What is AHT's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AHT.

Stock Ratings / Financials / AHT / options

NYC (37) MDRR (59) LFT (37) GPMT (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.55 -0.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.54

Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $16.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AHT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (NYSE: AHT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.55 (-0.78% 1D, market cap $16.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AHT ranks #907 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AHT compare to NYC and MDRR in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AHT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.9M) and MDRR (Medalist Diversified Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.4%, cap $19.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AHT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHT?

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Per AHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001232582), Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc generated $1.10B in revenue (-5.8% YoY), -$179.8M in net income, and -$15.7M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.54 (-0.33%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AHT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AHT SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.91-6.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.79+48.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.66-4.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.55-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AHT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AHT currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.63) and Max Pain ($2.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AHT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AHT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AHT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AHT.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AHT)

✓Walkthrough of AHT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AHT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.97%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $2.65H $2.65L $2.55C $2.55VOL 170.9K

RES: $3.17SUP: $1.51SMA50: $2.63SMA200: $3.03

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AHT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AHT Butterfly Map → + Track AHT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AHT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AHT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AHT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AHT)

Financials Rank #907 of 1096 ⚔️ NYC vs AHT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AHT vs. NYC, MDRR, LFT, GPMT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) ranks #907 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #1064 by equity capitalization ($16.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AHT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with AHT at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AHT ACTIVE Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc	D-	41/100	—	—	85.0%	-0.78%	$16.6M	Benchmark Subject
NYC American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	—	5.5%	-0.08%	$18.9M	/nyc-vs-aht →
MDRR Medalist Diversified Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	6.4%	0.00%	$19.1M	/mdrr-vs-aht →
LFT Lument Finance Trust Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-1.3%	+1.55%	$20.3M	/lft-vs-aht →
GPMT Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	-7.4%	+3.04%	$20.6M	/gpmt-vs-aht →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001232582

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.10B (-5.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and -19.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$179.8M, operating cash flow of -$15.7M, and free cash flow of -$15.7M (+33.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AHT closed FY2025 with $2.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.10B	-$179.8M	-$15.7M	-$15.7M	$2.83B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.17B	-$60.3M	-$23.6M	-$23.6M	$3.16B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.37B	-$178.5M	$14.4M	$14.4M	—	—

3. AHT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AHT compare to NYC and MDRR in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHT?

Where is AHT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AHT last traded at $2.55 (-0.78% on volume of 33,563 shares), positioning the stock -3.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.63) and -15.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.03). Across its 52-week range of $1.74 to $5.00, AHT sits at the 24.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.23 to $2.87).

Direct Sub-Reports: AHT RQD Cockpit AHT 12M Forecast AHT Earnings & Move AHT Dividends & DRIP AHT Insiders & 13F AHT Whale Options AHT Profit Sankey AHT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AHT — Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:16Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AHT scores 43 out of 100, grading D- with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 13 of 20 (ROIC 85%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow scores 8 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction scores 6 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit scores 8 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 8 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the rating points to a weak forensic profile and thin flow support. The 85% ROIC figure is the strongest datapoint in the rating, but the 0% FCF yield and the Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9 indicate that reported returns are not translating into free cash generation. Insider and institutional support is also limited, as reflected in the 6 and 8 pillar scores.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. The reported revenue figures in the SEC financials ($1.10B for FY 2025) indicate a substantial operating scale relative to the $17.1M market capitalization shown in market data.

Per the market data, operating margin is 10.5% while net margin is -16.3%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 85%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Revenue declined from $1.37B in FY 2023 to $1.10B in FY 2025, and net income was negative in each reported period. Reported FCF was negative in FY 2025 and FY 2024.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: 85% ROIC and an adviser commitment to buy 2.5% of shares each quarter alongside fee waivers and ATM termination. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 85.0%, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $1.74 – $5.00 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Negative net income in each reported period, 0% FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9. Investors must weigh current valuation against 10.5% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), AHT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

Key Question #1: What are AHT's P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA, given that these are absent from the market data?
Key Question #2: What is the reported EPS and debt level in the financials, which are listed as N/A?
Key Question #3: What explains the gap between 85% ROIC and the negative net income and FCF across FY 2023 to FY 2025?

AHT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AHT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST ANNOUNCES $17 MILLION ADVISORY FEE WAIVER, SHARE PURCHASE COMMITMENT FROM ASHFORD INC. AND TERMINATION OF ATM PROGRAM

Yahoo Finance report covering Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 23h ago

Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT) Shares Rocket 66% After Hours: What’s Behind the Surge?

Benzinga report covering Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago

Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT) Stock Forecast & Analyst Ratings

Moomoo report covering Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Ashford Hospitality Trust Sets Share Buy Plan With Ashford, Waives Fees, Ends $100M ATM

TradingView report covering Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

The company ended its program to sell new shares. Its adviser committed to buy 2.5% of its stock each quarter.

Stock Titan report covering Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ChartMill • 1d ago

Unusual Volume Stocks: PRSO, SHFS, AHT Lead Today's Session

ChartMill report covering Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Top Midday Gainers

Yahoo Finance report covering Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

A $17 Million Giveback Sparks a 50% Rally

The Globe and Mail report covering Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AHT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.55?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AHT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.32 (+29.2%)

📌 Pinned Debate

85% ROIC and an adviser commitment to buy 2.5% of shares each quarter alongside fee waivers and ATM termination.

The street is overcomplicating Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT). 85% ROIC and an adviser commitment to buy 2.5% of shares each quarter alongside fee waivers and ATM termination.. With an RQD score of 41/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $2.78.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — AHT's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.21 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $2.57

Negative net income in each reported period, 0% FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9.

I respect the product at Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc, but the stock at $2.57 is a different story. Negative net income in each reported period, 0% FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 41/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?