Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ALEC Stock dropped -2.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alector Inc. (ALEC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ALEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Alector Inc. (NASDAQ: ALEC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.15 (-2.71% 1D, market cap $327.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ALEC ranks #678 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ALEC compare to XFOR and AGEN in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), ALEC carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XFOR (X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $332.1M) and AGEN (Agenus Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $308.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SABS leads on earnings multiple (22.1x) while SABS leads on capital efficiency (-27.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALEC?
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Per ALEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653087), Alector Inc. generated $21.0M in revenue (-79.1% YoY), -$143.0M in net income, and -$184.1M in free cash flow against $293.2M in total assets and $9.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 63% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALEC Turnaround Squeeze
While ALEC currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.08) and Max Pain ($2.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.90.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ALEC Stock dropped -2.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alector Inc. (ALEC) dropped -2.71% to $2.15, trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($1.09 – $2.76). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($1.09 – $2.76) with RSI-14 at 59.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.15 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Investing.com report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Dealroom report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moderna (MRNA) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Alector (ALEC) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALEC)
- ✓Walkthrough of ALEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ALEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -79.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALEC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALEC)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALEC vs. XFOR, AGEN, KYTX, SABS)
Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alector Inc. (ALEC) ranks #678 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #506 by equity capitalization ($327.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SABS leads on earnings valuation at 22.1x trailing P/E, while SABS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -27.4% ROIC and — gross margin. SABS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 38/100 (D-) compared with ALEC at 33/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALEC
ACTIVE
Alector Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.71% | $327.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| XFOR X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | 83.6% | -35.0% | 0.00% | $332.1M | /xfor-vs-alec → |
| AGEN Agenus Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | 96.0% | -35.0% | -4.53% | $308.9M | /agen-vs-alec → |
| KYTX Kyverna Therapeutics Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -7.94% | $350.7M | /kytx-vs-alec → |
| SABS SAB Biotherapeutics Inc. | D- | 38/100 | 22.1x | — | -27.4% | -1.49% | $304.8M | /sabs-vs-alec → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653087 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alector Inc. (ALEC) reported GAAP revenue of $21.0M (-79.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $100.6M , and -78.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$143.0M, operating cash flow of -$184.0M, and free cash flow of -$184.1M (+20.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALEC closed FY2025 with $293.2M in total assets against $9.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $21.0M | -$143.0M | -$184.0M | -$184.1M | $293.2M | $9.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $100.6M | -$119.0M | -$229.9M | -$231.2M | $468.3M | $9.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $97.1M | -$130.0M | -$184.2M | -$184.2M | — | — |
3. ALEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Alector Inc. (NASDAQ: ALEC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $2.15 (-2.71% 1D, market cap $327.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ALEC ranks #678 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALEC compare to XFOR and AGEN in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), ALEC carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XFOR (X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $332.1M) and AGEN (Agenus Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $308.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SABS leads on earnings multiple (22.1x) while SABS leads on capital efficiency (-27.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALEC?
Per ALEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653087), Alector Inc. generated $21.0M in revenue (-79.1% YoY), -$143.0M in net income, and -$184.1M in free cash flow against $293.2M in total assets and $9.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALEC last traded at $2.15 (-2.71% on volume of 952,613 shares), positioning the stock +3.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.08) and +5.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.03). Across its 52-week range of $1.09 to $2.76, ALEC sits at the 63.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.88 to $2.42).
ALEC — Alector Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Alector Inc. (ALEC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.15 (-2.71% 1D, market capitalization $327.6M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.30x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Alector Inc. (ALEC) is listed on NASDAQ in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry. Revenue is reported in the financials, but the sources do not specify how it is generated. No supply-chain relationships are recorded.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alector Inc. (ALEC) reported $21.0M in annual revenue (up from $100.6M in FY2024, -79.1% YoY) and -$143.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($97.1M revenue, -$130.0M net income) through FY2025, ALEC scaled operating cash flow to -$184.0M and free cash flow to -$184.1M, backed by $293.2M in total assets against $9.3M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.09 – $2.76 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector correlation is limited to the Health Care classification and Beta of 1.0. The second-order risk the source data does support is financing dependence: the equity offering and the reported negative free cash flow suggest that the company's continuation relies on capital markets, so a tightening of those markets would be a ripple to watch.
- Key Question #1: Can ALEC sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $21.0M and free cash flow of -$184.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $9.3M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALEC's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
ALEC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alector Inc. (ALEC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Dealroom report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Alector Inc. (ALEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ALEC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.15?
Per the news wire, a TradingView report describes a 12-month price target of $3.3 implying 66% upside.
Here is why I am bullish on ALEC here at $2.21: Per the news wire, a TradingView report describes a 12-month price target of $3.3 implying 66% upside.. Compare ALEC's -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $2.10 are getting bought.
@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signal severe forensic balance-sheet risk.
Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signal severe forensic balance-sheet risk.. Look at the math on ALEC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.94 before getting long.