First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (AG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$14.26 -6.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.05

First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (AG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.03B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (NYSE: AG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $14.26 (-6.98% 1D, market cap $7.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AG ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AG compare to EGO and SBSW in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), AG carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, EGO (Eldorado Gold Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.00B) and SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AG leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AG leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AG?
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For First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (AG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #74 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.05 (-1.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$34 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE AG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AG SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 3.9% FCF Margin ($155.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$15.25+5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$16.09-1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$15.80-9.7% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$14.26-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AG currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.90) and Max Pain ($14.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.26: 701.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.87
$7,623
$-2,377 (-23.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.94
$9,776
$-224 (-2.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $33.64
$23,590
+$13,590 (+135.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.42%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $15.33H $15.33L $14.26C $14.26VOL 12.07M
RES: $22.90SUP: $13.92SMA50: $17.90SMA200: $19.92
$25.25$22.18$19.11$16.05$12.98RES $22.90SUP $13.92$14.262026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AG)

Materials Rank #74 of 270 ⚔️ EGO vs AG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AG vs. EGO, SBSW, BTG, OR)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (AG) ranks #74 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #57 by equity capitalization ($7.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AG leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while AG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BTG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with AG at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AG ACTIVE
First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada)
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.98% $7.03B Benchmark Subject
EGO
Eldorado Gold Corporation
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -5.50% $8.00B /ego-vs-ag →
SBSW
D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.03% $6.08B /sbsw-vs-ag →
BTG
B2Gold Corp (Canada)
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.82% $6.08B /btg-vs-ag →
OR
OR Royalties Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -4.44% $5.97B /or-vs-ag →

2. AG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (AG) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $7.03B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. AG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (NYSE: AG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $14.26 (-6.98% 1D, market cap $7.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AG ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AG compare to EGO and SBSW in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), AG carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, EGO (Eldorado Gold Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.00B) and SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limited ADS) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AG leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AG leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AG?

For First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (AG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #74 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AG last traded at $14.26 (-6.98% on volume of 12,073,491 shares), positioning the stock -20.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.90) and -28.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.92). Across its 52-week range of $10.19 to $32.04, AG sits at the 18.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($13.08 to $15.44).

AG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AG's 12-month stock price target?

First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (AG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.94 (-2.2% from $14.26), with a bull-case target of $33.64 and a bear-case floor of $10.87.

Is AG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AG D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AG — First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AG scores 53 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%). This is the weaker side of the cash-generation picture: returns on invested capital are modest and free cash flow relative to the market price is thin.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the lowest pillar, indicating limited institutional accumulation support in the rating's framework.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Insider signal is mid-range and does not offer strong confirmation either way.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20 (Beta 0.98; sector sensitivity). A beta near 1.0 means the stock tracks the broad market, and the score reflects weak alignment with the current regime as the rating defines it.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.39). This is the strongest pillar, showing a sound balance sheet and solid financial-health indicators.

For a prospective investor, the implication is that the balance sheet is a relative strength, while cash returns, institutional flow, and macro fit are weaker. Valuation is an explicit tradeoff: the stock trades at 32.8x trailing earnings and 27.6x forward earnings, with EV/EBITDA of 21, alongside a 2.21% FCF yield. Upside depends on earnings growth that the source data does not quantify. The rating's verdict is a trim signal, meaning the framework views current fundamentals as insufficient to support the price, which is an analytical conclusion rather than a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
15.33$7.56B32.827.6210.470%0.98$10.19 - $32.049.9%

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow by period, and how have they trended?
  • What is the current analyst consensus rating and price target range?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) transactions have occurred recently, and in which direction?
  • What recent news, production, or operational catalysts could affect the company's results?
  • What is the company's cash and debt position in absolute terms, not only as a ratio?

AG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) (AG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 2d ago
3 Silver Stocks With Market Caps Up To £17b

AI giants are pouring an estimated $828b into data centers and chips this year, and that hardware buildout quietly leans on one workhorse metal. Silver sits in everything from high end processors to solar panels that hel

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.26?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $16.56 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AG (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $15.33?

Welcome to the AG (First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.96 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $15.33

Pump the brakes on AG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AG, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.16 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $15.33

AG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.33 (52-wk range $10.19 - $32.04), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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