Stock Ratings / Financials / AMTD / insiders

MI (22) GRAN (31) FLD (35) CNF (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$19.64 -5.01% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.43

AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $31.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (NYSE: AMTD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $19.64 (-5.01% 1D, market cap $31.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AMTD ranks #770 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMTD compare to MI and GRAN in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AMTD carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, MI (NFT Limited Class A Ordinary Share) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $33.0M) and GRAN (Grande Group Limited (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $29.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMTD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AMTD leads on capital efficiency (4.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMTD?

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Per AMTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001769731), AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) generated $101.2M in revenue (+25.8% YoY), $67.3M in net income, and $17.1M in free cash flow against $2.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.43 (-1.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 16.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMTD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMTD SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 28% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$22.98+7.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$24.78-8.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$22.75-13.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$19.64-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMTD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AMTD currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($37.66) and Max Pain ($20.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $70.56.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMTD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMTD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AMTD Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AMTD)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AMTD. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMTD)

✓Walkthrough of AMTD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AMTD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.59%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $20.67H $20.67L $19.64C $19.64VOL 4.5K

RES: $45.37SUP: $14.41SMA50: $37.66SMA200: $52.72

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMTD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMTD Butterfly Map → + Track AMTD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMTD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMTD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMTD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMTD)

Financials Rank #770 of 1096 ⚔️ MI vs AMTD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AMTD vs. MI, GRAN, FLD, CNF)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) ranks #770 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #1036 by equity capitalization ($31.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMTD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AMTD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CNF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with AMTD at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMTD ACTIVE AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A)	D	46/100	—	—	4.9%	-5.01%	$31.3M	Benchmark Subject
MI NFT Limited Class A Ordinary Share	E	22/100	—	—	-0.9%	-7.53%	$33.0M	/mi-vs-amtd →
GRAN Grande Group Limited (Class A)	E	31/100	—	—	—	+4.39%	$29.6M	/gran-vs-amtd →
FLD Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.14%	$29.3M	/fld-vs-amtd →
CNF CNFinance Holdings Limited each representing two hundred (200)	D	49/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$34.7M	/cnf-vs-amtd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001769731

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) reported GAAP revenue of $101.2M (+25.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $80.5M , and -22.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $67.3M, operating cash flow of $17.8M, and free cash flow of $17.1M (+231.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMTD closed FY2025 with $2.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$101.2M	$67.3M	$17.8M	$17.1M	$2.30B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$80.5M	$53.6M	$5.2M	$5.2M	$2.07B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$130.9M	$153.4M	$40.0M	$40.0M	—	—

3. AMTD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AMTD compare to MI and GRAN in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMTD?

Where is AMTD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMTD last traded at $19.64 (-5.01% on volume of 4,454 shares), positioning the stock -47.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.66) and -62.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($52.72). Across its 52-week range of $0.87 to $67.20, AMTD sits at the 28.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($17.18 to $22.10).

AMTD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are AMTD insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AMTD leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMTD RQD Cockpit AMTD 12M Forecast AMTD Earnings & Move AMTD Dividends & DRIP AMTD Insiders & 13F AMTD Whale Options AMTD Profit Sankey AMTD News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AMTD — AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:48:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AMTD scores 46 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 4.9% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation case is weak on the rating's own measures: the return on invested capital is low and the rating records no free-cash-flow yield.
Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating the rating does not find supportive institutional accumulation in the source data.
Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, so the rating does not identify a strong insider-buying signal.
Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is part of this pillar. This is the highest-scoring pillar, but it is still below the midpoint of its range.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, though the rating still scores it below two-thirds of its maximum.

