Why ALKT Stock dropped -2.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$12.40 -2.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.33

Alkami Technology Inc. (ALKT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.33B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALKT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Alkami Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: ALKT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $12.40 (-2.28% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ALKT ranks #572 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALKT compare to PD and RDVT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ALKT carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.8%, and ROIC of -14.2%. By comparison, PD (PagerDuty Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 7.9x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $1.33B) and RDVT (Red Violet Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 98.2x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALKT?
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Per ALKT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001529274), Alkami Technology Inc. generated $443.6M in revenue (+32.9% YoY), -$47.7M in net income, and $41.4M in free cash flow against $847.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.33 (-0.60%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 9.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (4)SEC (6)Macro (5)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$26 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE ALKT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALKT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALKT SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.3% FCF Margin ($41.4M FCF) & 57.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+7/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 35% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$14.15+3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$14.66+4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$15.36-19.3% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$12.40-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALKT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALKT currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.30) and Max Pain ($13.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALKT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALKT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ALKT Stock dropped -2.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Alkami Technology Inc. (ALKT) dropped -2.28% to $12.40, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($12.1 – $24.47). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($12.1 – $24.47) with RSI-14 at 32.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.6% around $12.40 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 57.8% gross margin and $41.4M annual free cash flow.
Live ALKT Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALKT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALKT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ALKT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.78%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $12.69H $12.69L $12.40C $12.40VOL 3.73M
RES: $22.99SUP: $12.04SMA50: $16.30SMA200: $17.14
$21.68$19.08$16.49$13.89$11.29RES $22.99SUP $12.04$12.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALKT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +32.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALKT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALKT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALKT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALKT)

Technology Rank #572 of 714 ⚔️ PD vs ALKT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ALKT vs. PD, RDVT, OPRA, GTM)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alkami Technology Inc. (ALKT) ranks #572 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #331 by equity capitalization ($1.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PD leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while RDVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. RDVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with ALKT at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALKT ACTIVE
Alkami Technology Inc.
E 31/100 — 57.8% -14.2% -2.28% $1.33B Benchmark Subject
PD
PagerDuty Inc.
C 63/100 7.9x 84.9% 6.8% -2.53% $1.33B /pd-vs-alkt →
RDVT
Red Violet Inc.
C+ 68/100 98.2x — 16.1% -0.57% $1.28B /rdvt-vs-alkt →
OPRA
Opera Limited
D 45/100 — — — -11.28% $1.39B /opra-vs-alkt →
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies Inc
D+ 52/100 10.5x 84.0% 6.7% -2.68% $1.27B /gtm-vs-alkt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001529274

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alkami Technology Inc. (ALKT) reported GAAP revenue of $443.6M (+32.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $333.8M , and +67.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$47.7M, operating cash flow of $42.9M, and free cash flow of $41.4M (+137.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALKT closed FY2025 with $847.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.27, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $443.6M -$47.7M $42.9M $41.4M $847.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $333.8M -$40.8M $18.6M $17.4M $437.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $264.8M -$62.9M -$17.5M -$17.5M — —

3. ALKT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALKT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alkami Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: ALKT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $12.40 (-2.28% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ALKT ranks #572 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALKT compare to PD and RDVT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ALKT carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.8%, and ROIC of -14.2%. By comparison, PD (PagerDuty Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 7.9x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $1.33B) and RDVT (Red Violet Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 98.2x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALKT?

Per ALKT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001529274), Alkami Technology Inc. generated $443.6M in revenue (+32.9% YoY), -$47.7M in net income, and $41.4M in free cash flow against $847.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALKT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALKT last traded at $12.40 (-2.28% on volume of 3,732,997 shares), positioning the stock -23.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.30) and -27.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.14). Across its 52-week range of $12.10 to $24.47, ALKT sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($11.09 to $13.71).

ALKT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ALKT stock moving today?

Why ALKT Stock dropped -2.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALKT — Alkami Technology Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:29Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALKT scores 32 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC of -14.2% and FCF yield of 3.05%); Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 7/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 6/20 (Altman Z of 1.27, Piotroski F of 6/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to a stock where the cash-generation and forensic-health measures carry the most weight against it. A negative ROIC indicates the business is not currently earning returns above its capital base, while the 3.05% FCF yield is a modest cash return relative to the share price. The Altman Z of 1.27 sits in the range the rating's forensic framework treats as elevated distress risk, and the Piotroski F of 6/9 suggests mixed rather than strong fundamental health. The Macro Regime Fit pillar reflects a Beta of 1.0, meaning the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market rather than offering defensive or amplified exposure. Upside drivers would need to come from improvement in operating economics, since the rating's scoring does not indicate a valuation cushion. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, Forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the feed contains six items tied to ALKT. A market-wire item references general market action and institutional positioning. A catalyst item discusses Alkami's community-banking niche as a potential growth story in comparison with QTWO and JKHY. Two items are flagged as risk watch: a Citizens downgrade of the stock on mixed results, and a Seeking Alpha report on the same downgrade as the firm awaits clarity on 2027. A TradingView item and a Simply Wall St item address Q3 results, with the latter noting the share price declined despite strong Q3 results. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no upstream or downstream butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. Sector correlations and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided data. Investors should watch for analyst or regulatory commentary on the 2027 outlook referenced in the news wire, as that item is the only forward-looking catalyst identified in the source material.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's forward valuation multiples, given that P/E, Forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are all unavailable?
  • What debt obligations sit behind the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, since period-level debt figures are missing?
  • What is the basis for the Citizens downgrade, and what specific 2027 clarity is the firm awaiting?
  • Which institutional holders, insiders, or Congressional filers are active in ALKT, given that holder data is absent?
  • What drives the revenue-to-operating-loss gap across FY 2023 through FY 2025, and when does the company project reaching operating breakeven?

ALKT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alkami Technology Inc. (ALKT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALKT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALKT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.40?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALKT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALKT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.17 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALKT (E • RQD 32/100) a Buy at $12.69?

Welcome to the ALKT (Alkami Technology Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 32/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.41 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $12.69

Pump the brakes on ALKT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALKT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 57.8% gross margins. Unless Alkami Technology Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.35 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $12.69

ALKT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALKT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.69 (52-wk range $12.10 - $24.47), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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