ROARABLE
Today ⌘ Pro Terminal Big Ideas 🎲 Predictions Screener πŸ¦‹ Butterfly 8 Analysts πŸ›οΈ Policy 🎬 Video β˜… Watchlist 🎲 Prediction Markets πŸ“Š RQD Track Record πŸ“… Next Catalysts πŸ›‘οΈ Overlap & Crash X-Ray πŸ“° Live Wire πŸ‹ 13F Whales πŸ›οΈ Congress & CEO Buys πŸ† $100K Arena ⌘ Pro Terminal πŸ“ Methodology & Corrections
Stock Ratings / Utilities / AWX / insiders
QRHC (30) RENX (18) VIVK (21) OIO (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.59 +2.36% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.60

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $10.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AWX Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Avalon Holdings Corporation (NYSE: AWX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $2.59 (+2.36% 1D, market cap $10.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, AWX ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AWX compare to QRHC and RENX in the Utilities sector?
β–Ό

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), AWX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.7x, gross margin of 19.5%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.0M) and RENX (RenX Enterprises Corp.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while AWX leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AWX?
β–Ό

Per AWX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001061069), Avalon Holdings Corporation generated $83.5M in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $321.0K in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $87.4M in total assets and $28.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.60 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 2.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (12)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$3 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AWX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AWX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AWX SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 28% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.5% FCF Margin ($2.1M FCF) & 19.5% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$2.45+6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$2.61+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$2.64-1.9% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$2.59+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AWX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, AWX faces multiple-compression risk if 30.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 17.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.58) or 200D SMA ($2.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.59) toward Bear Floor ($2.02).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AWXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAWX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AWX Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AWX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AWX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AWX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AWX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
AWX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.60%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $2.53H $2.59L $2.53C $2.59VOL 618
RES: $3.05SUP: $2.44SMA50: $2.58SMA200: $2.58
$2.92$2.79$2.66$2.52$2.39RES $3.05SUP $2.44$2.592026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AWX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ AWX Butterfly Map β†’ + Track AWX β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AWX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AWX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AWX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AWX)

Utilities Rank #38 of 117 βš”οΈ QRHC vs AWX Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (AWX vs. QRHC, RENX, VIVK, OIO)

Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) ranks #38 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #112 by equity capitalization ($10.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWX leads on earnings valuation at 30.7x trailing P/E, while AWX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and 19.5% gross margin. AWX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AWX ACTIVE
Avalon Holdings Corporation
D+ 58/100 30.7x 19.5% 2.6% +2.36% $10.1M Benchmark Subject
QRHC
Quest Resource Holding Corporation
E 30/100 β€” 17.0% -12.3% -1.80% $23.0M /qrhc-vs-awx β†’
RENX
RenX Enterprises Corp.
E 18/100 β€” 29.1% -35.0% -4.63% $3.6M /renx-vs-awx β†’
VIVK
Vivakor Inc.
E 21/100 β€” 36.1% -35.0% -42.03% $1.4M /vivk-vs-awx β†’
OIO
OIO Group
D 50/100 β€” β€” β€” +0.53% $661.2M /oio-vs-awx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001061069

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) reported GAAP revenue of $83.5M (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.8M , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $321.0K, operating cash flow of $3.8M, and free cash flow of $2.1M (+83.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AWX closed FY2025 with $87.4M in total assets against $28.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $83.5M $321.0K $3.8M $2.1M $87.4M $28.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $83.8M $1.3M $3.4M $1.1M $86.2M $28.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $80.9M -$1.8M $2.4M $2.4M β€” β€”

3. AWX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Avalon Holdings Corporation (NYSE: AWX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $2.59 (+2.36% 1D, market cap $10.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, AWX ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AWX compare to QRHC and RENX in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), AWX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.7x, gross margin of 19.5%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.0M) and RENX (RenX Enterprises Corp.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while AWX leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AWX?

Per AWX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001061069), Avalon Holdings Corporation generated $83.5M in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $321.0K in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $87.4M in total assets and $28.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AWX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AWX last traded at $2.59 (+2.36% on volume of 618 shares), positioning the stock +0.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.58) and +0.39% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.58). Across its 52-week range of $2.43 to $3.00, AWX sits at the 28.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.3% ($2.38 to $2.80).

AWX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are AWX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AWX leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: AWX RQD Cockpit AWX 12M Forecast AWX Earnings & Move AWX Dividends & DRIP AWX Insiders & 13F AWX Whale Options AWX Profit Sankey AWX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AWX β€” Avalon Holdings Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AWX scores 54 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 13 out of 20, reflecting ROIC of 2.6% alongside an FCF yield of 20.84%; the high FCF yield is paired with a very low ROIC, which suggests cash generation is small in absolute terms relative to the capital base and that the yield figure should be read with caution. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 6 out of 20, the weakest pillar, pointing to limited institutional accumulation and options positioning support. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 12 out of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 11 out of 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 12 out of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.73. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the cash-yield and balance-sheet pillars, while the valuation tradeoff is that trailing P/E of 30.7 and EV/EBITDA of 9.7 sit against a thin 2.4% operating margin and 2.6% ROIC. Per the RQD rating, the overall composite leans toward caution.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
2.53$9.9M30.728.69.70.080%1.0$2.43 - $32.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$83.5M$2.0M$0.3MN/A$2.1M$4.1M$28.0M
FY 2024$83.8M$3.1M$1.3MN/A$1.1M$2.8M$28.6M
FY 2023$80.9M$0.1M$-1.8MN/A$2.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat across FY 2023 to FY 2025, and operating income and net income declined from FY 2024 to FY 2025. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 2.6%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6 out of 9. Per the RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.73, and the FY 2025 financials show cash of $4.1M against debt of $28.0M.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between the 20.84% FCF yield and the 2.6% ROIC, and how much of FCF is durable?
  • What specific services, customers, and revenue sources sit behind the $83.5M FY 2025 revenue?
  • What explains the FY 2023 cash and debt figures being N/A while later years are reported?
  • What catalysts or risk events, if any, are scheduled or underway?
  • What is the ownership structure and institutional holding base behind the low whale-flow score?

AWX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AWX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AWX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.59?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AWX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AWX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $2.73 (+7.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AWX (D+ β€’ RQD 54/100) a Buy at $2.53?

Welcome to the AWX (Avalon Holdings Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Environmental Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (30.7x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.02 (-20.2%)
Spot @ $2.53

Pump the brakes on AWX β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AWX, but look at what you are paying: 30.7x trailing P/E with 19.5% gross margins. Unless Avalon Holdings Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.24 (+28.1%)
Spot @ $2.53

AWX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AWX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Environmental Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.53 (52-wk range $2.43 - $3.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%