Yahoo Finance report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ATO Stock advanced +0.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ATO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Atmos Energy Corporation (NYSE: ATO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $172.41 (+0.78% 1D, market cap $28.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, ATO ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ATO compare to VG and LNG in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), ATO carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, VG (Venture Global Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 9.2x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $36.93B) and LNG (Cheniere Energy Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 24.5%, cap $65.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VG leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while LNG leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATO?
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Per ATO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000731802), Atmos Energy Corporation generated $4.70B in revenue (+12.9% YoY), $1.20B in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $29.80B in total assets and $6.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.2% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 33.2% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ATO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, ATO faces multiple-compression risk if 24.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($164.30) or 200D SMA ($174.30) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($176.29) toward Bear Floor ($137.51).
Why ATO Stock advanced +0.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) advanced +0.78% to $172.41, trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($154.72 – $192.51). Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 24x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 47% of its 52-week range ($154.72 – $192.51) with RSI-14 at 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.2% around $172.41 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.8B annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ATO's Q4 earnings are expected to have gained from customer growth, higher gas demand and rate hikes, but rising costs and lower throughput pose challenges.
Emerson may extend its 70-year dividend growth streak as earnings rebound.
Not every high-yield utility stock is as safe as it looks, and the difference between a reliable income stream and a dividend trap comes down to one metric most investors overlook entirely.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ATO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
ATO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATO)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (ATO vs. VG, LNG, NFG, UGP)
Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #41 by equity capitalization ($28.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VG leads on earnings valuation at 9.2x trailing P/E, while LNG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LNG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ATO at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATO
ACTIVE
Atmos Energy Corporation | C | 63/100 | 24.1x | — | 6.2% | +0.78% | $28.91B | Benchmark Subject |
| VG Venture Global Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | 9.2x | — | 10.8% | +0.14% | $36.93B | /vg-vs-ato → |
| LNG Cheniere Energy Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 9.7x | — | 24.5% | +3.57% | $65.87B | /lng-vs-ato → |
| NFG National Fuel Gas Company | D+ | 58/100 | 14.5x | 90.4% | 9.7% | +0.24% | $7.54B | /nfg-vs-ato → |
| UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share) | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | -2.68% | $6.64B | /ugp-vs-ato → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000731802In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) reported GAAP revenue of $4.70B (+12.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.17B , and +10.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.20B, operating cash flow of $2.05B, and free cash flow of $1.84B (+18.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATO closed FY2025 with $29.80B in total assets against $6.97B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $4.70B | $1.20B | $2.05B | $1.84B | $29.80B | $6.97B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $4.17B | $1.04B | $1.73B | $1.55B | $26.50B | $6.20B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $4.28B | $885.9M | $3.46B | $3.27B | $15.90B | $3.72B |
3. ATO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ATO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Atmos Energy Corporation (NYSE: ATO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $172.41 (+0.78% 1D, market cap $28.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, ATO ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ATO compare to VG and LNG in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), ATO carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, VG (Venture Global Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 9.2x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $36.93B) and LNG (Cheniere Energy Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 24.5%, cap $65.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VG leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while LNG leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATO?
Per ATO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000731802), Atmos Energy Corporation generated $4.70B in revenue (+12.9% YoY), $1.20B in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $29.80B in total assets and $6.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ATO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ATO last traded at $172.41 (+0.78% on volume of 1,428,054 shares), positioning the stock +4.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($164.30) and -1.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($174.30). Across its 52-week range of $154.72 to $192.51, ATO sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.2% ($166.89 to $177.93).
ATO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ATO stock moving today?
Why ATO Stock advanced +0.78% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 24x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ATO — Atmos Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ATO scores 63 out of 100, graded C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." Across the five pillars:
- Fundamental Cash Engine (11 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 6.2% and an FCF yield of 6.36%. These are modest returns on capital and a cash yield that is adequate rather than exceptional, which limits the upside case from cash generation alone.
- Whale 13F Flow (12 / 20): Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score mid-range. The source does not provide 13F detail, so the specific direction of institutional flow cannot be confirmed here.
- Insider Conviction (16 / 20): The highest pillar, per the RQD rating, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest supportive signal in the rating, though the individual transactions are only partly visible in the news items.
- Macro Regime Fit (12 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.12 and sector sensitivity are the basis. A beta above 1.0 means the stock is expected to move somewhat more than the market, which cuts both ways in a volatile regime.
- Forensic Balance Sheet (12 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 1.79, Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.42. The perfect Piotroski score is a positive signal on financial quality, while the Altman Z reading is a reminder that distress-model signals should be interpreted in context.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating suggests a balanced setup: strong insider-flow and financial-quality signals are offset by moderate cash returns, mid-range institutional flow, and a valuation that the market data shows at 24.1x trailing and 20.2x forward earnings, with EV/EBITDA of 19.9. Upside depends largely on whether earnings growth supports the forward multiple; downside is tied to the stock's beta and sector sensitivity. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $4702.8M | $1560.0M | $1198.8M | N/A | $1837.8M | $367.0M | $6972.8M |
| FY 2024 | $4165.2M | $1355.4M | $1042.9M | N/A | $1546.3M | $584.5M | $6200.3M |
| FY 2023 | $4275.4M | $1067.1M | $885.9M | N/A | $3267.4M | N/A | $3720.6M |
Per the market data, operating margin is 33.2%, net margin is 25.5%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 6.2%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.79 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.42. Reported debt rose from $3720.6M in FY 2023 to $6972.8M in FY 2025 while cash declined from $584.5M to $367.0M across the two most recent periods, which the source data presents without further explanation.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Bond sale (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A headline states the Atmos Energy bond sale puts valuation back in focus. The article body is not provided.
- Fiscal 2026 year-end earnings call (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Per the news wire, the company will host its fiscal 2026 year-end earnings conference call on November 5, 2026.
- Executive retirement-plan holding (RISK WATCH, RED): A headline reports a retirement plan holds 2,600 shares for executive Jeffery D. Martinez. This item carries a RED light and RISK WATCH label in the source.
- Analyst predictions (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Simply Wall St item covers stock forecasts and analyst predictions. The content is not provided.
- Earnings preview (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance item previews what to expect from earnings. The content is not provided.
- Director share activity (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A headline reports that director Garza acquired 77 shares and now holds 334 shares directly.
The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the terms and purpose of the bond sale referenced in the news wire, and how do they bear on the debt increase from $6200.3M to $6972.8M?
- What were the fiscal 2026 year-end results and guidance expected on November 5, 2026?
- Why did cash decline from $584.5M to $367.0M while free cash flow was positive in both years?
- What is the source of the 0% gross margin figure, and how does it relate to the 33.2% operating margin?
- Which 13F institutions and insider transactions drive the Whale and Insider pillar scores?
ATO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ATO's Q4 earnings are expected to have gained from customer growth, higher gas demand and rate hikes, but rising costs and lower throughput pose challenges.
ATO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $172.41?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ATO (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $171.07?
Welcome to the ATO (Atmos Energy Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Oil/Gas Transmission. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ATO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ATO, but look at what you are paying: 24.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Atmos Energy Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ATO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ATO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil/Gas Transmission and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $171.07 (52-wk range $154.72 - $192.51), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.