Key TakeawaysASML fell 6. 1% on Friday after Intel’s forecast set off a global chip selloff, even though ASML says it cannot build enough machines for 2027 and 2028.
Why ASML Stock dropped -6.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ASML stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (NASDAQ: ASML) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $1,565.90 (-6.55% 1D, market cap $645.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ASML ranks #114 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does ASML compare to LRCX and ETN in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASML carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, LRCX (Lam Research Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 43.7x, ROIC 25.5%, cap $317.78B) and ETN (Eaton Corporation PLC) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 37.4x, ROIC 14.5%, cap $152.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASML leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while LRCX leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASML?
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For ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50) create a -9 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASML Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, ASML faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,701.66) or 200D SMA ($1,600.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,636.37) toward Bear Floor ($1,276.37).
Why ASML Stock dropped -6.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) dropped -6.55% to $1565.90, trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($946.11 – $1999.96). Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($946.11 – $1999.96) with RSI-14 at 50 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.8% around $1565.90 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $25.8B annual free cash flow.
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal
ASML Holding (NasdaqGS:ASML) drew fresh attention after CEO Christophe Fouquet tied executive pay to a new Workplace Experience Index that tracks employee morale, following a year of restructuring and planned cuts of abo
ASML Holding (NasdaqGS:ASML) is tying CEO and executive pay to a new Workplace Experience Index focused on employee morale. The move follows internal data showing weaker staff engagement and recent job cuts across parts
ASML Holding has delivered a powerful multi year share price run. However, recent pullbacks and fresh headlines now put a sharper spotlight on whether its current valuation is really supported by its earnings power. With
Neither company designs AI chips, but both get paid when AI chips are built, whoever designs them.
After a year of layoffs and a drop in morale, Christophe Fouquet is betting that giving employees a say in what leaders earn will help ASML keep specialists who are costly to replace.
Both power the AI chip boom and pay dividends. One trades at a steeper premium. Here’s how ASML and Applied Materials stack up.
A member of Congress is selling semiconductor and data storage stocks. Here are the stocks he sold and more on his 2026 trading history.
Investing.com - European shares fell on Friday as a trio of tech earnings reports sent investors scrambling for safety, though the pan-European {{None|STOXX 600}} is still on track for its best month since June.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ASML Tape Review)
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- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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ASML Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASML today. View full Setup Ledger →
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASML)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ASML vs. LRCX, ETN, VRT, CW)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) ranks #114 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #10 by equity capitalization ($645.84B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASML leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while LRCX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.5% ROIC and 50.5% gross margin. ASML currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML
ACTIVE
ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares | C+ | 68/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | -6.55% | $645.84B | Benchmark Subject |
| LRCX Lam Research Corporation | C- | 59/100 | 43.7x | 50.5% | 25.5% | -6.01% | $317.78B | /lrcx-vs-asml → |
| ETN Eaton Corporation PLC | C | 64/100 | 37.4x | 37.6% | 14.5% | -6.03% | $152.92B | /etn-vs-asml → |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings LLC | C | 65/100 | 71.0x | 36.3% | 19.1% | -5.46% | $94.69B | /vrt-vs-asml → |
| CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | C | 62/100 | 37.9x | 37.2% | 17.1% | -4.17% | $18.35B | /cw-vs-asml → |
2. ASML Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $645.84B, trailing P/E of 21.7x, forward P/E of 20.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.9x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, net profit margin of 16.4%, ROIC of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.
3. ASML Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ASML stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (NASDAQ: ASML) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $1,565.90 (-6.55% 1D, market cap $645.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ASML ranks #114 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ASML compare to LRCX and ETN in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASML carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, LRCX (Lam Research Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 43.7x, ROIC 25.5%, cap $317.78B) and ETN (Eaton Corporation PLC) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 37.4x, ROIC 14.5%, cap $152.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASML leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while LRCX leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASML?
For ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ASML trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ASML last traded at $1,565.90 (-6.55% on volume of 2,176,429 shares), positioning the stock -7.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1,701.66) and -2.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1,600.53). Across its 52-week range of $946.11 to $1,999.96, ASML sits at the 58.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($1,475.08 to $1,656.72).
ASML Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ASML stock moving today?
