Why ATRA Stock dropped -6.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$8.01 -6.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.91

Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. (ATRA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $80.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ATRA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ATRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ATRA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $8.01 (-6.10% 1D, market cap $80.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ATRA ranks #281 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ATRA compare to TNYA and OKYO in the Health Care sector?
▼

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), ATRA carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, TNYA (Tenaya Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $83.7M) and OKYO (OKYO Pharma Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $77.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ATRA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATRA?
▼

Per ATRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001604464), Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. generated $120.8M in revenue (-6.3% YoY), $32.7M in net income, and -$50.9M in free cash flow against $20.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.91 (-1.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$20 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE ATRA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATRA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ATRA SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$9.38-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$8.96-6.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$8.35-4.1% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$8.01-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ATRA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ATRA currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.16) and Max Pain ($8.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.11.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATRA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ATRA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ATRA Stock dropped -6.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. (ATRA) dropped -6.10% to $8.01, trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($3.92 – $19.15). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($3.92 – $19.15) with RSI-14 at 37.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $8.01 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ATRA Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ATRA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ATRA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ATRA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +64.14%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $8.53H $8.53L $8.01C $8.01VOL 30.0K
RES: $10.81SUP: $7.90SMA50: $9.16SMA200: $7.70
$13.00$10.73$8.46$6.19$3.93RES $10.81SUP $7.90$8.012026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ATRA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATRA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATRA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATRA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATRA)

Health Care Rank #281 of 1016 ⚔️ TNYA vs ATRA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ATRA vs. TNYA, OKYO, TVGN, CRDF)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. (ATRA) ranks #281 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #682 by equity capitalization ($80.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ATRA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ATRA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ATRA ACTIVE
Atara Biotherapeutics Inc.
D 49/100 — — 85.0% -6.10% $80.4M Benchmark Subject
TNYA
Tenaya Therapeutics Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% -7.78% $83.7M /tnya-vs-atra →
OKYO
OKYO Pharma Limited
D 49/100 — — — -2.00% $77.1M /okyo-vs-atra →
TVGN
Tevogen Inc.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -2.48% $92.8M /tvgn-vs-atra →
CRDF
Cardiff Oncology Inc.
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -2.46% $69.2M /crdf-vs-atra →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001604464

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. (ATRA) reported GAAP revenue of $120.8M (-6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $128.9M , and +1308.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $32.7M, operating cash flow of -$50.9M, and free cash flow of -$50.9M (+26.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATRA closed FY2025 with $20.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $120.8M $32.7M -$50.9M -$50.9M $20.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $128.9M -$85.4M -$68.7M -$69.0M $109.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.6M -$276.1M -$193.0M -$193.0M — —

3. ATRA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ATRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ATRA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $8.01 (-6.10% 1D, market cap $80.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ATRA ranks #281 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ATRA compare to TNYA and OKYO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), ATRA carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, TNYA (Tenaya Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $83.7M) and OKYO (OKYO Pharma Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $77.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ATRA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATRA?

Per ATRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001604464), Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. generated $120.8M in revenue (-6.3% YoY), $32.7M in net income, and -$50.9M in free cash flow against $20.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ATRA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ATRA last traded at $8.01 (-6.10% on volume of 29,968 shares), positioning the stock -12.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.16) and +4.03% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.70). Across its 52-week range of $3.92 to $19.15, ATRA sits at the 26.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.01 to $9.01).

ATRA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ATRA stock moving today?

Why ATRA Stock dropped -6.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ATRA — Atara Biotherapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD Score is 54, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim," per the Roarable RQD rating. The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 85% alongside an FCF yield of 0%. The high ROIC contrasts with the reported FY 2025 free cash flow of $-50.9M, which indicates that the return metric is not translating into cash generation for shareholders.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The pillar description references institutional accumulation and options positioning. No holder-level data is provided in the source, so the score cannot be traced to specific filings.
  • Insider Conviction: 8 / 20. The pillar description references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No insider transactions are itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0, which the rating treats as a sector-sensitivity input.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the rating points to a weak overall profile. The strongest pillar (Macro Regime Fit) is driven by a beta of 1.0 rather than by business strength, while the Fundamental Cash Engine is held back by zero free-cash-flow yield despite a headline ROIC of 85%. The gap between reported operating/net margins and negative free cash flow is the central tension to examine: earnings-based metrics and cash-based metrics are pointing in different directions. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data. This brief is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Business

Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. (ATRA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model in detail. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $0.1B. Recent news references a resubmitted Tabelecleucel (Tab-cel®) Biologics License Application accepted by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, per the recent news section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$120.8M$35.9M$32.7MN/A$-50.9M$8.5MN/A
FY 2024$128.9M$-83.4M$-85.4MN/A$-69.0M$25.0MN/A
FY 2023$8.6M$-276.0M$-276.1MN/A$-193.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 shows positive operating income of $35.9M and net income of $32.7M, while free cash flow was $-50.9M. Per the Snapshot data, operating margin is 29.7% and net margin is 27.1%, with gross margin at 0%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash declined from $25.0M in FY 2024 to $8.5M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, and the balance sheet posture should be read alongside the negative free cash flow in each reported year.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Primary catalyst: Headlines across multiple outlets report that the resubmitted Tab-cel Biologics License Application has been accepted by the FDA, per the recent news section. Outlets are rated YELLOW with the impact label "MARKET WIRE."
  • Market action: A kalkine.ca headline references ATRA among biotech movers, and a separate headline reports ATRA edging up 2.71% to $9.48 at the midpoint of its nearby range. These figures conflict with the current price of 8.01 and the change of -6.1% in the Snapshot data and should be treated as differently timed observations.
  • Volatility: A Stock Traders Daily headline references trading systems reacting to ATRA volatility.
  • Risk watch: The source data contains no proprietary signals in the Butterfly supply-chain graph, and no explicit risk items beyond the negative free cash flow and 52-week range noted elsewhere in this dossier.

Open Questions

  • What are the revenue drivers behind the FY 2025 revenue of $120.8M, given gross margin is reported at 0%?
  • Why does FY 2025 show positive operating and net income while free cash flow remains negative at $-50.9M?
  • What is the debt position, since FY debt values are reported as N/A?
  • Which price and timestamp is correct, given that news headlines cite $9.48 while the Snapshot shows $8.01?
  • What are the terms, timing, and cash implications of the Tab-cel BLA acceptance?

ATRA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. (ATRA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ATRA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ATRA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.01?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ATRA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ATRA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $8.65 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ATRA (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $8.01?

Welcome to the ATRA (Atara Biotherapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.57 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $8.01

Pump the brakes on ATRA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ATRA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Atara Biotherapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.69 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $8.01

ATRA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ATRA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.01 (52-wk range $3.92 - $19.15), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%