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Avient Corporation (AVNT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$43.45 +1.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.48

Avient Corporation (AVNT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.93B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AVNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Avient Corporation (NYSE: AVNT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $43.45 (+1.42% 1D, market cap $3.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AVNT ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AVNT compare to CBT and VVV in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), AVNT carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 48.0x, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, CBT (Cabot Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 22.3%, cap $3.84B) and VVV (Valvoline Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $4.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBT leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while CBT leads on capital efficiency (22.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVNT?
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Per AVNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001122976), Avient Corporation generated $3.26B in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $81.9M in net income, and $195.0M in free cash flow against $6.03B in total assets and $1.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.48 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (15)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$54 Bull$46 Base$36 Bear
📬 FREE AVNT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AVNT SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.3) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$39.54+2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$40.35+5.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$42.43+2.4% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$43.45+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AVNT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, AVNT faces multiple-compression risk if 48.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 28.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.46) or 200D SMA ($38.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($45.60) toward Bear Floor ($35.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVNT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AVNT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AVNT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AVNT.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AVNT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AVNT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AVNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.02%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $42.88H $43.45L $42.84C $43.45VOL 1.13M
RES: $53.11SUP: $37.35SMA50: $41.46SMA200: $38.57
$47.65$43.47$39.29$35.11$30.93RES $53.11SUP $37.35$43.452026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
35.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVNT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVNT)

Materials Rank #9 of 270 ⚔️ CBT vs AVNT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AVNT vs. CBT, VVV, PRM, SXT)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avient Corporation (AVNT) ranks #9 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #82 by equity capitalization ($3.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CBT leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while CBT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.3% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. AVNT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AVNT ACTIVE
Avient Corporation
C+ 69/100 48.0x 31.2% 3.7% +1.42% $3.93B Benchmark Subject
CBT
Cabot Corporation
C 65/100 11.5x 25.3% 22.3% +1.73% $3.84B /cbt-vs-avnt →
VVV
Valvoline Inc.
D 45/100 19.6x 38.5% 16.5% +6.44% $4.12B /vvv-vs-avnt →
PRM
Perimeter Solutions SA
D- 43/100 — 57.5% -10.8% 0.00% $4.59B /prm-vs-avnt →
SXT
Sensient Technologies Corporation
D+ 55/100 41.6x 33.5% 8.8% +0.50% $5.01B /sxt-vs-avnt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001122976

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avient Corporation (AVNT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.26B (+0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.24B , and +3.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $81.9M, operating cash flow of $301.6M, and free cash flow of $195.0M (+44.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AVNT closed FY2025 with $6.03B in total assets against $1.92B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.26B $81.9M $301.6M $195.0M $6.03B $1.92B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.24B $169.5M $256.8M $134.9M $5.81B $2.06B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.14B $75.7M $201.6M $201.6M — —

3. AVNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Avient Corporation (NYSE: AVNT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $43.45 (+1.42% 1D, market cap $3.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AVNT ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AVNT compare to CBT and VVV in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), AVNT carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 48.0x, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, CBT (Cabot Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 22.3%, cap $3.84B) and VVV (Valvoline Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $4.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBT leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while CBT leads on capital efficiency (22.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVNT?

Per AVNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001122976), Avient Corporation generated $3.26B in revenue (+0.6% YoY), $81.9M in net income, and $195.0M in free cash flow against $6.03B in total assets and $1.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AVNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVNT last traded at $43.45 (+1.42% on volume of 865,314 shares), positioning the stock +4.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.46) and +12.65% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.57). Across its 52-week range of $27.48 to $46.64, AVNT sits at the 83.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($40.80 to $46.10).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AVNT — Avient Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Avient Corporation (AVNT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $43.45 (+1.42% 1D, market capitalization $3.93B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.7%, gross margin of 31.2%, operating margin of 6.2%, and free cash flow yield of 4.96%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.81x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Avient Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, Major Chemicals industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The company reported revenue in the low-$3 billion range across the periods shown, with gross margin of 31.2% per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Avient Corporation (AVNT) reported $3.26B in annual revenue (up from $3.24B in FY2024, +0.6% YoY) and $81.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.14B revenue, $75.7M net income) through FY2025, AVNT scaled operating cash flow to $301.6M and free cash flow to $195.0M, backed by $6.03B in total assets against $1.92B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.48 – $46.64 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 48.0x trailing P/E and 19.9x EV/EBITDA against 6.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream input dependencies, downstream customer concentration, and sector correlation coefficients are — Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be traced from the source data, and any sector-level read-across would require external verification.

  • Key Question #1: Can AVNT sustain or expand its 6.2% operating margin and 3.7% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.26B and free cash flow of $195.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.92B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AVNT's 44.6x forward P/E multiple to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AVNT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Avient Corporation (AVNT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AVNT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AVNT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $43.45?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AVNT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AVNT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $49.69 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9) and 15/20 whale-flow score point to financial health and institutional interest.

Picked up a starter position in AVNT in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $42.84. Forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9) and 15/20 whale-flow score point to financial health and institutional interest.. Trading inside a $27.48–$46.64 52-week range with 4.96% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Major Chemicals multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 15/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $42.84 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.27 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $42.84

A 3.7% ROIC and 48 trailing P/E leave little margin for error if the earnings recovery underpinning the valuation does not materialize.

Careful chasing AVNT at $42.84. A 3.7% ROIC and 48 trailing P/E leave little margin for error if the earnings recovery underpinning the valuation does not materialize.. Gross margin is 31.2%, but operating margin is 6.2%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $34.27 on multiple compression.

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