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Amphenol Corporation (APH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.2% Move

$79.84 +0.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.13

Amphenol Corporation (APH) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36.9% gross margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $195.55B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on APH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Amphenol Corporation (NYSE: APH) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $79.84 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $195.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, APH ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APH compare to CLS and FLEX in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), APH carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.4x, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 28.6%. By comparison, CLS (Celestica Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 42.8x, ROIC 22.1%, cap $33.49B) and FLEX (Flex Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 39.1x, ROIC 18.6%, cap $31.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HUBB leads on earnings multiple (26.1x) while JBL leads on capital efficiency (39.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APH?
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Per APH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000820313), Amphenol Corporation generated $23.09B in revenue (+51.7% YoY), $4.27B in net income, and $4.38B in free cash flow against $36.24B in total assets and $10.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.13 (+0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 19% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510077
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B+
Cash (20)Whales (13)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.6% Base Target
$102 Bull$87 Base$65 Bear
📬 FREE APH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY APH SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 19% FCF Margin ($4.38B FCF) & 36.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.34 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
85
Grade A$82.69-4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
82
Grade A$79.20+2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
80
Grade A-$80.96-1.4% Next Q
Current
77
Grade B+$79.84+7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (85) → B+ (77)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, APH faces multiple-compression risk if 47.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($81.57) or 200D SMA ($75.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($86.67) toward Bear Floor ($65.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “APH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.2% Swing Band

±$5.75 Expected Swing
$74.09 (-7.2%)Spot $79.84$85.59 (+7.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

APH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 77/100

Trailing EPS: $1.73 • YoY Revenue Growth: 51.7%

Model Bullish Setup (77/100)Model Risk Weight (23/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$23.09B$4.27B$4.38B36.9%
FY 20242024-12-31$15.22B$2.42B$2.15B33.8%
FY 20232023-12-31$12.55B$1.93B$1.96B36.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating APH & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on APH
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.23%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $82.08H $82.08L $79.30C $79.84VOL 16.59M
RES: $90.81SUP: $70.64SMA50: $81.57SMA200: $75.49
$92.09$83.13$74.16$65.19$56.23RES $90.81SUP $70.64$79.842026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 APH Butterfly Map → + Track APH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
34.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +51.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APH)

Technology Rank #22 of 715 ⚔️ CLS vs APH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (APH vs. CLS, FLEX, JBL, HUBB)

Industry: Electrical Products (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amphenol Corporation (APH) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #30 by equity capitalization ($195.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HUBB leads on earnings valuation at 26.1x trailing P/E, while JBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.4% ROIC and 8.9% gross margin. APH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APH ACTIVE
Amphenol Corporation
B+ 77/100 47.4x 36.9% 28.6% +0.68% $195.55B Benchmark Subject
CLS
Celestica Inc.
D+ 58/100 42.8x 12.1% 22.1% -6.14% $33.49B /cls-vs-aph →
FLEX
Flex Ltd.
D+ 54/100 39.1x 9.2% 18.6% -2.64% $31.95B /flex-vs-aph →
JBL
Jabil Inc.
D+ 54/100 45.1x 8.9% 39.4% -2.34% $28.08B /jbl-vs-aph →
HUBB
Hubbell Inc
C- 59/100 26.1x 35.3% 17.7% +2.68% $22.32B /hubb-vs-aph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000820313 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amphenol Corporation (APH) reported GAAP revenue of $23.09B (+51.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.22B , and +84.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.27B, operating cash flow of $5.37B, and free cash flow of $4.38B (+103.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, APH closed FY2025 with $36.24B in total assets against $10.23B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.34, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $23.09B $4.27B $5.37B $4.38B $36.24B $10.23B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.22B $2.42B $2.81B $2.15B $21.44B $5.21B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.55B $1.93B $2.53B $1.96B $111.32B $26.05B

3. APH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Amphenol Corporation (NYSE: APH) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $79.84 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $195.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, APH ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APH compare to CLS and FLEX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), APH carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.4x, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 28.6%. By comparison, CLS (Celestica Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 42.8x, ROIC 22.1%, cap $33.49B) and FLEX (Flex Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 39.1x, ROIC 18.6%, cap $31.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HUBB leads on earnings multiple (26.1x) while JBL leads on capital efficiency (39.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APH?

Per APH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000820313), Amphenol Corporation generated $23.09B in revenue (+51.7% YoY), $4.27B in net income, and $4.38B in free cash flow against $36.24B in total assets and $10.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APH last traded at $79.84 (+0.68% on volume of 17,415,768 shares), positioning the stock -2.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($81.57) and +5.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($75.49). Across its 52-week range of $59.01 to $89.93, APH sits at the 67.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($74.09 to $85.59).

Direct Sub-Reports: APH RQD Cockpit APH 12M Forecast APH Earnings & Move APH Dividends & DRIP APH Insiders & 13F APH Whale Options APH Profit Sankey APH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 77/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

APH — Amphenol Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Amphenol Corporation (APH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 77/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $79.84 (+0.68% 1D, market capitalization $195.55B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (20/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 28.6%, gross margin of 36.9%, operating margin of 25.4%, and free cash flow yield of 2.16%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.23x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.34, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.71x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Amphenol Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, Electrical Products industry. —: a detailed description of its product lines, customer base, or revenue mix. The profile gives the company's market capitalization of $202.4B. —: specifics on how the company makes money beyond the reported revenue and margin figures in the financials and market data sections.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Amphenol Corporation (APH) reported $23.09B in annual revenue (up from $15.22B in FY2024, +51.7% YoY) and $4.27B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($12.55B revenue, $1.93B net income) through FY2025, APH scaled operating cash flow to $5.37B and free cash flow to $4.38B, backed by $36.24B in total assets against $10.23B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 77/100): Strong cash generator (36.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 20/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $59.01 – $89.93 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 47.4x trailing P/E and 29.9x EV/EBITDA against 25.4% operating margins and a 1.23x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

—: upstream supplier and downstream customer dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note this gap: the headline set frames APH as AI infrastructure exposure, but the graph does not map the chain that would verify that linkage.

  • Key Question #1: Can APH sustain or expand its 25.4% operating margin and 28.6% ROIC against Electrical Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $23.09B and free cash flow of $4.38B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $10.23B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is APH's 39.8x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.23x)?

APH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amphenol Corporation (APH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.84?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $92.78 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Fundamental cash engine scores a perfect 20/20 on ROIC of 28.6% and a forensic balance sheet with Piotroski F 9/9 and Altman Z 7.34.

The street is overcomplicating Amphenol Corporation (APH). Fundamental cash engine scores a perfect 20/20 on ROIC of 28.6% and a forensic balance sheet with Piotroski F 9/9 and Altman Z 7.34.. With an RQD score of 77/100 (B+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $85.64.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — APH's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $61.85 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $79.30

A trailing P/E of 47.4 and EV/EBITDA of 29.9 with an FCF yield of only 2.16% leave little valuation cushion if earnings growth slows.

Careful chasing APH at $79.30. A trailing P/E of 47.4 and EV/EBITDA of 29.9 with an FCF yield of only 2.16% leave little valuation cushion if earnings growth slows.. Gross margin is 36.9%, but operating margin is 25.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $61.85 on multiple compression.

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