Why AKAM Stock dropped -6.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$92.72 -6.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $91.43

Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.28B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AKAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Akamai Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AKAM) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $92.72 (-6.70% 1D, market cap $14.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AKAM ranks #352 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AKAM compare to CART and FICO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), AKAM carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, CART (Maplebear Inc.) holds a A grade (88/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $13.55B) and FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 59.6%, cap $15.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FICO leads on earnings multiple (23.5x) while FICO leads on capital efficiency (59.6% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AKAM?
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Per AKAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001086222), Akamai Technologies Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $452.0M in net income, and $1.01B in free cash flow against $11.48B in total assets and $2.93B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $91.42 (-1.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 25.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$174 Bull$93 Base$73 Bear
📬 FREE AKAM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AKAM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AKAM SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.38 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$99.93-10.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$89.63+11.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$99.59-6.9% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$92.72+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AKAM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, AKAM faces multiple-compression risk if 31.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($103.63) or 200D SMA ($112.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($93.14) toward Bear Floor ($72.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AKAM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AKAM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why AKAM Stock dropped -6.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) dropped -6.70% to $92.72, trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($70.82 – $165.45). Solid 57% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($70.82 – $165.45) with RSI-14 at 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.5% around $92.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 0% gross margin and $1.0B annual free cash flow.
Live AKAM Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AKAM Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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AKAM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $98.10H $99.38L $92.72C $92.72VOL 3.15M
RES: $127.2SUP: $83.21SMA50: $103.6SMA200: $112.6
$171.0$148.0$125.0$101.9$78.91RES $127.2SUP $83.21$92.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AKAM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AKAM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AKAM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AKAM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AKAM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #352 of 1011 ⚔️ CART vs AKAM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AKAM vs. CART, FICO, RBA, GRAB)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) ranks #352 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #132 by equity capitalization ($14.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FICO leads on earnings valuation at 23.5x trailing P/E, while FICO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 59.6% ROIC and 82.2% gross margin. CART currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 88/100 (A) compared with AKAM at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AKAM ACTIVE
Akamai Technologies Inc.
C- 59/100 31.6x 56.8% 6.6% -6.70% $14.28B Benchmark Subject
CART
Maplebear Inc.
A 88/100 30.3x 73.7% 17.2% -1.16% $13.55B /cart-vs-akam →
FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation
B- 71/100 23.5x 82.2% 59.6% +0.29% $15.32B /fico-vs-akam →
RBA
RB Global Inc.
D+ 57/100 37.4x — 7.7% +1.57% $16.03B /rba-vs-akam →
GRAB
Grab Holdings Limited (Class A)
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.81% $11.32B /grab-vs-akam →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001086222

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $452.0M, operating cash flow of $1.52B, and free cash flow of $1.01B (-10.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AKAM closed FY2025 with $11.48B in total assets against $2.93B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $452.0M $1.52B $1.01B $11.48B $2.93B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $504.9M $1.52B $1.13B $10.37B $2.47B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $547.6M $1.35B $1.35B $7.86B $1.84B

3. AKAM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AKAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Akamai Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AKAM) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $92.72 (-6.70% 1D, market cap $14.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AKAM ranks #352 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AKAM compare to CART and FICO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), AKAM carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, CART (Maplebear Inc.) holds a A grade (88/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $13.55B) and FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 59.6%, cap $15.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FICO leads on earnings multiple (23.5x) while FICO leads on capital efficiency (59.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AKAM?

Per AKAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001086222), Akamai Technologies Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $452.0M in net income, and $1.01B in free cash flow against $11.48B in total assets and $2.93B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AKAM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AKAM last traded at $92.72 (-6.70% on volume of 5,261,050 shares), positioning the stock -10.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($103.63) and -17.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($112.63). Across its 52-week range of $70.82 to $165.45, AKAM sits at the 23.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($82.98 to $102.46).

AKAM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is AKAM stock moving today?

Why AKAM Stock dropped -6.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 57% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AKAM — Akamai Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AKAM scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Cited as ROIC 6.6% and FCF yield 7.08%. This is a middling reading: the business generates cash relative to its market value, but returns on invested capital are modest.
  • Whale 13F Flow (8/20): Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the weakest pillar, indicating limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (15/20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest pillar, though it remains below the midpoint of its scale.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20): Cited as Beta 1.06 and sector sensitivity. A beta slightly above 1.0 implies the stock has moved modestly more than the market, so macro swings may amplify its price action.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Cited as Altman Z 2.38, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.55. This is a relatively solid pillar, with a strong Piotroski reading and moderate leverage.

For a prospective investor, the composite reading suggests a stock with a reasonable balance sheet and cash generation, offset by valuation and weak institutional conviction signals. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 31.6 and EV/EBITDA of 16.1, levels that place meaningful expectations on future earnings growth. The upside case rests on the balance sheet strength and insider signals; the valuation tradeoff and the modest ROIC are the principal constraints. The verdict label of "Cautious Neutral" reflects this balance rather than a directional call.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
99.38$14.28B31.629.416.13.150%1.06$70.82 - $165.456.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$566.9M$452.0MN/A$1011.0M$930.2M$2926.0M
FY 2024$0.0M$533.4M$504.9MN/A$1128.7M$517.7M$2470.7M
FY 2023$0.0M$637.3M$547.6MN/A$1348.4MN/A$1838.2M

Per the SEC financials, net income declined from $547.6M (FY 2023) to $504.9M (FY 2024) and $452.0M (FY 2025), while free cash flow declined from $1348.4M to $1011.0M over the same span. Gross margin is 56.8%, operating margin 14.2%, and net margin 11.3%, per the market data. ROIC is 6.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 2.38, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.55. Reported debt rose from $1838.2M to $2926.0M across the three periods while cash rose from $517.7M to $930.2M in the later two.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the catalysts and risk items are:

  • Market wire (YELLOW): Multiple headlines frame AKAM around AI cloud momentum and a "fresh AI cloud deal," with one suggesting the stock "may be 14% undervalued." These are third-party commentary, not verified company disclosures.
  • Risk watch (RED): One headline notes AKAM "falls more steeply than broader market," flagged as a risk item.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): A MarketWatch item reports the stock underperformed competitors on a Monday.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): A "Is Akamai Technologies (AKAM) Stock A Bargain Or Fully Priced?" piece is flagged as a positive catalyst.
  • Yahoo Finance Canada / TradingView: General overview and caution-oriented commentary, flagged YELLOW.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the revenue figures? All reported periods show revenue as $0.0M and EPS as N/A, so top-line trajectory cannot be assessed from the source data.
  • What drove the decline in net income and free cash flow across FY 2023 through FY 2025 while debt increased?
  • What is the specific AI cloud deal referenced in the news feed, and what is its size and timing?
  • Which underlying Form 4, 13F, and Congressional transactions produced the insider and whale pillar scores?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, and how do they compare with the 52-week range of $70.82 to $165.45?

AKAM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AKAM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AKAM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $92.72?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AKAM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AKAM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $107.33 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AKAM (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $99.38?

Welcome to the AKAM (Akamai Technologies Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (31.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $77.52 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $99.38

Pump the brakes on AKAM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AKAM, but look at what you are paying: 31.6x trailing P/E with 56.8% gross margins. Unless Akamai Technologies Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $119.26 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $99.38

AKAM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AKAM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $99.38 (52-wk range $70.82 - $165.45), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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