Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$20.97 -1.55% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.96

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B β€’ BUY Cap $855.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASC Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (NYSE: ASC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $20.97 (-1.55% 1D, market cap $855.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASC ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASC compare to SB and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), ASC carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, SB (Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $915.1M) and HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 44.4x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $759.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TK leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASC?
β–Ό

Per ASC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001577437), Ardmore Shipping Corporation generated $310.2M in revenue (-23.6% YoY), $41.0M in net income, and $81.6M in free cash flow against $788.7M in total assets and $127.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.96 (-0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 26.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B
025507510074
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (16)SEC (12)Macro (18)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$27 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ASC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ASC SCORES 74/100 (B) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 97% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±8.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$20.13-6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$18.87+8.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$20.42+2.7% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$20.97+7.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (66) β†’ B (74)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, ASC faces multiple-compression risk if 21.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.93) or 200D SMA ($16.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.48) toward Bear Floor ($17.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œASC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ASC Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ASC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ASC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ASC Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ASC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.05%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $21.30H $21.30L $20.97C $20.97VOL 460.8K
RES: $21.56SUP: $18.44SMA50: $18.93SMA200: $16.70
$21.95$19.48$17.01$14.54$12.07RES $21.56SUP $18.44$20.972026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -23.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #85 of 1011 βš”οΈ SB vs ASC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASC vs. SB, HSHP, GNK, TK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) ranks #85 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #529 by equity capitalization ($855.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TK leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while TK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.6% ROIC and 66.6% gross margin. TK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with ASC at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASC ACTIVE
Ardmore Shipping Corporation
B 74/100 21.2x β€” 6.5% -1.55% $855.6M Benchmark Subject
SB
Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)
C 63/100 24.1x β€” 4.6% -1.35% $915.1M /sb-vs-asc β†’
HSHP
Himalaya Shipping Ltd.
D+ 54/100 44.4x 78.8% 6.8% -3.33% $759.2M /hshp-vs-asc β†’
GNK
Genco Shipping & Trading Limited New (Marshall Islands)
D 49/100 β€” β€” 0.6% -1.76% $1.14B /gnk-vs-asc β†’
TK
Teekay Corporation Ltd.
B+ 76/100 13.2x 66.6% 19.6% -0.27% $1.29B /tk-vs-asc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001577437

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) reported GAAP revenue of $310.2M (-23.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $405.8M , and -21.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.0M, operating cash flow of $81.6M, and free cash flow of $81.6M (-49.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASC closed FY2025 with $788.7M in total assets against $127.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $310.2M $41.0M $81.6M $81.6M $788.7M $127.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $405.8M $133.0M $160.4M $160.4M $704.8M $38.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $396.0M $116.8M $159.6M $159.6M β€” β€”

3. ASC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ardmore Shipping Corporation (NYSE: ASC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $20.97 (-1.55% 1D, market cap $855.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASC ranks #85 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASC compare to SB and HSHP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), ASC carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, SB (Safe Bulkers Inc ($0.001 par value)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $915.1M) and HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 44.4x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $759.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TK leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while TK leads on capital efficiency (19.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASC?

Per ASC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001577437), Ardmore Shipping Corporation generated $310.2M in revenue (-23.6% YoY), $41.0M in net income, and $81.6M in free cash flow against $788.7M in total assets and $127.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASC last traded at $20.97 (-1.55% on volume of 460,817 shares), positioning the stock +10.78% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.93) and +25.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.70). Across its 52-week range of $10.31 to $21.35, ASC sits at the 96.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.5% ($19.19 to $22.75).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 74/100 (B) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ASC β€” Ardmore Shipping Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ASC scores 74 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 6.5% and an FCF yield of 9.39%. The cash-generation signal is solid but not the strongest component of the score. For an investor, the FCF yield is a meaningful upside driver if sustained, while the modest ROIC suggests returns on invested capital are not exceptional.
  • Whale 13F Flow (16/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is among the stronger pillars, indicating institutional interest, though the underlying 13F holder detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (15/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderately positive; the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (18/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the highest-scoring pillar and implies the stock's market sensitivity is aligned with the current regime profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.2. The balance sheet is adequate and the lowest-scoring pillar relative to its maximum, which is a valuation and risk consideration.

Valuation tradeoff: Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 21.2 and a Forward P/E of 19.7, with the price near the upper end of its 52-week range. An investor is paying a full multiple for the score's cash and macro strengths, so upside depends on earnings delivery against that multiple.

Business

Ardmore Shipping Corporation is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry. Net margin is 13.2% per the market data. Specific business lines are β€”

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, five headlines are tagged with "MARKET WIRE" and one with "RISK WATCH":

  • A TradingView estimates report (YELLOW), a StockInvest.us forecast article (YELLOW), and a MarketBeat report noting shares climbing 3.6% (YELLOW) describe market action without specific operational detail.
  • A MarketBeat report noting a new 1-year high (YELLOW) indicates price strength.
  • An ad-hoc-news.de report stating the stock trades 9.47 percent below its 52-week high (YELLOW) is consistent with the 52-week range in the market data.
  • A MarketBeat report of a Wall Street Zen rating change (RED, RISK WATCH) is the only item flagged as a risk signal."

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply chain: NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so supply-chain dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: β€”

Holders (SEC Form 4, 13F, Congressional trades): β€”

Open Questions

  • What specific vessel, charter, or trade-lane operations generate ASC's revenue, and how are they contracted?
  • What drove the decline in revenue and net income from FY 2024 to FY 2025, and is the trend expected to continue?
  • Why did debt increase from $38.8M to $127.0M, and what are the terms and maturities of that debt?
  • What are the reported cash balance and EPS for the reported periods, which are N/A in the financials?
  • What is the direction and rationale of the Wall Street Zen rating change flagged as RISK WATCH?

ASC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ASC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $20.97?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.13 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ASC (B β€’ RQD 74/100) a Buy at $21.30?

Welcome to the ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.98 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $21.30

Pump the brakes on ASC β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ASC, but look at what you are paying: 21.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ardmore Shipping Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.26 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $21.30

ASC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ASC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.30 (52-wk range $10.31 - $21.35), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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