AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$15.36 +2.20% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.39

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $414.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-03, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $15.36 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $414.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASIX ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASIX compare to VHI and LXFR in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASIX carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, VHI (Valhi Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $399.6M) and LXFR (Luxfer Holdings PLC) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 60.0x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $461.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIX?
β–Ό

Per ASIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001673985), AdvanSix Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $49.3M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.39 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$28 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ASIX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASIX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ASIX SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$16.63-4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$15.85-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$15.62-1.7% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$15.36-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASIX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ASIX currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.27) and Max Pain ($16.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.07.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASIXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œASIX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How ASIX Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$6.4M (0.2% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.08BNet Profit$49.3M (1.2%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.00B
FY24
Rev $4.00B
FY25
Rev $4.00B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.00B52%0%$49.3M$6.4M6%
FY 2024$4.00B52%0%$44.1M$1.7M6%
FY 2023$4.00B52%0%$54.6M$117.5M6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASIX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ASIX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ASIX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.58%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $15.03H $15.36L $15.03C $15.36VOL 377.2K
RES: $21.08SUP: $14.89SMA50: $16.27SMA200: $19.50
$27.57$24.10$20.63$17.16$13.69RES $21.08SUP $14.89$15.362026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASIX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASIX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASIX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASIX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASIX)

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ASIX vs. VHI, LXFR, BAK, ADUR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) ranks #92 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #183 by equity capitalization ($414.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with ASIX at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASIX ACTIVE
AdvanSix Inc.
D 51/100 8.2x β€” 6.0% +2.20% $414.7M Benchmark Subject
VHI
Valhi Inc.
E 28/100 β€” 14.2% 6.2% +0.86% $399.6M /vhi-vs-asix β†’
LXFR
Luxfer Holdings PLC
C 63/100 60.0x 23.2% 8.2% -0.23% $461.1M /lxfr-vs-asix β†’
BAK
Braskem SA ADR
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” 0.00% $462.4M /bak-vs-asix β†’
ADUR
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -1.07% $363.5M /adur-vs-asix β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001673985

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $49.3M, operating cash flow of $122.9M, and free cash flow of $6.4M (+279.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASIX closed FY2025 with $1.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $49.3M $122.9M $6.4M $1.71B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $44.1M $135.4M $1.7M $1.59B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $54.6M $117.5M $117.5M β€” β€”

3. ASIX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $15.36 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $414.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASIX ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASIX compare to VHI and LXFR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASIX carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, VHI (Valhi Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $399.6M) and LXFR (Luxfer Holdings PLC) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 60.0x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $461.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIX?

Per ASIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001673985), AdvanSix Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $49.3M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASIX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASIX last traded at $15.36 (+2.20% on volume of 377,161 shares), positioning the stock -5.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.27) and -21.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.50). Across its 52-week range of $14.10 to $26.73, ASIX sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.2% ($14.41 to $16.31).

ASIX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ASIX converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $6.4M in free cash flow (0.2% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ASIX β€” AdvanSix Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 50 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 6% and an FCF yield of 1.58%. For an investor, a thin free-cash-flow yield means little cash is returned relative to the share price, so the valuation case depends more on earnings multiples than on cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score is the weakest pillar and suggests limited institutional support in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest pillar, a relative bright spot in an otherwise weak profile.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. An investor should expect the stock to move in line with the broad market rather than offer a defensive or asymmetric profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is a moderate balance-sheet posture, not a distress signal.

Taken together, the upside drivers are the low trailing and forward P/E ratios and the 4.23% dividend yield (per the market data section). The tradeoffs are a weak institutional-flow score, an FCF yield well below typical levels, and a stock price that fell 3.09% on the reporting day while sitting near the low end of its 52-week range.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$49.3MN/A$6.4M$19.8MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$44.1MN/A$1.7M$19.6MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$54.6MN/A$117.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue and operating income are $0.0M across the three periods, so the source data does not support margin analysis. Per the market data section, gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0%, which should be read as a data limitation rather than a finding. ROIC is 6% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Net income declined from $54.6M in FY 2023 to $44.1M in FY 2024 before recovering to $49.3M in FY 2025. FCF fell sharply from $117.5M in FY 2023 to $1.7M in FY 2024 and recovered to $6.4M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings release timing: A headline reports that AdvanSix will release third quarter financial results and hold an investor conference call on November 4. The item is categorized as a market wire item with a YELLOW signal.
  • Third-quarter revenue estimate: A TradingView headline lists the ASIX Q3'26 revenue estimate as 426.00M USD. This is an estimate, not a reported figure.
  • USDA grant for ammonia/fertilizer expansion: Multiple headlines (Stock Titan, Investing.com Nigeria) report a proposed $47.4 million grant to help expand fertilizer production in Virginia. Headlines describe this as "proposed" in one case and as "received" in another; the source data does not resolve which status is accurate.
  • Other coverage: Yahoo Finance Canada and Stock Traders Daily items cover market action and rotational strategy timing without additional company-specific facts.
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Risk watch items: the discrepancy between "proposed" and "received" grant status; the reliance on an estimate for Q3 revenue; and the absence of supply-chain linkage data.

Open Questions

  • What is the actual status of the $47.4 million USDA grant: proposed or received?
  • What products, customers, and revenue lines drive AdvanSix's reported figures, given that revenue and operating income are shown as $0.0M?
  • Why do gross, operating, and net margins read 0% when net income is reported at $49.3M?
  • What is the company's debt level in dollar terms, given that Debt is listed as N/A while Debt/Equity is 0.5?
  • What were the results and guidance in the upcoming third-quarter release, and how does the reported result compare to the 426.00M USD revenue estimate?

ASIX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ASIX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASIX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $15.36?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASIX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASIX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $16.23 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ASIX (D β€’ RQD 50/100) a Buy at $15.03?

Welcome to the ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.42 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $15.03

Pump the brakes on ASIX β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ASIX, but look at what you are paying: 8.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless AdvanSix Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.09 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $15.03

ASIX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ASIX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.03 (52-wk range $14.10 - $26.73), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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