Why ASML Stock dropped -6.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ASML — ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ASML scores 68 out of 100 (letter grade C+; verdict: Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout). The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. The pillar is supported by ROIC of 14.9% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. Per the market data, the stock's valuation (P/E TTM of 21.7, EV/EBITDA of 14.9) sits alongside these cash-return figures, so the investor gets a mid-teens return on capital but a modest free-cash yield at the current price.
- Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. The pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source provides only the score and label; the underlying holder-level detail is not available in source data.
- Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. The pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Per the rating, insider activity is a relative positive, though the specific transactions are not itemized in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Beta of 1.31 indicates above-market sensitivity to broad market moves. Per the rating, sector sensitivity weighs on this pillar, which means a prospective investor should expect amplified moves in both directions during risk-off or risk-on regimes.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.87, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.39. These figures point to a balance sheet with limited distress risk and manageable leverage.
Taken together, the investor implications are: the upside drivers are the balance-sheet strength and insider flow; the valuation tradeoff is a 52-week range of $946.11 to $1999.96, with the current price of $1675.7 sitting well inside that band; and the weakest pillar, macro fit, means the stock's path will be tied closely to broader market and sector cycles. The "Watch for Breakout" label implies the rating treats the stock as neutral pending a clearer directional signal.
Snapshot
Business
ASML is classified under the Technology sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, and trades on NASDAQ. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the company is the sole-source manufacturer of 0.33-NA and 0.55-NA (High-NA) Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography scanners. Per the same source, these tools are required for TSMC N3 and N2 leading-edge logic nodes. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, revenue is driven by per-tool sales whose timing depends on factory acceptance cycles and TSMC fab phasing. Per the profile, the issuer has a market capitalization of $645.8B. Customer-level revenue breakdown beyond the single disclosed relationship is not available in source data.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, ASML sits upstream of TSMC as a direct supplier in the semiconductor foundry and lithography theme. The primary downstream dependency is TSMC's leading-edge node roadmap (N3, N2) and its fab-phasing decisions. The 2nd-order bottleneck the source identifies is Zeiss EUV mirror optics production and per-tool acceptance timing, which can create lumpy revenue recognition. A prospective investor should watch the EUV versus DUV bookings split and TSMC's annual capex budget, as these are the named catalysts. Sector correlation data beyond this single link is not available in source data.
Open Questions
- What are the period-by-period revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, free cash flow, cash, and debt figures, given that the financials section is empty?
- Why does the market data report a 0% gross margin, and what is the correct figure?
- What analyst consensus rating and price targets apply, and how do they compare with the current price?
- What insider Form 4 and 13F holder transactions underlie the insider and whale pillar scores?
- What is the size and timing of TSMC's next capex budget, and how does High-NA adoption timing affect ASML's bookings?
ASML Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Key TakeawaysASML fell 6. 1% on Friday after Intel’s forecast set off a global chip selloff, even though ASML says it cannot build enough machines for 2027 and 2028.
ASML reports transactions under its current share buyback program VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) reports the following transactions, conducted under ASML's current share buyback program. DateTotal
ASML Holding (NasdaqGS:ASML) drew fresh attention after CEO Christophe Fouquet tied executive pay to a new Workplace Experience Index that tracks employee morale, following a year of restructuring and planned cuts of abo
ASML Holding (NasdaqGS:ASML) is tying CEO and executive pay to a new Workplace Experience Index focused on employee morale. The move follows internal data showing weaker staff engagement and recent job cuts across parts
ASML Holding has delivered a powerful multi year share price run. However, recent pullbacks and fresh headlines now put a sharper spotlight on whether its current valuation is really supported by its earnings power. With
Neither company designs AI chips, but both get paid when AI chips are built, whoever designs them.
After a year of layoffs and a drop in morale, Christophe Fouquet is betting that giving employees a say in what leaders earn will help ASML keep specialists who are costly to replace.
Both power the AI chip boom and pay dividends. One trades at a steeper premium. Here’s how ASML and Applied Materials stack up.
ASML Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1,565.90?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ASML (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $1675.70?
Welcome to the ASML (ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ASML — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ASML, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ASML cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ASML, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1675.70 (52-wk range $946.11 - $1999.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.