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Stock Ratings / Technology / ALAR / forecast
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Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.30 -4.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.29

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALAR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Alarum Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: ALAR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.30 (-4.41% 1D, market cap $9.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ALAR ranks #426 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALAR compare to YXT and GIXI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ALAR carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, YXT (YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.6M) and GIXI (Gix Internet Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALAR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WIMI leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALAR?
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For Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #426 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.29 (-0.98%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.2% Base Target
$17 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ALAR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALAR SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($263.9K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$1.45-5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$1.37+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$1.39-6.5% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$1.30-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALAR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALAR currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.62) and Max Pain ($1.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.30.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALAR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALAR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ALAR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.30: 7692.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.95
$7,308
$-2,692 (-26.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.22
$9,385
$-615 (-6.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $17.30
$133,077
+$123,077 (+1230.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALAR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALAR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ALAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -81.32%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $1.36H $1.36L $1.30C $1.30VOL 24.0K
RES: $2.94SUP: $1.31SMA50: $1.62SMA200: $5.01
$11.46$8.67$5.88$3.09$0.29RES $2.94SUP $1.31$1.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALAR Butterfly Map → + Track ALAR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALAR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALAR)

Technology Rank #426 of 714 ⚔️ YXT vs ALAR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ALAR vs. YXT, GIXI, WIMI, DTSS)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) ranks #426 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #645 by equity capitalization ($9.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALAR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while WIMI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -3.4% ROIC and — gross margin. GIXI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with ALAR at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALAR ACTIVE
Alarum Technologies Ltd.
D 45/100 — — — -4.41% $9.4M Benchmark Subject
YXT
YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares
D- 38/100 — 68.3% -35.0% +3.57% $9.6M /yxt-vs-alar →
GIXI
Gix Internet Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -7.56% $9.7M /gixi-vs-alar →
WIMI
WiMi Hologram Cloud Inc. (Class B)
E 27/100 — — -3.4% -5.79% $9.0M /wimi-vs-alar →
DTSS
Datasea Intelligent Technology Ltd. (Class A)
D- 40/100 — 3.5% — -1.60% $8.9M /dtss-vs-alar →

2. ALAR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) operates in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $9.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ALAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alarum Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: ALAR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.30 (-4.41% 1D, market cap $9.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ALAR ranks #426 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALAR compare to YXT and GIXI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ALAR carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, YXT (YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.6M) and GIXI (Gix Internet Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALAR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WIMI leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALAR?

For Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #426 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALAR last traded at $1.30 (-4.41% on volume of 24,009 shares), positioning the stock -19.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.62) and -74.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.01). Across its 52-week range of $1.16 to $16.48, ALAR sits at the 0.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.14 to $1.46).

ALAR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ALAR's 12-month stock price target?

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.22 (-6.2% from $1.30), with a bull-case target of $17.3 and a bear-case floor of $0.95.

Is ALAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ALAR D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 45/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALAR RQD Cockpit ALAR 12M Forecast ALAR Earnings & Move ALAR Dividends & DRIP ALAR Insiders & 13F ALAR Whale Options ALAR Profit Sankey ALAR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALAR — Alarum Technologies Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:20:10Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALAR scores 45 out of 100 (grade D; verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning"). Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, the company is not currently generating a measurable return on invested capital or free cash flow to support valuation, so any upside must come from factors outside current cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, institutional accumulation and options positioning are weak. Limited institutional sponsorship reduces the buyer base that could support the price during periods of weakness.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is weak. Insider signals do not provide a meaningful confirmation of management conviction.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, beta is 1.0 with weak sector sensitivity scoring. The stock's exposure to market-wide moves is neutral in beta terms, but the low pillar score indicates the regime is not favorable.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD pillar, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating a moderately sound balance sheet relative to the other pillars.

Investment implications: the upside case depends on a catalyst that changes the cash-generation picture, since the rating shows none in the current data. Valuation tradeoffs are unresolved because earnings-based multiples are unavailable. Second-order risk comes from the litigation and distribution signals in the news feed (see below). This is analytical context, not personalized financial advice.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Risk Watch (RED): A Business Wire item reports a securities class action lawsuit deadline of October 5, 2026, flagged as a risk-watch item.
  • Deadline alerts: A GlobeNewswire item references a deadline alert covering ALAR among other tickers.
  • Market wire items (YELLOW): TradingView, Yahoo Finance UK, Stock Titan, and ChartMill items are general market-coverage reports with no specific fundamental content in the source data.
  • Proprietary signals: None. The Butterfly graph lists no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's revenue, earnings, and cash flow figures by period? The financials section is empty.
  • What is the nature and status of the securities class action referenced in the news feed?
  • What does the company sell and to whom? The business description is absent.
  • Why are P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS unavailable, and is the company currently profitable?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the recent ownership trend?

ALAR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALAR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALAR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.30?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALAR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALAR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.20 (-11.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALAR (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $1.36?

Welcome to the ALAR (Alarum Technologies Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.03 (-24.3%)
Spot @ $1.36

Pump the brakes on ALAR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALAR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Alarum Technologies Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.66 (+22.1%)
Spot @ $1.36

ALAR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALAR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.36 (52-wk range $1.16 - $16.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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