What is AXR's 12-month stock price target?

AMREP Corporation (AXR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $21.17 (+3.2% from $20.52), with a bull-case target of $30.46 and a bear-case floor of $16.51.

Stock Ratings / Real Estate / AXR / forecast

IRS (47) JOE (76) BXBL (44) SPHL (35) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AMREP Corporation (AXR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is AXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AXR C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 65/100.

$20.52 -1.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.42

AMREP Corporation (AXR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $111.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AXR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, AMREP Corporation (NYSE: AXR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $20.52 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $111.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AXR ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AXR compare to IRS and JOE in the Real Estate sector?

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Within the Real Estate sector (Homebuilding), AXR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, IRS (IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones S.A. Global )) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B) and JOE (St. Joe Company) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 35.1x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXR leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXR?

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Per AXR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000006207), AMREP Corporation generated $52.8M in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $10.4M in net income, and $12.8M in free cash flow against $143.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.42 (-0.49%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 24.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AXR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AXR SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.2% FCF Margin ($12.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 16.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$20.40-1.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$20.12+4.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$20.99-2.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$20.52+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AXR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, AXR faces multiple-compression risk if 10.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.82) or 200D SMA ($24.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.17) toward Bear Floor ($16.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AXR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AXR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AXR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $20.52: 487.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $16.51

$8,046

$-1,954 (-19.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $21.17

$10,317

+$317 (+3.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $30.46

$14,844

+$4,844 (+48.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$22	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$29	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$19	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AXR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AXR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.69%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $21.11H $21.11L $20.52C $20.52VOL 3.6K

RES: $21.79SUP: $19.05SMA50: $21.82SMA200: $24.29

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AXR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AXR Butterfly Map → + Track AXR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AXR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AXR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AXR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AXR)

Real Estate Rank #10 of 51 ⚔️ IRS vs AXR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (AXR vs. IRS, JOE, BXBL, SPHL)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMREP Corporation (AXR) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #24 by equity capitalization ($111.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXR leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while JOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 43.1% gross margin. JOE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with AXR at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AXR ACTIVE AMREP Corporation	C	65/100	10.8x	—	11.0%	-1.68%	$111.1M	Benchmark Subject
IRS IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones S.A. Global )	D	47/100	—	—	—	-12.98%	$1.21B	/irs-vs-axr →
JOE St. Joe Company	B+	76/100	35.1x	43.1%	18.1%	-1.60%	$3.96B	/joe-vs-axr →
BXBL BOXABL Inc.	D	44/100	46.1x	—	-23.4%	+4.57%	$68.2M	/bxbl-vs-axr →
SPHL Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	13.7%	-27.0%	-1.73%	$28.3M	/sphl-vs-axr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000006207

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), AMREP Corporation (AXR) reported GAAP revenue of $52.8M (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.7M , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.4M, operating cash flow of $12.9M, and free cash flow of $12.8M (+32.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AXR closed FY2025 with $143.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 16.45, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-04-30	$52.8M	$10.4M	$12.9M	$12.8M	$143.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-04-30	$49.7M	$12.7M	$10.2M	$9.7M	$128.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-04-30	$51.4M	$6.7M	$10.7M	$10.7M	—	—

3. AXR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AXR compare to IRS and JOE in the Real Estate sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXR?

Where is AXR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AXR last traded at $20.52 (-1.68% on volume of 7,211 shares), positioning the stock -5.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.82) and -15.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.29). Across its 52-week range of $17.61 to $29.01, AXR sits at the 25.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($19.06 to $21.98).

