Assurant Inc. (AIZ) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.8% Move

$292.80 +0.04% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $293.52

Assurant Inc. (AIZ) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 5% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $14.44B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Assurant Inc. (NYSE: AIZ) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $292.80 (+0.04% 1D, market cap $14.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AIZ ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIZ compare to RNR and BNT in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), AIZ carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, RNR (RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $13.71B) and BNT (Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. Class A Exchangeable Limited Voting Shares) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNR leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CNA leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIZ?
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Per AIZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001267238), Assurant Inc. generated $12.81B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), $872.7M in net income, and $1.60B in free cash flow against $36.29B in total assets and $13.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $293.53 (+0.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 12.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510075
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B-
Cash (14)Whales (16)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target
$372 Bull$315 Base$240 Bear
📬 FREE AIZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIZ SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.5) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$276.33+2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$284.30+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$284.99+2.7% Next Q
Current
75
Grade B$292.80+7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AIZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, AIZ faces multiple-compression risk if 16.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($279.18) or 200D SMA ($255.39) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($315.20) toward Bear Floor ($240.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.8% Swing Band

±$11.13 Expected Swing
$281.67 (-3.8%)Spot $292.80$303.93 (+3.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AIZ Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 75/100

Trailing EPS: $17.69 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.9%

Model Bullish Setup (75/100)Model Risk Weight (25/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$12.81B$872.7M$1.60B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$11.88B$760.2M$1.11B52%
FY 20232023-12-31$11.13B$642.5M$637.2M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AIZ & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AIZ
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.79%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $292.7H $292.8L $292.7C $292.8VOL 321.6K
RES: $298.3SUP: $255.6SMA50: $279.2SMA200: $255.4
$309.8$285.6$261.4$237.2$213.0RES $298.3SUP $255.6$292.82026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIZ)

Financials Rank #32 of 1096 ⚔️ RNR vs AIZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AIZ vs. RNR, BNT, EG, CNA)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Assurant Inc. (AIZ) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #142 by equity capitalization ($14.44B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNR leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while CNA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.7% ROIC and — gross margin. AIZ currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIZ ACTIVE
Assurant Inc.
B 75/100 16.5x — 5.0% +0.04% $14.44B Benchmark Subject
RNR
RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
B 75/100 5.1x — 10.6% +0.20% $13.71B /rnr-vs-aiz →
BNT
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. Class A Exchangeable Limited Voting Shares
D 47/100 — — — -0.61% $13.25B /bnt-vs-aiz →
EG
Everest Group Ltd.
B 74/100 9.7x — 5.5% +2.59% $15.76B /eg-vs-aiz →
CNA
CNA Financial Corporation
B 73/100 10.3x — 19.7% -0.39% $13.17B /cna-vs-aiz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001267238

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Assurant Inc. (AIZ) reported GAAP revenue of $12.81B (+7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.88B , and +15.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $872.7M, operating cash flow of $1.83B, and free cash flow of $1.60B (+43.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIZ closed FY2025 with $36.29B in total assets against $13.69B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.81B $872.7M $1.83B $1.60B $36.29B $13.69B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.88B $760.2M $1.33B $1.11B $35.02B $13.46B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.13B $642.5M $1.14B $637.2M $13.36B $3.13B

3. AIZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Assurant Inc. (NYSE: AIZ) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $292.80 (+0.04% 1D, market cap $14.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AIZ ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIZ compare to RNR and BNT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), AIZ carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, RNR (RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $13.71B) and BNT (Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. Class A Exchangeable Limited Voting Shares) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNR leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CNA leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIZ?

Per AIZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001267238), Assurant Inc. generated $12.81B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), $872.7M in net income, and $1.60B in free cash flow against $36.29B in total assets and $13.69B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIZ last traded at $292.80 (+0.04% on volume of 321,581 shares), positioning the stock +4.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($279.18) and +14.65% above its 200-day simple moving average ($255.39). Across its 52-week range of $209.86 to $303.94, AIZ sits at the 88.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($281.67 to $303.93).

AIZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AIZ's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Assurant Inc. (AIZ)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AIZ stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.8% event move for AIZ, spanning a range between $281.67 and $303.93.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 75/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AIZ — Assurant Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:52Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AIZ scores 75 out of 100, graded B and labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 5% and an FCF yield of 11.07%. A high FCF yield alongside modest ROIC suggests cash generation is strong relative to the market value, while the return on invested capital is comparatively thin.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source does not itemize the underlying holder data, so the magnitude of accumulation cannot be verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the highest-scoring pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The specific transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 0.92 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 indicates the stock has historically moved less than the broad market in the source's framing, which typically implies lower sensitivity to market-wide swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the upside drivers embedded in this rating are the strong insider and institutional signal scores and the high FCF yield. The valuation tradeoff is that the P/E (TTM) of 16.5 and EV/EBITDA of 20.1 sit alongside a modest 5% ROIC, so the price already reflects meaningful expectations. The low beta suggests a defensive profile, but the sector-sensitivity component limits how much of that defensiveness the rating credits. The 75 score is a composite of these tradeoffs, not a standalone endorsement.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
292.69$14.44B16.515.320.117.691.17%0.92$207.78 - $303.945%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$12814.3M$1029.8M$872.7MN/A$1598.4M$1834.1M$13688.1M
FY 2024$11877.5M$897.0M$760.2MN/A$1111.4M$1807.7M$13461.3M
FY 2023$11131.6M$758.1M$642.5MN/A$637.2MN/A$3125.8M

Per the market data, operating margin is 8.3%, net margin is 6.8%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Per the same rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5; the SEC financials show debt rising from $3125.8M in FY 2023 to $13688.1M in FY 2025, a figure that should be reconciled against the Debt/Equity reading.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, six AIZ-related items were published, each from a Yahoo Finance, TradingView, Benzinga, or Simply Wall St report. Headlines carry light signals as follows:

  • GREEN (Catalyst): a Yahoo Finance piece on whether AIZ is outperforming other finance stocks this year, and a TradingView piece on an upcoming third-quarter earnings beat.
  • YELLOW (Market Wire): a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether value investors should buy, a Benzinga 15-year return piece, a Simply Wall St piece on fair value, and a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether finance stocks are lagging AIZ.

The news items are headlines and summaries only; their underlying content is not provided. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are recorded. Risk watch items drawn from the wire are limited to the third-quarter earnings expectation, which the headline frames as a question rather than an outcome.

Open Questions

  • What drives the reported change in debt from $3125.8M (FY 2023) to $13688.1M (FY 2025), and how does that reconcile with the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A across all three periods while TTM EPS is 17.69, and what is the reported EPS trend?
  • What are the specific insider, 13F, and Congressional transactions underlying the high insider-conviction score?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0% and cash for FY 2023 as N/A, and does the FY 2023 cash figure exist in the filings?
  • What is the company's business mix and revenue model, since the source data does not describe its products or segments?

AIZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Assurant Inc. (AIZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AIZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $292.80?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIZ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIZ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $345.37 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AIZ (B • RQD 75/100) a Buy at $292.69?

Welcome to the AIZ (Assurant Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 75/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Property-Casualty Insurers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $237.08 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $292.69

Pump the brakes on AIZ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AIZ, but look at what you are paying: 16.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Assurant Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $371.72 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $292.69

AIZ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AIZ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Property-Casualty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $292.69 (52-wk range $207.78 - $303.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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