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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ARKR / earnings
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Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.6% Move

$4.85 -3.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.81

Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $18.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ark Restaurants Corp. (NASDAQ: ARKR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $4.85 (-3.19% 1D, market cap $18.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARKR ranks #949 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARKR compare to CCHH and SDOT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARKR carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.1%. By comparison, CCHH (CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.4%, cap $17.6M) and SDOT (Sadot Group Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while GTIM leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARKR?
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Per ARKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000779544), Ark Restaurants Corp. generated $165.8M in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$11.5M in net income, and -$1.5M in free cash flow against $130.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.81 (-0.76%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (8)SEC (5)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.8% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE ARKR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARKR SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.44 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
17
Grade E$4.39+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
20
Grade E$4.42+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
22
Grade E$4.55+6.6% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$4.85-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (17) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARKR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARKR currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.71) and Max Pain ($5.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.97.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARKR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 26, 2026 (~52 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.6% Swing Band

±$0.32 Expected Swing
$4.53 (-6.6%)Spot $4.85$5.17 (+6.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ARKR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 25/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -9.7%

Model Bullish Setup (25/100)Model Risk Weight (75/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-27$165.8M-$11.5M-$1.5M52%
FY 20242024-09-28$183.5M-$3.9M$2.2M52%
FY 20232023-09-30$184.8M-$5.9M$8.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARKR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ARKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.75%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $4.64H $5.01L $4.64C $4.85VOL 10.4K
RES: $5.08SUP: $3.98SMA50: $4.71SMA200: $6.01
$9.86$8.36$6.86$5.36$3.85RES $5.08SUP $3.98$4.852026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARKR Butterfly Map → + Track ARKR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARKR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARKR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #949 of 1009 ⚔️ CCHH vs ARKR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARKR vs. CCHH, SDOT, REBN, GTIM)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) ranks #949 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #889 by equity capitalization ($18.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while GTIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTIM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with ARKR at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARKR ACTIVE
Ark Restaurants Corp.
E 25/100 — — -13.1% -3.19% $18.1M Benchmark Subject
CCHH
CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)
E 21/100 — 19.3% -21.4% -3.79% $17.6M /cchh-vs-arkr →
SDOT
Sadot Group Inc.
E 29/100 — 1.9% -35.0% -16.93% $21.9M /sdot-vs-arkr →
REBN
Reborn Coffee Inc.
E 34/100 — 92.0% -35.0% -4.40% $13.7M /rebn-vs-arkr →
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants Inc.
D- 39/100 13.3x — 0.7% +3.10% $13.6M /gtim-vs-arkr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000779544 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) reported GAAP revenue of $165.8M (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $183.5M , and -10.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.5M, operating cash flow of $1.8M, and free cash flow of -$1.5M (-168.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARKR closed FY2025 with $130.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $165.8M -$11.5M $1.8M -$1.5M $130.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $183.5M -$3.9M $4.7M $2.2M $154.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $184.8M -$5.9M $8.4M $8.4M — —

3. ARKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ark Restaurants Corp. (NASDAQ: ARKR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $4.85 (-3.19% 1D, market cap $18.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARKR ranks #949 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARKR compare to CCHH and SDOT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARKR carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.1%. By comparison, CCHH (CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.4%, cap $17.6M) and SDOT (Sadot Group Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while GTIM leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARKR?

Per ARKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000779544), Ark Restaurants Corp. generated $165.8M in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$11.5M in net income, and -$1.5M in free cash flow against $130.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARKR last traded at $4.85 (-3.19% on volume of 2,199 shares), positioning the stock +2.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.71) and -19.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.01). Across its 52-week range of $4.32 to $9.50, ARKR sits at the 10.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($4.53 to $5.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: ARKR RQD Cockpit ARKR 12M Forecast ARKR Earnings & Move ARKR Dividends & DRIP ARKR Insiders & 13F ARKR Whale Options ARKR Profit Sankey ARKR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ARKR — Ark Restaurants Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.85 (-3.19% 1D, market capitalization $18.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -13.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -2.5%, and free cash flow yield of -8.93%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.44, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Restaurants industry..0B in that record. — for further business description.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-27), Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) reported $165.8M in annual revenue (up from $183.5M in FY2024, -9.7% YoY) and -$11.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($184.8M revenue, -$5.9M net income) through FY2025, ARKR scaled operating cash flow to $1.8M and free cash flow to -$1.5M, backed by $130.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -8.93% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.32 – $9.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -2.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector-correlation links, or 2nd-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links is a data limitation, not evidence of independence.

  • Key Question #1: Can ARKR sustain or expand its -2.5% operating margin and -13.1% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $165.8M and free cash flow of -$1.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ARKR's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ARKR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARKR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARKR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.85?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARKR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARKR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.16 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the market data, the stock trades at $4.64 against a 52-week range of $4.32 - $9.5, which may leave room for recovery if cash gener

The street is overcomplicating Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR). Per the market data, the stock trades at $4.64 against a 52-week range of $4.32 - $9.5, which may leave room for recovery if cash generation improves.. With an RQD score of 25/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $5.41.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 25/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $5.01 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.66.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.16 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $5.01

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 4 / 20 with ROIC at -13.1% and FCF yield at -8.93%, alongside a Piotros

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 4 / 20 with ROIC at -13.1% and FCF yield at -8.93%, alongside a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9.. Look at the math on ARKR: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -13.1% ROIC and -2.5% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Restaurants demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $4.41 before getting long.

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