Beta Bionics Inc. (BBNX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$15.90 -5.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.72

Beta Bionics Inc. (BBNX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $910.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BBNX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Beta Bionics Inc. (NASDAQ: BBNX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $15.90 (-5.07% 1D, market cap $910.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BBNX ranks #564 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BBNX compare to SIBN and IRMD in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), BBNX carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.4%, and ROIC of -22.1%. By comparison, SIBN (SI-BONE Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.3%, cap $951.5M) and IRMD (iRadimed Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 48.8x, ROIC 37.7%, cap $980.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRMD leads on earnings multiple (48.8x) while IRMD leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBNX?
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Per BBNX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674632), Beta Bionics Inc. generated $100.3M in revenue (+53.9% YoY), -$73.2M in net income, and -$56.2M in free cash flow against $328.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.73 (-1.10%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (6)SEC (11)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
$34 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE BBNX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BBNX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BBNX SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 12.82 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 55.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$17.69+0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$17.74+20.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$21.39-25.7% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$15.90-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BBNX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BBNX currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.02) and Max Pain ($16.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $34.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BBNX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BBNX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.99 Expected Swing
$13.91 (-12.5%)Spot $15.90$17.89 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BBNX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 36/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 53.9%

Model Bullish Setup (36/100)Model Risk Weight (64/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$100.3M-$73.2M-$56.2M55.4%
FY 20242024-12-31$65.1M-$54.8M-$51.7M55.1%
FY 20232023-12-31$12.0M-$44.1M-$32.4M55.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BBNX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BBNX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BBNX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +55.58%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $17.58H $17.58L $15.90C $15.90VOL 1.07M
RES: $27.21SUP: $12.08SMA50: $19.02SMA200: $14.81
$24.58$20.36$16.14$11.92$7.70RES $27.21SUP $12.08$15.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BBNX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +53.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BBNX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BBNX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BBNX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BBNX)

Health Care Rank #564 of 1016 ⚔️ SIBN vs BBNX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BBNX vs. SIBN, IRMD, IART, KIDS)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Beta Bionics Inc. (BBNX) ranks #564 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #370 by equity capitalization ($910.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IRMD leads on earnings valuation at 48.8x trailing P/E, while IRMD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.7% ROIC and 76.7% gross margin. IRMD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with BBNX at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BBNX ACTIVE
Beta Bionics Inc.
D- 36/100 — 55.4% -22.1% -5.07% $910.6M Benchmark Subject
SIBN
SI-BONE Inc.
D+ 52/100 — 79.6% -10.3% -4.76% $951.5M /sibn-vs-bbnx →
IRMD
iRadimed Corporation
D+ 55/100 48.8x 76.7% 37.7% +3.57% $980.5M /irmd-vs-bbnx →
IART
Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation
E 19/100 — 50.9% -35.0% +6.75% $992.0M /iart-vs-bbnx →
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics Corp.
D 50/100 — 73.1% -7.3% -1.42% $806.0M /kids-vs-bbnx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001674632

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Beta Bionics Inc. (BBNX) reported GAAP revenue of $100.3M (+53.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $65.1M , and +735.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$73.2M, operating cash flow of -$50.9M, and free cash flow of -$56.2M (-8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BBNX closed FY2025 with $328.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.82, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $100.3M -$73.2M -$50.9M -$56.2M $328.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $65.1M -$54.8M -$48.3M -$51.7M $149.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.0M -$44.1M -$32.4M -$32.4M — —

3. BBNX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BBNX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Beta Bionics Inc. (NASDAQ: BBNX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $15.90 (-5.07% 1D, market cap $910.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BBNX ranks #564 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BBNX compare to SIBN and IRMD in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), BBNX carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.4%, and ROIC of -22.1%. By comparison, SIBN (SI-BONE Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.3%, cap $951.5M) and IRMD (iRadimed Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 48.8x, ROIC 37.7%, cap $980.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRMD leads on earnings multiple (48.8x) while IRMD leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBNX?

Per BBNX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674632), Beta Bionics Inc. generated $100.3M in revenue (+53.9% YoY), -$73.2M in net income, and -$56.2M in free cash flow against $328.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BBNX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BBNX last traded at $15.90 (-5.07% on volume of 804,271 shares), positioning the stock -16.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.02) and +7.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.81). Across its 52-week range of $8.80 to $32.71, BBNX sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.91 to $17.89).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BBNX — Beta Bionics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:34Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BBNX scores 39 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. ROIC is -22.1% and FCF yield is -5.88%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently converting capital into positive returns or free cash flow, so any valuation case must rest on future earnings expansion rather than current cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. this is the lowest pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score here signals weak insider-side confidence as measured by the rating model.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity considered. The stock's market-level volatility is in line with the broad market, but the pillar score reflects limited alignment with the current regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20. Altman Z is 12.82, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating a relatively stronger balance sheet position than the other pillars, though the Piotroski score sits below the midpoint.

Taken together, the rating points to a business with a comparatively sturdy balance sheet but weak operating returns, negative cash flow, and thin insider and institutional support. Valuation tradeoffs are significant given the negative margins noted in the market data.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 55.4%. — for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue model descriptions.

Revenue rose from $12.0M in FY 2023 to $100.3M in FY 2025, while operating losses and free cash flow outflows widened over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are both -60%. ROIC is -22.1%, Altman Z-Score is 12.82, and Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5; the debt line item is — for the reported periods.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Revenue scaled from $12.0M in FY 2023 to $100.3M in FY 2025 while the forensic balance sheet scored 11 / 20 with an Altman Z of 12.82. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC -22.1%, FCF yield -5.88%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $8.80 – $32.71 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Operating margin of -60% and FCF of -$56.2M in FY 2025, with ROIC at -22.1% and Insider Conviction scored 3 / 20. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals recorded. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks are — Investors should note that the class action items in the news feed are the only cross-cutting event signals present in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: What are the forward earnings and cash-flow estimates, given that analyst data is absent and forward P/E is unavailable?
  • Key Question #2: What is the company's debt schedule and cash runway, since the debt line item is —?
  • Key Question #3: What is the scope and merit of the securities class action referenced in the news feed?

BBNX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Beta Bionics Inc. (BBNX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BBNX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BBNX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.90?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BBNX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BBNX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.27 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue scaled from $12.0M in FY 2023 to $100.3M in FY 2025 while the forensic balance sheet scored 11 / 20 with an Altman Z of 12.82.

Revenue scaled from $12.0M in FY 2023 to $100.3M in FY 2025 while the forensic balance sheet scored 11 / 20 with an Altman Z of 12.82.. When you look under the hood at BBNX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 55.4% gross margins and -22.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (6/20) has been quietly accumulating below $32.71. My 12M target is $20.27.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Medical/Dental Instruments. If gross margin (55.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.90 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $16.75

Operating margin of -60% and FCF of -$56.2M in FY 2025, with ROIC at -22.1% and Insider Conviction scored 3 / 20.

Operating margin of -60% and FCF of -$56.2M in FY 2025, with ROIC at -22.1% and Insider Conviction scored 3 / 20.. Look at the math on BBNX: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -22.1% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Medical/Dental Instruments demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $14.74 before getting long.

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