Avidbank Holdings Inc. (AVBH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$34.95 +2.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.04

Avidbank Holdings Inc. (AVBH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $375.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AVBH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AVBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Avidbank Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: AVBH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $34.95 (+2.43% 1D, market cap $375.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AVBH ranks #465 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AVBH compare to SUPV and VBNK in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Commercial Banks), AVBH carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.0%. By comparison, SUPV (Grupo Supervielle S.A. each Representing five (Class B)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $588.3M) and VBNK (VersaBank) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $711.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PGC leads on earnings multiple (21.8x) while PGC leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVBH?
▼

Per AVBH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001443575), Avidbank Holdings Inc. generated $1.08B in revenue (+11.5% YoY), -$19.6M in net income, and $38.9M in free cash flow against $2.57B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.04 (+0.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (14)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$41 Bull$35 Base$27 Bear
📬 FREE AVBH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVBH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AVBH SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 77.1 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$30.95+0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$31.06+5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$32.80+6.6% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$34.95+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AVBH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, AVBH faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($31.66) or 200D SMA ($30.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.95) toward Bear Floor ($27.26).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVBH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AVBH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
77.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE99% OF RANGE
L: $24$34.95H: $35
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AVBH

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

-7.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 10.37% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AVBH
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AVBH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AVBH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
AVBH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.45%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $34.16H $34.95L $34.12C $34.95VOL 89.7K
SUP: $30.72SMA50: $31.66SMA200: $30.68
$35.53$33.12$30.71$28.29$25.88SUP $30.72$34.952026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVBH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVBH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVBH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVBH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVBH)

Financials Rank #465 of 1096 ⚔️ SUPV vs AVBH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AVBH vs. SUPV, VBNK, PGC, AGBK)

Industry: Commercial Banks (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avidbank Holdings Inc. (AVBH) ranks #465 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #763 by equity capitalization ($375.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PGC leads on earnings valuation at 21.8x trailing P/E, while PGC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. PGC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with AVBH at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AVBH ACTIVE
Avidbank Holdings Inc.
D+ 58/100 — — -7.0% +2.43% $375.2M Benchmark Subject
SUPV
Grupo Supervielle S.A. each Representing five (Class B)
D- 43/100 — — — -5.59% $588.3M /supv-vs-avbh →
VBNK
VersaBank
D+ 55/100 — — — -1.14% $711.9M /vbnk-vs-avbh →
PGC
Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation
C- 59/100 21.8x — 5.7% +3.33% $803.6M /pgc-vs-avbh →
AGBK
AGI Inc (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — +0.97% $824.7M /agbk-vs-avbh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001443575

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avidbank Holdings Inc. (AVBH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.08B (+11.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $967.9M ) , GAAP net income of -$19.6M, operating cash flow of $39.0M, and free cash flow of $38.9M (+72.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AVBH closed FY2025 with $2.57B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.08B -$19.6M $39.0M $38.9M $2.57B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $967.9M $21.0M $22.7M $22.6M $2.30B —

3. AVBH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Avidbank Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: AVBH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $34.95 (+2.43% 1D, market cap $375.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AVBH ranks #465 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AVBH compare to SUPV and VBNK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Commercial Banks), AVBH carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.0%. By comparison, SUPV (Grupo Supervielle S.A. each Representing five (Class B)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $588.3M) and VBNK (VersaBank) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $711.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PGC leads on earnings multiple (21.8x) while PGC leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVBH?

Per AVBH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001443575), Avidbank Holdings Inc. generated $1.08B in revenue (+11.5% YoY), -$19.6M in net income, and $38.9M in free cash flow against $2.57B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AVBH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVBH last traded at $34.95 (+2.43% on volume of 124,318 shares), positioning the stock +10.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($31.66) and +13.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.68). Across its 52-week range of $24.03 to $34.77, AVBH sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 77.1 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($33.62 to $36.28).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AVBH — Avidbank Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:27Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AVBH carries an RQD Score of 58, a letter grade of D+, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20 (ROIC -7%; FCF yield 10.37%). The negative ROIC is the primary drag here, though the reported FCF yield is a comparatively positive offset.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is a moderate score; the source does not itemize the underlying 13F holdings.
  • Insider Conviction: 10 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). The low score indicates insider and Congressional activity is not providing strong conviction support.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity, neither defensive nor aggressive.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The Piotroski score of 3/9 is weak, while the Altman Z and Debt/Equity figures are less alarming.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to weak fundamental quality relative to the other pillars. The upside case rests mainly on the reported FCF yield and the recent positive news flow; the downside case rests on negative ROIC, low insider conviction, and a weak Piotroski score. The rating's verdict is a trim signal, which suggests the composite data does not currently support adding exposure. This is an analytical framing of the source data, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Avidbank Holdings Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Commercial Banks industry..4B. —: specific products, customer segments, or revenue model details.

Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is -7%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Net income moved from $21.0M in FY 2024 to -$19.6M in FY 2025, while cash rose from $82.7M to $154.6M. Revenue and operating income are reported as — for both periods, so the source does not allow a margin trend analysis.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Reported FCF yield of 10.37% and a 52-week price rise to $34.16 from a low of $24.03, alongside recent feed headlines citing Q3 earnings beats. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC -7.0%, FCF yield 10.37%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $24.03 – $34.77 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of -7%, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and an RQD rating of D+ with a Roarable Sell verdict, with insider conviction pillar scored 10/20. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals.

  • Key Question #1: What are the actual Q3 2026 revenue, net income, and EPS figures behind the reported earnings beat?
  • Key Question #2: Why are revenue and operating income reported as —, and what is the correct revenue base for margin analysis?
  • Key Question #3: What drove the swing in FY 2025 net income to -$19.6M from $21.0M in FY 2024?

AVBH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Avidbank Holdings Inc. (AVBH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AVBH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AVBH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $34.95?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AVBH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AVBH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $41.97 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported FCF yield of 10.37% and a 52-week price rise to $34.16 from a low of $24.03, alongside recent feed headlines citing Q3 earning

The street is overcomplicating Avidbank Holdings Inc. (AVBH). Reported FCF yield of 10.37% and a 52-week price rise to $34.16 from a low of $24.03, alongside recent feed headlines citing Q3 earnings beats.. With an RQD score of 58/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $36.85.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — AVBH's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $27.98 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $34.12

ROIC of -7%, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and an RQD rating of D+ with a Roarable Sell verdict, with insider conviction pillar scored 10/2

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AVBH above $34.12. ROIC of -7%, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and an RQD rating of D+ with a Roarable Sell verdict, with insider conviction pillar scored 10/20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (10.37%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $34.77.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%