American Savings Bank N.A. (ASBH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$19.50 +5.69% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.66

American Savings Bank N.A. (ASBH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $148.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, American Savings Bank N.A. (NASDAQ: ASBH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $19.50 (+5.69% 1D, market cap $148.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASBH compare to BMMX and RVII in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), ASBH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BMMX (Black Mammoth Metals Corporation) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $149.1M) and RVII (Robinhood Ventures Fund II of) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $149.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASBH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASBH leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASBH?
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For American Savings Bank N.A. (ASBH), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #217 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.66 (+0.83%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$22 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE ASBH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASBH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASBH SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.1% FCF Margin ($4.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$18.06-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$18.04+6.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$19.17+1.7% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$19.50-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASBH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASBH currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.27) and Max Pain ($20.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.29.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASBH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASBH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ASBH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $19.50: 512.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $14.73
$7,554
$-2,446 (-24.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $18.89
$9,687
$-313 (-3.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $22.29
$11,431
+$1,431 (+14.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASBH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ASBH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ASBH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.71%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $18.80H $19.97L $18.80C $19.50VOL 588.8K
RES: $20.76SUP: $17.36SMA50: $18.27SMA200: $18.27
$20.22$19.22$18.23$17.23$16.23RES $20.76SUP $17.36$19.502026-09-162026-09-282026-10-082026-10-202026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASBH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASBH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASBH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASBH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASBH)

Industrials Rank #217 of 485 ⚔️ BMMX vs ASBH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ASBH vs. BMMX, RVII, GUNN, NXG)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Savings Bank N.A. (ASBH) ranks #217 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #360 by equity capitalization ($148.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASBH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ASBH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with — ROIC and — gross margin. ASBH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASBH ACTIVE
American Savings Bank N.A.
D 51/100 — — — +5.69% $148.7M Benchmark Subject
BMMX
Black Mammoth Metals Corporation
D 50/100 — — — +3.62% $149.1M /bmmx-vs-asbh →
RVII
Robinhood Ventures Fund II of
D- 43/100 — — — -3.82% $149.6M /rvii-vs-asbh →
GUNN
Gunnison Copper Corp. (each representing thirty (30) )
D 51/100 — — — -1.79% $140.9M /gunn-vs-asbh →
NXG
NXG NextGen Infrastructure Income Fund of
D 44/100 — — — -3.40% $126.2M /nxg-vs-asbh →

2. ASBH Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

American Savings Bank N.A. (ASBH) operates in Diversified Equities (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $148.7M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ASBH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, American Savings Bank N.A. (NASDAQ: ASBH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $19.50 (+5.69% 1D, market cap $148.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does ASBH compare to BMMX and RVII in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), ASBH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BMMX (Black Mammoth Metals Corporation) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $149.1M) and RVII (Robinhood Ventures Fund II of) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $149.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASBH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASBH leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASBH?

For American Savings Bank N.A. (ASBH), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #217 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASBH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASBH last traded at $19.50 (+5.69% on volume of 588,763 shares), positioning the stock +6.73% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.27) and +5.29% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.52). Across its 52-week range of $16.54 to $19.98, ASBH sits at the 86.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($17.78 to $21.22).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ASBH — American Savings Bank N.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:17:52Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ASBH scores 54 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20, Insider Conviction at 9/20, Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.0), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is Insider Conviction, and the cash-generation pillar is weak because the source reports zero ROIC and zero FCF yield, which leaves little evidence of an earnings engine supporting the share price. The forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar, suggesting a comparatively stable financial structure even though current cash returns are not visible in the data. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on balance-sheet resilience and any improvement in the cash engine, while the valuation tradeoff is that the data offers no earnings multiple to anchor a fair-value estimate. The verdict label signals that the composite profile favors caution over accumulation.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

.A. (ASBH) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Diversified Equities industry. It has a market capitalization of $0.2B. — —

ROIC is 0% and the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Reported margins (gross, operating, and net) are each 0% and the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar reflects an FCF yield of 0%.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating relative financial stability. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $16.54 – $19.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The Butterfly signal carries a BEARISH direction with a 5.16x Net Liquidity beta and a Macro Tailwind Score of 18/100, implying high sensitivity to liquidity contraction. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — The sector correlation available in the materials is the liquidity sensitivity from the LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND signal, with a beta of 5.16x against Net Liquidity. A prospective investor should watch how liquidity conditions evolve, since the signal ties the stock's sensitivity to funding plumbing rather than to a named supplier or customer chain. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: What are the P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA multiples, which are absent from the market data?
  • Key Question #2: What analyst consensus rating and price targets apply, given that the analyst data section is empty?
  • Key Question #3: Who are the 13F institutional holders and what Form 4 or Congressional trades have occurred, given that the holders section is empty?

ASBH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Savings Bank N.A. (ASBH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASBH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASBH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.50?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASBH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASBH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.01 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating relative financ

Here is why I am bullish on ASBH here at $19.50: The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating relative financial stability.. Compare ASBH's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Diversified Equities. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $18.52 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 51/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $19.50 and keeping dry powder in case we test $18.14.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.18 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $19.50

The Butterfly signal carries a BEARISH direction with a 5.16x Net Liquidity beta and a Macro Tailwind Score of 18/100, implying high se

The Butterfly signal carries a BEARISH direction with a 5.16x Net Liquidity beta and a Macro Tailwind Score of 18/100, implying high sensitivity to liquidity contraction.. Look at the math on ASBH: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Diversified Equities demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $17.16 before getting long.

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