Taken together, the rating points to a company whose balance-sheet metrics are the most constructive part of the picture, while cash returns, institutional flow, and insider signals are weak. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the overall verdict is a sell/underperform warning, meaning the rating framework views the risk-reward as unfavorable on the current data. Upside drivers the rating does not show are not present in the source data. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed here because the P/E and EV/EBITDA figures are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$101.2M	$0.0M	$67.3M	N/A	$17.1M	$51.1M	N/A
FY 2024	$80.5M	$0.0M	$53.6M	N/A	$5.2M	$62.9M	N/A
FY 2023	$130.9M	$0.0M	$153.4M	N/A	$40.0M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, net income exceeds revenue in FY 2025 and FY 2024 and in FY 2023, and reported operating income is $0.0M in every period. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 4.9%, and per the Roarable RQD rating the Altman Z is 2.5 and Piotroski F is 6/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5; the debt figure itself is not available in source data. Per the market data, gross and operating margins are both 0%, and net margin is 66.4%.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector is Financials and industry is Finance: Consumer Services. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the stated sector, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

What is the company's business model, products, and customer base, given that the source data provides only sector and industry labels?
What are the debt amount and equity base behind the reported Debt/Equity of 0.5, and why is the debt figure unreported?
Why is operating income reported as $0.0M in every period while net income is substantially positive, and what drives the gap?
What explains the 52-week range of $0.87 to $67.2 relative to the current price of 20.68?
What are the EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA values needed to assess valuation?

AMTD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) (AMTD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AMTD Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 7d ago

Dow Surges Over 200 Points; Verizon Shares Fall Following Q3 Results

U.S. stocks rose Monday, led by the Dow’s 200-point gain. Consumer discretionary rallied, Verizon fell after mixed results, and oil dropped 1.2%.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Fintel • 10d ago

AMTD IDEA Group Reports US$40.3 million Profit and US$2.6 billion in Total Assets for the first half of 2026

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 10d ago

AMTD IDEA's Total Assets Exceeded US$2.6 Billion as of 2026 Half Year and Sets Forth Clear Growth Path in Global Hospitality

AMTD IDEA Group ("AMTD IDEA" or "the Company", NYSE: AMTD; SGX: HKB), a NYSE and SGX-ST dual listed company and also a listed holding platform for (i) digital solutions, (ii) media, entertainment and cultural connectors,

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 10d ago

AMTD IDEA Group H1 EPS $0.04 Down From $0.10 YoY, Sales $67.141M Down From $89.039M YoY

AMTD IDEA Group (NYSE:AMTD) reported quarterly earnings of $0.04 per share. This is a 60 percent decrease over earnings of $0.10 per share from the same period last year. The company reported $67.141 million in sales

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 11d ago

AMTD IDEA's half year results announcement timing of its major subsidiary AMTD Digital

AMTD Group Inc. ("AMTD Group"), AMTD IDEA Group ("AMTD IDEA") (NYSE: AMTD; SGX: HKB) and AMTD Digital Inc. ("AMTD Digital") (NYSE: HKD) jointly announce AMTD IDEA's half year results announcement timing of its major subs

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 11d ago

Success of AMTD IDEA's IP extended business with confirmed next locations in New York, London and Melbourne

AMTD IDEA Group ("AMTD IDEA") (NYSE: AMTD; SGX: HKB) announces that AMTD IDEA, in coordination with The Generation Essentials Group, have concluded and confirmed the next three stops of L'Officiel COFFEE & BAR will be Ne

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 13d ago

AMTD IDEA's core businesses updates; and key highlights and achievements

AMTD IDEA Group ("AMTD IDEA") (NYSE: AMTD; SGX: HKB) announces that AMTD IDEA has successfully built its various core business lines to establish global positioning and presence, as well as achieve market significance by

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 15d ago

Why Did AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) Shares Move Today?

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) is back in focus after its hotel arm reported a global network of branded properties spanning New York City, Hong Kong, Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, and London. The hotel expansion has arrived against

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMTD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.64?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMTD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $22.33 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AMTD (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $20.68?

Welcome to the AMTD (AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.37 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $20.68

Pump the brakes on AMTD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AMTD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.64 (+24.0%)

Spot @ $20.68

AMTD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AMTD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $20.68 (52-wk range $0.87 - $67.20), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.