Why ARMP Stock advanced +0.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$3.28 +0.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.28

Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARMP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $122.0M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NYSE: ARMP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $3.28 (+0.92% 1D, market cap $122.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ARMP ranks #722 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARMP compare to CHRS and HUMA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), ARMP carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CHRS (Coherus Oncology Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $128.3M) and HUMA (Humacyte Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $114.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARMP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ARMP leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMP?
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Per ARMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000921114), Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $102.6M in revenue (-13.7% YoY), -$173.8M in net income, and -$26.3M in free cash flow against $76.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.28 (-0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.6% Base Target
$16 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE ARMP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARMP SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$3.63-15.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$3.07+12.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$3.45-4.9% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$3.28-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARMP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARMP currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.15) and Max Pain ($3.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.73.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ARMP Stock advanced +0.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARMP) advanced +0.92% to $3.28, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($2.75 – $14.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($2.75 – $14.98) with RSI-14 at 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.28 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ARMP Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARMP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARMP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ARMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.70%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $3.25H $3.28L $3.25C $3.28VOL 46.7K
RES: $7.75SUP: $2.39SMA50: $4.15SMA200: $7.00
$11.52$9.15$6.77$4.39$2.01RES $7.75SUP $2.39$3.282026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARMP)

Health Care Rank #722 of 1016 ⚔️ CHRS vs ARMP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ARMP vs. CHRS, HUMA, OTLK, CRDL)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARMP) ranks #722 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #631 by equity capitalization ($122.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARMP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ARMP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CRDL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with ARMP at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARMP ACTIVE
Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% +0.92% $122.0M Benchmark Subject
CHRS
Coherus Oncology Inc.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -7.60% $128.3M /chrs-vs-armp →
HUMA
Humacyte Inc.
E 30/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -12.47% $114.2M /huma-vs-armp →
OTLK
Outlook Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 — 4.0% -35.0% -5.15% $114.0M /otlk-vs-armp →
CRDL
Cardiol Therapeutics Inc. (Class A)
D 44/100 — — — -5.13% $133.9M /crdl-vs-armp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000921114

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARMP) reported GAAP revenue of $102.6M (-13.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $118.8M , and -10.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$173.8M, operating cash flow of -$25.8M, and free cash flow of -$26.3M (+33.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARMP closed FY2025 with $76.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $102.6M -$173.8M -$25.8M -$26.3M $76.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $118.8M -$18.9M -$37.6M -$39.4M $86.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $114.5M -$69.0M -$47.4M -$47.4M — —

3. ARMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NYSE: ARMP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $3.28 (+0.92% 1D, market cap $122.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ARMP ranks #722 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARMP compare to CHRS and HUMA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), ARMP carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CHRS (Coherus Oncology Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $128.3M) and HUMA (Humacyte Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $114.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARMP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ARMP leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMP?

Per ARMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000921114), Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $102.6M in revenue (-13.7% YoY), -$173.8M in net income, and -$26.3M in free cash flow against $76.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARMP last traded at $3.28 (+0.92% on volume of 46,747 shares), positioning the stock -20.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.15) and -53.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.00). Across its 52-week range of $2.75 to $14.98, ARMP sits at the 4.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.87 to $3.69).

ARMP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ARMP stock moving today?

Why ARMP Stock advanced +0.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARMP — Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARMP scores 43 out of 100 and receives a D- grade, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 9/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -21.77%), indicating the business is consuming rather than generating cash on a return basis. Whale 13F Flow scores 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), a weak signal. Insider Conviction scores 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), the lowest pillar and a signal of limited insider confidence per the rating. Macro Regime Fit scores 12/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), a moderate reading with market-level volatility exposure. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), reflecting a middling but weak financial-health profile.

The lowest scores in insider conviction and institutional flow mean there is limited evidence of informed-capital support. Valuation tradeoffs are asymmetric: a low market capitalization ($120.8M) combined with a wide 52-week range ($2.75 - $14.98) reflects high volatility, and the current price of 3.28 sits near the lower end of that range.

Business

Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARMP) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry, per the profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reported — revenue across FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025, indicating no reported product revenue in the source data. Specific products, customers, and revenue model are —

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines are predominantly market-wire and data-aggregator items referencing ARMP, all marked YELLOW. The most substantive catalyst is a PR Newswire item reporting that the company strengthened its intellectual property portfolio with two recent U.S. patent issuances. Other items (Stocktwits, Yahoo Finance UK, TradingView, and related seasonal-chart pages) are general market coverage without specific fundamental detail. Risk watch items include the absence of revenue and the cash decline noted in the financials. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply chain and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's cash runway given $8.7M in cash against FY 2025 FCF of $-26.3M, and what financing is planned?
  • What explains the FY 2025 net loss of $-173.8M when operating loss was $-36.6M, and is there a non-operating or one-time component?
  • What commercial or clinical milestones underpin the company's valuation absent reported revenue?
  • What are the terms and remaining life of the recently issued U.S. patents referenced in the news feed?
  • What is the company's debt position, given the source data reports debt as N/A while Debt/Equity is 0.5?

ARMP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARMP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARMP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARMP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.28?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARMP 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARMP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.89 (-11.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARMP (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $3.28?

Welcome to the ARMP (Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.62 (-20.1%)
Spot @ $3.28

Pump the brakes on ARMP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARMP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Armata Pharmaceuticals Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.20 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $3.28

ARMP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARMP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.28 (52-wk range $2.75 - $14.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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