Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.87 -2.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86

Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $13.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALLR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ALLR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $0.87 (-2.20% 1D, market cap $13.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALLR ranks #738 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALLR compare to OPTH and DARE in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALLR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OPTH (Optimi Health Corp.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.8M) and DARE (Dare Bioscience Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALLR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALLR leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLR?
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Per ALLR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001860657), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$11.2M in net income, and -$14.8M in free cash flow against $18.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86 (-0.59%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.5% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ALLR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALLR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALLR SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$0.87+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$0.88+4.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$0.92-5.4% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$0.87-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALLR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALLR currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.07) and Max Pain ($0.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALLR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALLR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.11 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.87$0.98 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ALLR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 32/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (32/100)Model Risk Weight (68/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$11.2M-$14.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$24.5M-$17.6M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$11.9M-$12.7M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALLR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALLR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ALLR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.40%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $0.89H $0.89L $0.87C $0.87VOL 179.5K
RES: $1.27SUP: $0.76SMA50: $1.07SMA200: $1.21
$1.91$1.61$1.31$1.01$0.71RES $1.27SUP $0.76$0.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALLR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALLR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALLR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALLR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALLR)

Health Care Rank #738 of 1016 ⚔️ OPTH vs ALLR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALLR vs. OPTH, DARE, CTXR, NCEL)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) ranks #738 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #860 by equity capitalization ($13.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALLR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALLR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OPTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with ALLR at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALLR ACTIVE
Allarity Therapeutics Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -2.20% $13.8M Benchmark Subject
OPTH
Optimi Health Corp.
D 46/100 — — — -7.31% $13.8M /opth-vs-allr →
DARE
Dare Bioscience Inc.
D- 36/100 — 71.3% -35.0% +2.66% $13.8M /dare-vs-allr →
CTXR
Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% -7.10% $14.4M /ctxr-vs-allr →
NCEL
NewcelX Ltd.
E 28/100 — — -35.0% -5.27% $14.7M /ncel-vs-allr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001860657

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$11.2M, operating cash flow of -$14.8M, and free cash flow of -$14.8M (+16.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALLR closed FY2025 with $18.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$11.2M -$14.8M -$14.8M $18.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$24.5M -$17.4M -$17.6M $22.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$11.9M -$12.7M -$12.7M — —

3. ALLR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALLR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ALLR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $0.87 (-2.20% 1D, market cap $13.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALLR ranks #738 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALLR compare to OPTH and DARE in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALLR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OPTH (Optimi Health Corp.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.8M) and DARE (Dare Bioscience Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALLR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALLR leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLR?

Per ALLR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001860657), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$11.2M in net income, and -$14.8M in free cash flow against $18.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALLR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALLR last traded at $0.87 (-2.20% on volume of 179,453 shares), positioning the stock -18.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.07) and -28.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.21). Across its 52-week range of $0.77 to $1.84, ALLR sits at the 9.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.98).

ALLR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ALLR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ALLR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for ALLR, spanning a range between $1 and $0.98.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALLR — Allarity Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALLR scores 31 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 4 out of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of 0%; for a prospective investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow to support valuation. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 3 out of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), suggesting weak institutional support in the source data. The insider conviction pillar scores 5 out of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), indicating limited insider-side confirmation. The macro regime fit pillar scores 9 out of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 out of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Taken together, the pillars point to deteriorating cash generation, weak ownership signals, and a constrained balance-sheet profile. Upside drivers in this framework are limited to the stock's depressed price and any future operational turnaround, which the source data does not establish; valuation multiples such as P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, so relative valuation cannot be assessed.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-12.6M$-11.2MN/A$-14.8M$14.7MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-27.2M$-24.5MN/A$-17.6M$19.5MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-17.1M$-11.9MN/A$-12.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in all three periods and free cash flow outflows in each. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash declined from $19.5M to $14.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, recent items include: a Tumim stock purchase agreement ending ($6 million agreement, per headline); coverage describing resale coverage surviving the termination; and a first commercial CLIA laboratory services agreement described as a potential path to recurring revenue. Several items carry a YELLOW light and "MARKET WIRE" impact label. Risk watch items include the termination of the Tumim agreement and the company's zero reported revenue. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. Investors should note that the only sector context provided is the Health Care classification and a beta of 1.0.

Open Questions

  • What specific products or services, and which customers, generate the CLIA laboratory services revenue referenced in the news wire?
  • What are the terms and amounts of the Tumim agreement, and what were the reasons for its termination?
  • Where does the company's cash runway stand given cash of $14.7M against FY 2025 free cash flow of $-14.8M?
  • What are the reported debt figures, which are shown as N/A across all periods?
  • Which institutions or insiders hold ALLR shares, given that holder data is unavailable?

ALLR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALLR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALLR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.87?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALLR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALLR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.78 (-12.4%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALLR (E • RQD 31/100) a Buy at $0.89?

Welcome to the ALLR (Allarity Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.71 (-20.2%)
Spot @ $0.89

Pump the brakes on ALLR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALLR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Allarity Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.14 (+28.1%)
Spot @ $0.89

ALLR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALLR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.89 (52-wk range $0.77 - $1.84), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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