CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ares Capital (ARCC) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to KnowYahoo Finance report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ARCC Stock advanced +1.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$19.42 +1.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.44
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $13.80B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARCC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
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Is ARCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ares Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $19.42 (+1.62% 1D, market cap $13.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ARCC ranks #636 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ARCC compare to TRU and BMNR in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ARCC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, TRU (TransUnion) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 31.6x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $14.64B) and BMNR (BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 37.5x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $12.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCC leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while TRU leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARCC?
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Per ARCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001287750), Ares Capital Corporation generated $4.29B in revenue (-14.7% YoY), $1.30B in net income, and -$1.72B in free cash flow against $31.23B in total assets and $7.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.44 (+0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARCC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARCC SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$18.59-1% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$18.40+0.7% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$18.53+4.8% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$19.42-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARCC Turnaround Squeeze
While ARCC currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.17) and Max Pain ($20.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.20.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARCC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARCC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ARCC Stock advanced +1.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) advanced +1.62% to $19.42, trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($17.4 – $21.14). Stretched risk/reward at 11x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($17.4 – $21.14) with RSI-14 at 55.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4% around $19.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ARCC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should KnowYahoo Finance report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMorningstar • 1d ago
ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION ANNOUNCES SEPTEMBER 30, 2026 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND DECLARES FOURTH QUARTER 2026 DIVIDEND OF $0.48 PER SHARE DIVIDEND DECLARATIONSMorningstar report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTTradingView • 1d ago
Ares Capital Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $20.92, Implies 12% UpsideTradingView report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHSeeking Alpha • 1d ago
Ares Capital: Double-Digit Yield, A Huge Acquisition, And A Major Warning (NASDAQ:ARCC)Seeking Alpha report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Why Ares Capital (ARCC) Dipped More Than Broader Market TodayYahoo Finance report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
Ares Capital Set to Release Q3 Earnings: Here's What to ExpectTradingView report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ares Capital Corporation Agrees to Acquire MidCap Financial Investment CorporationYahoo Finance report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHSeekingAlpha • 1d ago
Ares Capital: Complex BDC, Slightly Below Fair Value, MFIC Acquisition A Neutral Event (Rating Downgrade)Ares Capitalâs off-balance sheet leverage risk and PIK income create risks that offset ARCC's theoretical valuation. Click for more on ARCC stock.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Cancels Earnings Conference Call Due to Pending AcquisitionNEW YORK, Oct. 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (NASDAQ: MFIC) (the “Company”) announced today that, in light of entering into a definitive merger agreement (the “Merger Agreement”) wi
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARCC)
- ✓Walkthrough of ARCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ARCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.25%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $19.12H $19.42L $19.11C $19.42VOL 5.14M
RES: $20.89SUP: $18.37SMA50: $19.17SMA200: $18.99
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ARCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARCC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARCC)
Financials Rank #636 of 1097
⚔️ TRU vs ARCC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ARCC vs. TRU, BMNR, CHYM, CRCL)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) ranks #636 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #149 by equity capitalization ($13.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCC leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while TRU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.0% ROIC and — gross margin. TRU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with ARCC at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC
ACTIVE
Ares Capital Corporation | D | 50/100 | 10.6x | — | 6.0% | +1.62% | $13.80B | Benchmark Subject |
| TRU TransUnion | C | 63/100 | 31.6x | — | 8.0% | +3.18% | $14.64B | /tru-vs-arcc → |
| BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc. | D- | 40/100 | 37.5x | — | 3.4% | -3.17% | $12.17B | /bmnr-vs-arcc → |
| CHYM Chime Financial Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.08% | $10.58B | /chym-vs-arcc → |
| CRCL Circle Internet Group Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -0.2% | -0.63% | $18.42B | /crcl-vs-arcc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001287750 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) reported GAAP revenue of $4.29B (-14.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.03B , and -14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.30B, operating cash flow of -$1.72B, and free cash flow of -$1.72B (+19.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARCC closed FY2025 with $31.23B in total assets against $7.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.29B | $1.30B | -$1.72B | -$1.72B | $31.23B | $7.61B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $5.03B | $1.52B | -$2.13B | -$2.13B | $28.25B | $6.70B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $5.03B | $1.52B | $511.0M | $511.0M | $7.59B | $1.78B |
3. ARCC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ARCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Ares Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $19.42 (+1.62% 1D, market cap $13.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ARCC ranks #636 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ARCC compare to TRU and BMNR in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ARCC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, TRU (TransUnion) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 31.6x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $14.64B) and BMNR (BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 37.5x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $12.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCC leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while TRU leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARCC?
Per ARCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001287750), Ares Capital Corporation generated $4.29B in revenue (-14.7% YoY), $1.30B in net income, and -$1.72B in free cash flow against $31.23B in total assets and $7.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ARCC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ARCC last traded at $19.42 (+1.62% on volume of 4,347,044 shares), positioning the stock +1.30% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.17) and +2.26% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.99). Across its 52-week range of $17.40 to $21.14, ARCC sits at the 54.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($18.64 to $20.20).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
ARCC — Ares Capital Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $19.42 (+1.62% 1D, market capitalization $13.80B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 41.0%, and free cash flow yield of -13.69%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 0.93x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, classified under Finance: Consumer Services..8B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) reported $4.29B in annual revenue (up from $5.03B in FY2024, -14.7% YoY) and $1.30B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.03B revenue, $1.52B net income) through FY2025, ARCC scaled operating cash flow to -$1.72B and free cash flow to -$1.72B, backed by $31.23B in total assets against $7.61B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -13.69% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.40 – $21.14 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 10.6x trailing P/E and 11.7x EV/EBITDA against 41.0% operating margins and a 0.93x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
— The butterfly supply-chain graph lists supply_chain as NONE with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so no supplier, customer, or sector-correlation ripple effects can be mapped from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can ARCC sustain or expand its 41.0% operating margin and 6.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.29B and free cash flow of -$1.72B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.61B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ARCC's 9.9x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.93x)?
ARCC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ares Capital (ARCC) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Morningstar • 1d ago
ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION ANNOUNCES SEPTEMBER 30, 2026 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND DECLARES FOURTH QUARTER 2026 DIVIDEND OF $0.48 PER SHARE DIVIDEND DECLARATIONS Morningstar report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago
Ares Capital Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $20.92, Implies 12% Upside TradingView report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
Ares Capital: Double-Digit Yield, A Huge Acquisition, And A Major Warning (NASDAQ:ARCC) Seeking Alpha report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Why Ares Capital (ARCC) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago
Ares Capital Set to Release Q3 Earnings: Here's What to Expect TradingView report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Ares Capital Corporation Agrees to Acquire MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
ARCC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.42?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARCC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $24.08 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Low forward P/E of 9.9 alongside a 9.15% dividend yield and a $20.92 price target implying 12% upside.
Long ARCC at $19.11 targeting $24.08. Low forward P/E of 9.9 alongside a 9.15% dividend yield and a $20.92 price target implying 12% upside.. Institutional whale score is 11/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $17.40 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — ARCC's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $15.67 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $19.11 A -13.69% FCF yield and rising debt from $1.78B to $7.61B undercut the dividend's cash coverage, and the RQD rating carries a Distr
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ARCC: A -13.69% FCF yield and rising debt from $1.78B to $7.61B undercut the dividend's cash coverage, and the RQD rating carries a Distribution Warning.. At 10.6x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Finance: Consumer Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.