bullish Setup (26/100)Model Risk Weight (74/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$17.6M-$3.0M-$729.4K42%
FY 20242024-12-31$17.4M-$10.8M-$4.9M40.8%
FY 20232023-12-31$17.6M$5.7M$19.2M42%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCHT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BCHT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BCHT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.21H $1.21L $1.09C $1.09VOL 11.7K
RES: $1.41SUP: $1.08SMA50: $1.36SMA200: $1.88
$3.33$2.72$2.11$1.51$0.90RES $1.41SUP $1.08$1.092026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCHT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCHT Butterfly Map → + Track BCHT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCHT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCHT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCHT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCHT)

Industrials Rank #439 of 486 ⚔️ SYPR vs BCHT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (BCHT vs. SYPR, PPSI, GAUZ, AETR)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) ranks #439 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #425 by equity capitalization ($29.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCHT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AETR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -16.3% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. AETR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 31/100 (E) compared with BCHT at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BCHT ACTIVE
Birchtech Corp.
E 26/100 — 42.0% -35.0% -3.98% $29.7M Benchmark Subject
SYPR
Sypris Solutions Inc.
E 18/100 — 7.8% -29.3% -2.27% $30.4M /sypr-vs-bcht →
PPSI
Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
E 27/100 — 12.4% -17.8% -5.51% $28.2M /ppsi-vs-bcht →
GAUZ
Gauzy Ltd.
E 26/100 — 28.7% -35.0% +9.61% $26.2M /gauz-vs-bcht →
AETR
Aetherion Technologies Inc.
E 31/100 — 11.5% -16.3% -0.53% $35.9M /aetr-vs-bcht →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000728385 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) reported GAAP revenue of $17.6M (+1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.4M , and +0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.0M, operating cash flow of -$700.1K, and free cash flow of -$729.4K (+85.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCHT closed FY2025 with $9.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.6M -$3.0M -$700.1K -$729.4K $9.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $17.4M -$10.8M -$4.1M -$4.9M $10.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $17.6M $5.7M $19.2M $19.2M — —

3. BCHT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Birchtech Corp. (NYSE: BCHT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.09 (-3.98% 1D, market cap $29.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, BCHT ranks #439 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCHT compare to SYPR and PPSI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), BCHT carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SYPR (Sypris Solutions Inc.) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.3%, cap $30.4M) and PPSI (Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.8%, cap $28.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCHT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AETR leads on capital efficiency (-16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCHT?

Per BCHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000728385), Birchtech Corp. generated $17.6M in revenue (+1.3% YoY), -$3.0M in net income, and -$729.4K in free cash flow against $9.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCHT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCHT last traded at $1.09 (-3.98% on volume of 169,649 shares), positioning the stock -19.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.36) and -42.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.88). Across its 52-week range of $1.10 to $4.80, BCHT sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.23).

Direct Sub-Reports: BCHT RQD Cockpit BCHT 12M Forecast BCHT Earnings & Move BCHT Dividends & DRIP BCHT Insiders & 13F BCHT Whale Options BCHT Profit Sankey BCHT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BCHT — Birchtech Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.09 (-3.98% 1D, market capitalization $29.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 42.0%, operating margin of -17.2%, and free cash flow yield of -2.29%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Birchtech Corp. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry (and profile). Revenue is reported at $17.6M for FY 2025 ().

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) reported $17.6M in annual revenue (up from $17.4M in FY2024, +1.3% YoY) and -$3.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($17.6M revenue, $5.7M net income) through FY2025, BCHT scaled operating cash flow to -$700.1K and free cash flow to -$729.4K, backed by $9.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.29% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.10 – $4.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -17.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector correlation and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be determined from supplied material. The investor should watch whether the patent judgment and the compliance-scrutiny item produce any measurable effect on revenue or margins in the upcoming earnings report.

  • Key Question #1: Can BCHT sustain or expand its -17.2% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $17.6M and free cash flow of -$729.4K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BCHT's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BCHT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BCHT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BCHT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.09?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BCHT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BCHT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.41 (+24.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A $78 million patent infringement judgment, with the company filing in support of it at the Federal Circuit, could become a meaningful

Don't sleep on BCHT's setup in Industrials. A $78 million patent infringement judgment, with the company filing in support of it at the Federal Circuit, could become a meaningful recovery source for a $31.8M market-cap company.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (26/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BCHT's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.92 (-18.6%)
Spot @ $1.13

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -2.29% show the business is destroying capital, and the RQD rating sits at 26 with a Strong Sell verdict.

I respect the product at Birchtech Corp., but the stock at $1.13 is a different story. ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -2.29% show the business is destroying capital, and the RQD rating sits at 26 with a Strong Sell verdict.. FCF yield is -2.29% and RQD sits at 26/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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