Why AXP Stock slipped -1.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$319.11 -1.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $317.69

American Express Company (AXP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $217.06B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AXP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, American Express Company (NYSE: AXP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $319.11 (-1.42% 1D, market cap $217.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AXP ranks #168 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AXP compare to SPGI and MCO in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AXP carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, SPGI (S&P Global Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 29.9x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $133.55B) and MCO (Moody's Corporation) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $84.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXP leads on earnings multiple (20.0x) while MCO leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXP?
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Per AXP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000004962), American Express Company generated $41.30B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $10.83B in net income, and $16.00B in free cash flow against $300.05B in total assets and $119.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $317.67 (-0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 38.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (16)Whales (13)SEC (15)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$407 Bull$333 Base$260 Bear
📬 FREE AXP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AXP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AXP SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 38.7% FCF Margin ($16.00B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$309.84+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$318.34-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$312.91+2% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$319.11+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AXP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, AXP faces multiple-compression risk if 20.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($316.68) or 200D SMA ($325.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($333.47) toward Bear Floor ($260.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AXP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AXP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why AXP Stock slipped -1.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

American Express Company (AXP) slipped -1.42% to $319.11, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($290.97 – $387.49). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($290.97 – $387.49) with RSI-14 at 58 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.4% around $319.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $16.0B annual free cash flow.
Live AXP Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AXP Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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AXP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.03%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $317.9H $323.7L $317.9C $319.1VOL 2.88M
RES: $325.2SUP: $287.1SMA50: $316.7SMA200: $325.7
$367.8$348.6$329.5$310.4$291.3RES $325.2SUP $287.1$319.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AXP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AXP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AXP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AXP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AXP)

Financials Rank #168 of 1096 ⚔️ SPGI vs AXP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AXP vs. SPGI, MCO, NU, RKT)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Express Company (AXP) ranks #168 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #11 by equity capitalization ($217.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXP leads on earnings valuation at 20.0x trailing P/E, while MCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.6% ROIC and — gross margin. SPGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with AXP at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AXP ACTIVE
American Express Company
C+ 68/100 20.0x — 9.5% -1.42% $217.06B Benchmark Subject
SPGI
S&P Global Inc.
B 73/100 29.9x — 12.2% +1.28% $133.55B /spgi-vs-axp →
MCO
Moody's Corporation
B 73/100 34.3x — 30.6% +1.04% $84.27B /mco-vs-axp →
NU
Nu Holdings Ltd. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% -3.65% $58.51B /nu-vs-axp →
RKT
Rocket Companies Inc.
E 34/100 — — -0.2% +7.38% $33.75B /rkt-vs-axp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000004962

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Express Company (AXP) reported GAAP revenue of $41.30B (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.83B , and +11.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.83B, operating cash flow of $18.43B, and free cash flow of $16.00B (+31.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AXP closed FY2025 with $300.05B in total assets against $119.96B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $41.30B $10.83B $18.43B $16.00B $300.05B $119.96B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $38.83B $10.13B $14.05B $12.14B $271.46B $108.54B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $37.22B $8.37B $18.56B $16.88B $119.39B $27.94B

3. AXP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AXP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, American Express Company (NYSE: AXP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $319.11 (-1.42% 1D, market cap $217.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AXP ranks #168 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AXP compare to SPGI and MCO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AXP carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.5%. By comparison, SPGI (S&P Global Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 29.9x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $133.55B) and MCO (Moody's Corporation) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $84.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXP leads on earnings multiple (20.0x) while MCO leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXP?

Per AXP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000004962), American Express Company generated $41.30B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $10.83B in net income, and $16.00B in free cash flow against $300.05B in total assets and $119.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AXP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AXP last traded at $319.11 (-1.42% on volume of 2,565,345 shares), positioning the stock +0.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($316.68) and -2.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($325.70). Across its 52-week range of $290.97 to $387.49, AXP sits at the 29.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($305.07 to $333.15).

AXP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is AXP stock moving today?

Why AXP Stock slipped -1.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AXP — American Express Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:05Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, American Express Company (AXP) scores 68 out of 100 with a letter grade of C+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. The pillar cites ROIC of 9.5% and FCF yield of 7.37%. Together these suggest the business generates meaningful cash relative to its capital base and its market value, a upside driver for a prospective investor.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. The pillar description references institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is a moderate score, indicating mixed or unremarkable institutional signal strength.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. The pillar references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A relatively strong score here points to insider and congressional activity that the rating treats as constructive; the underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. The pillar cites beta of 0.95 and sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar and signals that the rating sees limited alignment between the stock and the prevailing macro regime, a valuation and timing tradeoff worth weighing.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. The pillar cites Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These point to a financially sound balance sheet with strong fundamental quality signals.

Taken together, the rating reads as a balanced profile: cash generation and balance sheet quality support the case, while macro fit and institutional flow temper it. The "Watch for Breakout" label indicates the rating sees the stock near a neutral midpoint rather than at a clear directional extreme. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
323.71$217.06B2018.619.216.161.05%0.95$290.97 - $387.499.5%

Open Questions

  • What are the specific underlying catalysts behind the Roarable insider and whale pillar scores, given that the transactions and 13F positions are not itemized?
  • How does the reported debt increase from FY 2023 to FY 2025 reconcile with the stated Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • What are the FY 2025 EPS, cash balance, and share count, which are listed as N/A or unavailable?
  • What does the upcoming earnings release referenced in the news headlines actually contain, and what are the consensus expectations?
  • What are the upstream and downstream dependencies and sector correlations that the Butterfly graph does not map?

AXP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Express Company (AXP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AXP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AXP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $319.11?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AXP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AXP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $349.61 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AXP (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $323.71?

Welcome to the AXP (American Express Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $265.44 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $323.71

Pump the brakes on AXP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AXP, but look at what you are paying: 20.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless American Express Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $391.69 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $323.71

AXP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AXP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $323.71 (52-wk range $290.97 - $387.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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