Direct Sub-Reports: AXR RQD Cockpit AXR 12M Forecast AXR Earnings & Move AXR Dividends & DRIP AXR Insiders & 13F AXR Whale Options AXR Profit Sankey AXR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AXR — AMREP Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:37Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AXR scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 (ROIC 11%; FCF yield 11.37%), which is the strongest contributor and suggests the business generates meaningful cash relative to its market value. Whale 13F Flow scores 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), the weakest pillar, indicating limited evidence of institutional conviction. Insider Conviction scores 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), a supportive signal. Macro Regime Fit scores 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), a middling reading that reflects market-level exposure without a clear tailwind. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16/20 (Altman Z 16.45; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), indicating a financially sound profile by the cited measures. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on cash generation and balance-sheet strength; the valuation tradeoff is that the low institutional-flow score tempers conviction, and the verdict itself is a balanced hold rather than a strong signal in either direction.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

.1B. Specific product lines, customer base, and revenue mechanics are — The FY 2025 revenue figure of $52.8M is but the source does not describe how that revenue is generated.

Per the market data, operating margin is 23.4%, net margin is 19.7%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 11%. Per the RQD pillars, the Altman Z-Score is 16.45 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash rose from $36.9M in FY 2024 to $50.0M in FY 2025 while FY 2025 net income was lower than FY 2024 ($10.4M versus $12.7M).

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 17/20 with ROIC of 11% and an 11.37% FCF yield, alongside Altman Z of 16.45 and Debt/Equity of 0.5. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 (ROIC 11.0%, FCF yield 11.37%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $17.61 – $29.01 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Whale 13F Flow scores only 6/20 and FY 2025 net income fell to $10.4M from $12.7M, with a reported Sell upgrade citing weak results. Investors must weigh 10.8x trailing P/E and 5.0x EV/EBITDA against 23.4% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are —

Key Question #1: What specific products and customers generate AMREP's revenue, and what drove the FY 2025 net income decline versus FY 2024?
Key Question #2: Why is the FY 2025 EPS, debt, and FY 2023 cash figure absent from the filings, and how would those change the Piotroski and balance-sheet read?
Key Question #3: What is the basis for the reported Sell upgrade, and what "weak results" does it reference?

AXR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AMREP Corporation (AXR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AXR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

AMREP vs. FRP Holdings: Which Real Estate Stock Is the Better Buy?

Yahoo Finance report covering AMREP Corporation (AXR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 23h ago

(AXR) Movement as an Input in Quant Signal Sets

Stock Traders Daily report covering AMREP Corporation (AXR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering AMREP Corporation (AXR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

AMREP Corporation (AXR) Ticks Higher: Shares Gain 2.77% to Close at $21.32 - Schiff Line

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering AMREP Corporation (AXR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Wall Street Zen upgrades AMREP stock to Sell amid weak results

ad-hoc-news.de report covering AMREP Corporation (AXR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Top Analyst Reports for Intel, Novartis & Itau Unibanco

Yahoo Finance report covering AMREP Corporation (AXR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Wall Street Zen changes AMREP rating: what it means for AMREP stock

ad-hoc-news.de report covering AMREP Corporation (AXR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Shivalik Rasayan Shares Slip 3.83% to ₹344.05, Drifting Toward Key Support - Factor Crowding

https://www.siam.in/ report covering AMREP Corporation (AXR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AXR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AXR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.46 (+22.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Fundamental Cash Engine scores 17/20 with ROIC of 11% and an 11.37% FCF yield, alongside Altman Z of 16.45 and Debt/Equity of 0.5.

Picked up a starter position in AXR in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $20.87. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 17/20 with ROIC of 11% and an 11.37% FCF yield, alongside Altman Z of 16.45 and Debt/Equity of 0.5.. Trading inside a $17.61–$29.01 52-week range with 11.37% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Homebuilding multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $20.87 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Real Estate.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.70 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $20.87

Whale 13F Flow scores only 6/20 and FY 2025 net income fell to $10.4M from $12.7M, with a reported Sell upgrade citing weak results.

Whale 13F Flow scores only 6/20 and FY 2025 net income fell to $10.4M from $12.7M, with a reported Sell upgrade citing weak results.. Look at the math on AXR: paying 10.8x trailing P/E for 11.0% ROIC and 23.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Homebuilding demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $18.37 before getting long.