AH Realty Trust Inc. (AHRT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.5% Move

$6.40 +5.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.45

AH Realty Trust Inc. (AHRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $453.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AHRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, AH Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: AHRT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $6.40 (+5.26% 1D, market cap $453.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AHRT ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AHRT compare to TRC and REAX in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AHRT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 116.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, TRC (Tejon Ranch Co) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $442.6M) and REAX (Real REMAX Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $512.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRPH leads on earnings multiple (114.6x) while AHRT leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHRT?
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Per AHRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001569187), AH Realty Trust Inc. generated $209.9M in revenue (-51.5% YoY), $3.9M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.45 (+0.76%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (7)SEC (10)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$8 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE AHRT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AHRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AHRT SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6% FCF Margin ($12.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$6.05-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$5.94+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$6.09+5.1% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$6.40-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AHRT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AHRT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.18) and Max Pain ($6.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AHRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AHRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.5% Swing Band

±$0.29 Expected Swing
$6.11 (-4.5%)Spot $6.40$6.69 (+4.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AHRT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 37/100

Trailing EPS: $0.05 • YoY Revenue Growth: -51.5%

Model Bullish Setup (37/100)Model Risk Weight (63/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$209.9M$3.9M$3.5M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$433.2M$42.5M$112.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$413.1M$7.7M$93.3M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AHRT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AHRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AHRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.02%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $6.11H $6.40L $6.08C $6.40VOL 886.2K
RES: $7.67SUP: $5.54SMA50: $6.18SMA200: $6.43
$7.30$6.89$6.49$6.08$5.67RES $7.67SUP $5.54$6.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AHRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -51.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AHRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AHRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AHRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AHRT)

Financials Rank #952 of 1096 ⚔️ TRC vs AHRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AHRT vs. TRC, REAX, BOC, FRPH)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AH Realty Trust Inc. (AHRT) ranks #952 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #723 by equity capitalization ($453.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRPH leads on earnings valuation at 114.6x trailing P/E, while AHRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and — gross margin. TRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with AHRT at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AHRT ACTIVE
AH Realty Trust Inc.
D- 37/100 116.9x — 6.5% +5.26% $453.5M Benchmark Subject
TRC
Tejon Ranch Co
D 44/100 — — -1.3% -0.92% $442.6M /trc-vs-ahrt →
REAX
Real REMAX Group Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — +5.50% $512.3M /reax-vs-ahrt →
BOC
Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -0.6% +4.02% $389.8M /boc-vs-ahrt →
FRPH
FRP Holdings Inc.
E 28/100 114.6x — 1.3% +0.59% $360.0M /frph-vs-ahrt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001569187

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AH Realty Trust Inc. (AHRT) reported GAAP revenue of $209.9M (-51.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $433.2M , and -49.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.9M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AHRT closed FY2025 with $2.60B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $209.9M $3.9M — — $2.60B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $433.2M $42.5M $112.0M $112.0M $2.51B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $413.1M $7.7M $93.3M $93.3M — —

3. AHRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AHRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AH Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: AHRT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $6.40 (+5.26% 1D, market cap $453.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AHRT ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AHRT compare to TRC and REAX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AHRT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 116.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, TRC (Tejon Ranch Co) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.3%, cap $442.6M) and REAX (Real REMAX Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $512.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRPH leads on earnings multiple (114.6x) while AHRT leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHRT?

Per AHRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001569187), AH Realty Trust Inc. generated $209.9M in revenue (-51.5% YoY), $3.9M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.60B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AHRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AHRT last traded at $6.40 (+5.26% on volume of 1,682,208 shares), positioning the stock +3.56% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.18) and -0.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.43). Across its 52-week range of $5.13 to $7.33, AHRT sits at the 57.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($6.11 to $6.69).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AHRT — AH Realty Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:17Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AHRT scores 37 out of 100 and receives a D- grade, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 6.5% and an FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently generating free cash flow relative to its market value, so the investment case rests on future earnings recovery rather than present cash returns.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning score weakly. Investors should not read this pillar as strong institutional endorsement.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score lowest among the pillars, indicating limited insider signaling of confidence in the current price.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the broader market, offering no defensive cushion in risk-off environments.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. The weak Piotroski reading is the most notable forensic concern.

Taken together, the rating's weakest elements are cash generation, insider conviction, and forensic balance sheet quality. Valuation is a tradeoff: P/E (TTM) of 116.9 and EV/EBITDA of 8.5 are on the source data, and the earnings base (EPS TTM of 0.05) is thin relative to the price. Upside drivers cited in the data include positive operating margin (23.1%) and the recent leasing and refinancing news. These are offset by the rating's sell verdict and the absence of dividends. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AH Realty Trust Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and Real Estate industry. The profile gives a market capitalization of $0.5B. Per the news wire, the company's activity includes office leasing at Harbor Point and property sales with debt refinancing. —

Revenue fell from $433.2M in FY 2024 to $209.9M in FY 2025, and net income declined from $42.5M to $3.9M. Operating margin is listed at 23.1% and net margin at 1.9% in the market data. ROIC is 6.5%. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, the latter indicating weak financial health signals. Debt/Equity is listed at 0.5. Balance sheet posture is characterized by the forensic pillar as vulnerable.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Operating margin of 23.1% and reported office leasing at top-of-market rents at Harbor Point point to operating strength despite thin earnings. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC 6.5%, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $5.13 – $7.33 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The RQD rating scores the balance sheet at 10/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, FCF yield of 0%, and revenue falling from $433.2M to $209.9M. Investors must weigh 116.9x trailing P/E and 8.5x EV/EBITDA against 23.1% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate (Financials), AHRT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: What are the FY 2025 EPS, FCF, and debt figures, which the financials table lists as N/A?
  • Key Question #2: What drove the decline in revenue and net income from FY 2024 to FY 2025?
  • Key Question #3: What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, given that analyst data is absent apart from one headline?

AHRT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AH Realty Trust Inc. (AHRT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AHRT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 13h ago
AH REALTY TRUST: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

(AP) — AH REALTY TRUST INC (AHRT) on Monday reported a key measure of profitability in its third quarter.The Virginia Beach, Virginia-based real estate investment trust said it had funds from operations of $15.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AHRT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AHRT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AHRT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.54 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Operating margin of 23.1% and reported office leasing at top-of-market rents at Harbor Point point to operating strength despite thin e

Here is why I am bullish on AHRT here at $6.08: Operating margin of 23.1% and reported office leasing at top-of-market rents at Harbor Point point to operating strength despite thin earnings.. Compare AHRT's 23.1% operating margin and 6.5% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $5.78 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — AHRT's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.74 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $6.08

The RQD rating scores the balance sheet at 10/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, FCF yield of 0%, and revenue falling from $433.2M to

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AHRT above $6.08. The RQD rating scores the balance sheet at 10/20 with a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, FCF yield of 0%, and revenue falling from $433.2M to $209.9M.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $7.33.

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